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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 3:49 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Talya wrote:
Not all change is bad. One thing you never hear mentioned is that the net change from HIGCC, if it is real, could be positive.


I love this argument.

So - the Earth, without assistance from us, regulates its environment for billions of years, producing all manner of life that we know of, evolves us, but hey, if we mess with it we can make it better.

Your faith in mankind exceeds mine.

I'll tell you what - I'll give you a challenge. When has an unintended consequence of mankind's industrial activity ever produced a positive result?

Define positive result? The overuse of antibiotics certainly is positive for bacteria. It's made them heartier. It hasn't helped our efforts in resisting them, but maybe we make more novel pharmaceuticals that protect us better. Maybe it'll weed our people with poor immune systems. Is that positive or negative?

By the way, the Earth isn't a living entity. It doesn't regulate us or evolve us, it just is. Unless you buy the Gaia Theory which has preposterous notions and evidence to back it up.


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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 3:50 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
I'll tell you what - I'll give you a challenge. When has an unintended consequence of mankind's industrial activity ever produced a positive result?

Silly Putty.

What else ya got?

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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 3:51 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Talya wrote:
Not all change is bad. One thing you never hear mentioned is that the net change from HIGCC, if it is real, could be positive.


I love this argument.

So - the Earth, without assistance from us, regulates its environment for billions of years, producing all manner of life that we know of, evolves us, but hey, if we mess with it we can make it better.

Your faith in mankind exceeds mine.

I'll tell you what - I'll give you a challenge. When has an unintended consequence of mankind's industrial activity ever produced a positive result?

She lives in Canada +2-5 degrees is an improvement for her.

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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 4:05 pm 
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Corolinth wrote:
If you think there's a lot of self-interest on one side of the argument, then you're not looking at motives. You're listening to rhetoric from the other side. There is just as much self-interest coming from the human-induced-global-catastrophe camp. They want more funding for their research, and more political clout.


That MIGHT explain why some scientists do it --Of course theres an equal amount of money for stating that its NOT happening, (and probably a lot of kickbacks from various groups such as the petrochemical industry)

I'll trust an academic over a politician or a Corporation any day of the week and twice on sundays.


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 4:08 pm 
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Lex Luthor wrote:
Are you aware that we are a product of Earth? What's so special about this 50 year timeslot compared to 4 billion? The CO2 we're putting in the air used to be in the air.


Are you suggesting that the Earth controls your environment?

It doesn't. Over the past 400 years or so, and especially over the last 100 years, man has been altering the environment to his benefit.

We are no longer (completely) at the mercy of the environment.


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 4:12 pm 
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Ienan wrote:
Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Dude, whaaat?

This funds a LOT of science. The second statement funds almost ZERO science. There's some philanthropists out there, sure, but there's generally a policy or a product driving the science.

I dare you to prove that. Many scientific undertakings are done solely for expanding our knowledge. Sometimes it has a direct impact on policy and sometimes not. Not everything comes down to legislators making decisions about things. Sometimes it's to research an area to make product for profit.


Which I said. Policy or product.

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Sometimes it's an undertaking to learn more about human behaviors.


To what end? There's always an end.

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Sometimes it's to learn about a particular organism.


Again, to what end?

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I mean why would anyone ever do research into any animal or plant that doesn't have a direct influence on humans? For instance, why research deep in rainforests then?


Grants from policy makers. Grants from drug companies.

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Sometimes it's done to find plants for pharmaceuticals, but sometimes it's not.


Sometimes not. But rarely is it funded from a philanthropist. And there's always an end.


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 4:12 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Lex Luthor wrote:
Are you aware that we are a product of Earth? What's so special about this 50 year timeslot compared to 4 billion? The CO2 we're putting in the air used to be in the air.


Are you suggesting that the Earth controls your environment?

It doesn't. Over the past 400 years or so, and especially over the last 100 years, man has been altering the environment to his benefit.

We are no longer (completely) at the mercy of the environment.


And the environment created man, so technically the environment controls the environment.


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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 4:14 pm 
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Ienan wrote:
Arathain wrote:
I'll tell you what - I'll give you a challenge. When has an unintended consequence of mankind's industrial activity ever produced a positive result?

Define positive result? The overuse of antibiotics certainly is positive for bacteria. It's made them heartier. It hasn't helped our efforts in resisting them, but maybe we make more novel pharmaceuticals that protect us better. Maybe it'll weed our people with poor immune systems. Is that positive or negative?


No definition. It's opinions. But I do mean overall, in terms of the Earth as a whole, and especially as it relates to human beings.

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By the way, the Earth isn't a living entity. It doesn't regulate us or evolve us, it just is. Unless you buy the Gaia Theory which has preposterous notions and evidence to back it up.


Um, no kidding?


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 4:17 pm 
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Lex Luthor wrote:
Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Lex Luthor wrote:
Are you aware that we are a product of Earth? What's so special about this 50 year timeslot compared to 4 billion? The CO2 we're putting in the air used to be in the air.


Are you suggesting that the Earth controls your environment?

It doesn't. Over the past 400 years or so, and especially over the last 100 years, man has been altering the environment to his benefit.

We are no longer (completely) at the mercy of the environment.


And the environment created man, so technically the environment controls the environment.


As a whole, mankind has escaped the environment's control.


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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 5:46 pm 
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TheRiov wrote:
But we're not talking about science. The science is not yet conclusive. If we're talking about scientific rigor, you're absoutly right.

We're talking about POLICY which is not an exact science. Policy is about measured risks.

But that's not how the policy-makers present it. There is no risk vs. sacrifice measurement in the common dialogue. And if there is, it's hyperbolized beyond all semblence of the science that supposedly contributes to the predictions in risk. There's no discussion about how the risk is assessed, or whose judgement it reflects based on what assumptions and whether those assumptions are reasonable. It's "Sign this treaty in Kyoto or the planet dies." Which is horse ****.

Arathain Kelvar wrote:
You cannot hide behind "science". This is a problem not just for scientists. Scientists may say, "here's what we have for data, here's what it predicts if we make these assumptions, here's our basis for these assumptions, here's our uncertainty."

When was the last time you saw a policy-maker talk about the uncertainty? Sure, the scientists might include it in their report (and that's a big "might", especially depending on whom you include in the scope of "scientists"), but when the policy makers get a hold of the report, it's all "consensus" this and "conclusion" that.

TheRiov wrote:
I'll trust an academic over a politician or a Corporation any day of the week and twice on sundays.

This is.. simply hilarious.

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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 5:53 pm 
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Kaffis Mark V wrote:
When was the last time you saw a policy-maker talk about the uncertainty? Sure, the scientists might include it in their report (and that's a big "might", especially depending on whom you include in the scope of "scientists"), but when the policy makers get a hold of the report, it's all "consensus" this and "conclusion" that.


We only have ourselves to blame for this, you know. On the one hand, people are gullible, so it works. On the other hand, other people hear any bit of uncertainty and they dismiss it.

So, if you're a politician, and you firmly believe that your new policy will save mankind, what are you going to do? What's a little bit of hyperbole TO SAVE MANKIND??


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 6:41 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
What's a little bit of hyperbole TO SAVE MANKIND??


QFF (Quoted For Funny)


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 6:43 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Lex Luthor wrote:
And the environment created man, so technically the environment controls the environment.


As a whole, mankind has escaped the environment's control.


No, no it hasn't. The climate, the ecosystem...it's all fine with or without us. We are an insignificant blip on this planet's history. Even if the worst estimates of how much we are affecting the climate is correct (0.5 degrees kelvin over the last 40 years), you're talking about a 0.002% increase in the average amount of heat in the atmosphere of Earth during this time. And the earth has had a hell of a lot more CO2 in its atmosphere than it has now at various points throughout its lifetime, and it's been a hell of a lot warmer at various points throughout its lifetime. Mankind isn't really all that much more significant to this planet than the apes we evolved from. The collective arrogance our species displays in assuming we are somehow "special" here is far more alarming than anything we may have "done" to harm the ecosystem.

Newsflash: There is no fragile delicate balance of nature. The whole concept of a balance is garbage. Every species of plant and animal is out there simply struggling to survive and is quite willing to trample all over every other species to get there. More animals and plants have gone extinct than currently exist by factors of hundreds, perhaps thousands. The most adaptable continue to survive, those that cannot adapt to changing environments die out. That is the way of nature. If anything is new about humans, it's that we're the first species to give a damn about the rest of the environment around us apart from how we're affected by it.

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Last edited by Talya on Tue Feb 08, 2011 9:19 am, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Mon Feb 07, 2011 7:25 pm 
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Talya wrote:
Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Lex Luthor wrote:
And the environment created man, so technically the environment controls the environment.


As a whole, mankind has escaped the environment's control.


No, no it hasn't. The climate, the ecosystem...it's all fine with or without us. We are an insignificant blip on this planet's history.


Says you?

Whatever you say. I'm definitely in the "anthropocene" camp. Regardless of whether we have a significant impact on global warming or not, we have had a tremendous impact on the overall planet. Very significant portions of the planet have been developed, fishing, forestry, etc have more of an impact on many, many ecosystems than any other influence, and there is definitely a question over the influence in the makeup of our atmosphere.

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The collective arrogance our species displaces in assuming we are somehow "special" here is far more alarming than anything we may have "done" to harm the ecosystem.


Canada is relatively un-impacted. You need to get out more.

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Newsflash: There is no fragile delicate balance of nature. The whole concept of a balance is garbage.


Declaring your viewpoints "news" does not make them fact.


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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:07 am 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
No definition. It's opinions. But I do mean overall, in terms of the Earth as a whole, and especially as it relates to human beings.

Positive impact is so hard to measure and it's really up to interpretation. For instance, was contracting the H1N1 flu worth it? Well, research now shows that for a contracting a moderate flu, you may have more innate resistance to other influenza strains. But it certainly sucks to have been a recipient of it initially. And it was highly thought it was better to be vaccinated against it. Was it?

I'm glad you don't buy the Gaia Theory. I think it's a bit on the crazy side, with very little evidence beyond faith to support it. But I would ask you to be careful how you phrase things then. The Earth doesn't make things happen. It's just a big rock with many layers, including a magma core on the inside, and water and land on the outside. It doesn't regulate anything. It just is. We have a tendency to assign living traits to things like the Earth.

As for your point about policy driving research, I think you are sorely misguided. I think you're an engineer if I'm not mistaken. I notice engineers have a tendency to try to always apply science. I've been a part of science projects (a lot of them done at universities) that had no ends but to further knowledge and learn more. It may help on research that does have an end in policy or product (by the way, two entirely different endeavors really), but initially it doesn't. That doesn't mean the research isn't valuable, though.

Kaffis wrote:
TheRiov wrote:
I'll trust an academic over a politician or a Corporation any day of the week and twice on sundays.

This is.. simply hilarious.

Agreed. Everyone has an agenda, whether it's to validate their existence, worldview, or product.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:57 am 
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I've formed a theory that the ones speaking out so much about global climate change are actually trying to commit global climate change by keeping the cycles from happening by controlling human behavior in the belief this will, pardon the pun, freeze the cycle where it is. Is there any science to suggest that the cycle will not continue if we stop doing what we do that the scientists say is changing the climate?

Comments?

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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 3:14 am 
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Ienan wrote:
I'm glad you don't buy the Gaia Theory. I think it's a bit on the crazy side, with very little evidence beyond faith to support it. But I would ask you to be careful how you phrase things then. The Earth doesn't make things happen. It's just a big rock with many layers, including a magma core on the inside, and water and land on the outside. It doesn't regulate anything. It just is. We have a tendency to assign living traits to things like the Earth.


When I refer to the Earth performing a task, I mean the Earth as a whole, everything on it. So, yes, the environments have regulated themselves (established ranges for "normal"), the flora and fauna have adapted, etc. These are activities that have gone on uninfluenced by man successfully for a long, long time. The balance between these ecosystems have developed in some cases over millenia. Humans altering the environment is not going to make things better overall. Maybe someday, but I haven't seen it yet.

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As for your point about policy driving research, I think you are sorely misguided. I think you're an engineer if I'm not mistaken. I notice engineers have a tendency to try to always apply science. I've been a part of science projects (a lot of them done at universities) that had no ends but to further knowledge and learn more. It may help on research that does have an end in policy or product (by the way, two entirely different endeavors really), but initially it doesn't. That doesn't mean the research isn't valuable, though.


Again, I said policy or product. Who funds you if not a product? A grant? Grant from where?


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:31 am 
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*Shrug* have it your way Kaffis. I've known all three types. Academics are 100x more trustworthy as a general rule.

People go into Academia because they love the subject. They love the knowledge. People go into business because they love money and the perks that go with it. People go into politics because either they see a change that needs to happen or because they like power & weath.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:37 am 
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I'll just say this, TheRiov: It wasn't corporate executives, middle management, or politicians who coined the phrase "publish or perish."

Academics need relevancy, or their department atrophies and they lose/don't attain tenure.

That agenda colors their motives just as strongly as the quest for power or money.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:39 am 
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But NEGATIVE results are still publishable. People don't just publish papers proving things.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 10:56 am 
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But if you disprove HIGCC, the grants stop flowing.

The point about publishing was to indicate that Academics are not somehow elevated above the baser concerns of everybody else who has to work to keep their job.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 11:06 am 
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And then the researcher moves on to another area of the same field.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 11:10 am 
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My primary concern with "academics" is that the perfect job-security provided by tenure means they aren't accountable for anything they say or do much like, ironically given the topic, weathermen.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 11:16 am 
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Tenure is not perfect job security. Its been sold that way, primarily by people who want to be able to censor teachers for voicing unpopular opinions.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:53 pm 
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TheRiov wrote:
But NEGATIVE results are still publishable. People don't just publish papers proving things.


You have been aware of the cabal that refuses to even publish findings that contradict HICC I hope. People who refuse to subject their findings to peer review yet are published anyway if they support HICC?

This has been going on, this continues to go on.

It is the modern Piltdown man.

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