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Author: | RangerDave [ Mon Mar 29, 2010 12:03 pm ] |
Post subject: | Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
I often see comparisons of the US military to other militaries in terms of spending or total number of troops/fighters/etc., but I've never seen a comparison in terms of actual capability and force projection. Anyone know of such comparisons that would be understandable to a layman? |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Mon Mar 29, 2010 8:39 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
RangerDave wrote: I often see comparisons of the US military to other militaries in terms of spending or total number of troops/fighters/etc., but I've never seen a comparison in terms of actual capability and force projection. Anyone know of such comparisons that would be understandable to a layman? I know of lots of them, but they're intelligence estimates. They might or might not be understandable but what they are not is readily available. It also helps a lot if its done in terms of some scenario, and it helps to narrow it down to just one country at a time. It also matters if you mean comparison as if we were adversaries or comparison as if we were interchanged in doing the same task e.g. what if the U.S. had to retake the Falklands in 1982? As you say there are lots of comparisons of spending, but these are actually sort of absurd because they tend to ignore what the money gets spent on, and whether its worth a damn. It's easy to ahve a cheap military if you don't train and don't do much maintenance. Comparisons of numbers are a little better but they tend to ignore equipment quality and maintenance and troop training as well. The best way to get meaningful comparsions is to think about the scenario you envision and then look for the scenario. Trying to look at a straight up capabilities comparison you'll probably be limited to looking at the country's raw capabilities and then comparing them, which is hard if you don't know what the implications of the capabilities are. It's also easy to get into the trap of hardware-fixation or worse, platform-wanking. For example, Iowa-class wankers like to idiotically claim an Iowa can defeat a Kirov. More reasonable people point out that this is possible but very unlikely. However, the debate is silly in the first place because an Iowa and a Kirov would never face off one-on-one in the first place. |
Author: | Khross [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 9:29 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Wait, what? You're joking right? There are people who argue a an Iowa-Class battleship could sink a Kirov? That's like saying you can shoot down an A-10 with a .22 Short. Well, unless we're only talking about the 3 of 4 currently moored for scrapping or retrofitting. They might get lucky then. Otherwise, well ... yeah. |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 10:24 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Khross wrote: Wait, what? You're joking right? There are people who argue a an Iowa-Class battleship could sink a Kirov? That's like saying you can shoot down an A-10 with a .22 Short. Well, unless we're only talking about the 3 of 4 currently moored for scrapping or retrofitting. They might get lucky then. Otherwise, well ... yeah. Well, to be fair, this assumes that the Iowa either A) was never decomissioned B) has been reactivated or C) is in the time periods where they were active. No one argues that the ships currently or to be converted to museums could beat much of anything. They're just unmanned hulks. Part of the problem stems from The Hunt For Red October. If you read that, there's severl scenes where New Jersey and Kirov are actually in visual range of each other while the Soviets hunt Red October. In that particular scenario if it had come to shooting, New Jersey probably would have won because Kirov was within range of her main battery. Of course, the entire scenario revolves around the specifics of that book and the idea that the shooting doesn't start until New Jersey is on top of Kirov, which is where she needs to be to win. They tend to forget, of course the escorts of both ships, but worse they tend to forget that the scenario favors the battleship to an absurd degree and try to generalize it to mano a mano missile duels at long range and seem to think that despite having no useful anitmissile defenses other than CIWS, ECM, and possibly Chaff rockets, an Iowa would somehow beat a Kirov, despite the fact that the Kirov has 40 SS-N-19 missiles which are both extremely powerful (warhead more than 50% greater than a Tomahawk) and extremely fast (up to mach 4.5) compared to 32 Tomahawks and 16 Harpoons for the Iowa, but the air defenses to stop the enemy missiles are considerable on a Kirov and near-nonexistant on an Iowa. More importantly because of the speed, mass, and shape-charge warheads of most ASMs, WWII steel armor, however thick, isn't going to keep the battleship alive, at least not in any useful shape. Wankery to battleship armor tends to ignore that the reason armor isn't used on ships anymore is that enough armor to make a difference would be enormously heavy and costly. Granted, it will still take less to sink Kirov since she's smaller and has far less armor, but U.S. missiles are smaller and really, even if an Iowa remains technically afloat but otherwise out of action, what good has it accomplished other than reducing its casualties a bit. Kirov has a chance of surviving this operationl; Iowa doesn't. One could argue that it would be, strategically, if the Iowa sinks or even seriously damages the Kirov its a win because Kirovs are few in number (only 2 operationl IIRC with one in refit) and while Iowas are as well we don't need Iowas the way Russia needs Kirov - we'd be trading an obsolete BB for a modern battlecruiser. That, however, isn't what the typical wanker argues. Some people have also argued that the battleship is still needed for fire support in view of the weak gun power of other modern ships during amphibious operations. Whiel there's merit there, and that along with the need to get a lot of Tomahawks to sea in the pre-VLS days was a reason for activating the BBs, the cost of using and maintaining them is prohibitive these days. Where are we going to get more powder, shells, spare barrels, and other parts for them anymore? Amphibious operations are exceedingly rare (the threat of one was valuable in Desert Storm) so in terms of cost-benefit, naval gunfire support is not high in terms of defense priority. But Iowas seem to attract a crowd of worshippers almost as bad as Trekkies claiming the Enterprise can beat the Death Star. No amount of evidence to the contrary can supress this nonsense. |
Author: | Khross [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 10:33 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Diamondeye: Actually, I was assuming both ships in peak operational condition for modern combat. Yes, obviously, from a cost perspective we'd win. And only one Kirov is operational. The first is scheduled for scrapping, the second has been moored for a decade awaiting refit, and the third is still sailing. Production on the fourth was stopped. |
Author: | Ladas [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 10:44 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Diamondeye wrote: Trekkies claiming the Enterprise can beat the Death Star. No amount of evidence to the contrary can supress this nonsense. People actually spend time arguing these things? |
Author: | Hopwin [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 10:59 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Ladas wrote: Diamondeye wrote: Trekkies claiming the Enterprise can beat the Death Star. No amount of evidence to the contrary can supress this nonsense. People actually spend time arguing these things? Hilarious take on it: http://www.grudge-match.com/History/ds-enterprise.shtml The archives from this site are fantastic. http://www.grudge-match.com/History/ |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 11:07 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Ladas wrote: Diamondeye wrote: Trekkies claiming the Enterprise can beat the Death Star. No amount of evidence to the contrary can supress this nonsense. People actually spend time arguing these things? http://www.stardestroyer.net/ |
Author: | Müs [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 11:11 am ] |
Post subject: | |
Iowas are truly awesome though. From a wankery viewpoint. I mean... BA PLOW!!! BOOM BOOM!!! /giggle MOAR DAKKA!!!! WAAAAAGHHHHH!!!! |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 11:21 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
In terms of cool factor, yes, the Iowa wins hands-down. In fact, keeping one or two of them active until something better for gunfire support would have been justifiable if Clinton had not been dead-set on gutting the Navy, but hell, he decomissioned far more modern and useful shipsl; getting rid of the battleships was at least justifiable if debateable. Re-activating them now though would be hugely expensive and difficult since the skill-sets to run much of its older equipment like the guns and the propulsion systems are essentially gone from the Navy. As an offensive land-strike, naval gunfire support, or anti-ship platform, the Iowa does all right. It's just worthless against aircraft, subs, or at defending itself from missiles and it's just older than hell. When I used to have Harpoon I, I fought the surface-action scenario of an Iowa against a Kirov with appropriate escorts. I won with the Iowa group every time, but not because of the Iowa. I won because my AEGIS cruisers could stop all the Russian missiles with one or two occasional leakers, and the Russians couldn't fire SAMs fast enough to stop all my missiles. Iowa helped greatly in increasing the number of missiles I could fire but the battle never once lasted long enough for me to get in there and use the main battery. |
Author: | Kaffis Mark V [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 11:51 am ] |
Post subject: | |
Speaking of MOAR DAKKA; DE, you and your Eldar should come down for another visit sometime. =) |
Author: | RangerDave [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 12:06 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Ladas wrote: Diamondeye wrote: Trekkies claiming the Enterprise can beat the Death Star. No amount of evidence to the contrary can supress this nonsense. People actually spend time arguing these things? Guilty. |
Author: | Elmarnieh [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 12:23 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I love it when things go kabloowey. And yes at least the NCC 1701D and greater can take on the death star (the NCC 1701 was reported to have enough armament to destroy an actual planet and the NCC 1701D had considerably higher yield weapons). It is likely capable of doing it without actually "raising shields" as the navigational shields are enough to stop light making lasers (the mainstay weaponry of all classes of star wars attack craft) ineffective. Ion cannons are another story, we have no idea how ion cannons of star wars would react faced with standard or multi-phasic shielding though I would argue multi-phasic shielding would render ion cannons useless as multi-phasic shielding can survive in the suns corona where a tremendous amount of high energy ions are present. |
Author: | Kaffis Mark V [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 12:24 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
Diamondeye wrote: Ladas wrote: Diamondeye wrote: Trekkies claiming the Enterprise can beat the Death Star. No amount of evidence to the contrary can supress this nonsense. People actually spend time arguing these things? http://www.stardestroyer.net/ Also, OMG, thank you. I thought those Turbolaser commentaries were lost to the ages! |
Author: | Müs [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 12:35 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
Elmarnieh wrote: I love it when things go kabloowey. And yes at least the NCC 1701D and greater can take on the death star (the NCC 1701 was reported to have enough armament to destroy an actual planet and the NCC 1701D had considerably higher yield weapons). It is likely capable of doing it without actually "raising shields" as the navigational shields are enough to stop light making lasers (the mainstay weaponry of all classes of star wars attack craft) ineffective. Ion cannons are another story, we have no idea how ion cannons of star wars would react faced with standard or multi-phasic shielding though I would argue multi-phasic shielding would render ion cannons useless as multi-phasic shielding can survive in the suns corona where a tremendous amount of high energy ions are present. Elmo is clearly a Trek wanker. |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:23 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
Elmarnieh wrote: And yes at least the NCC 1701D and greater can take on the death star (the NCC 1701 was reported to have enough armament to destroy an actual planet and the NCC 1701D had considerably higher yield weapons). It is likely capable of doing it without actually "raising shields" as the navigational shields are enough to stop light making lasers (the mainstay weaponry of all classes of star wars attack craft) ineffective. Actually no, none of the Enterprise varients come anywhere even close to the firepower needed to destroy a planet. We never actually see Enterprise come even close to destroying a planet or even rendering it uninhabitable so we? No? That's right we don't. Furthermore observed instances of their firepower are nowhere near that level Quote: It is difficult to estimate photon torpedo yields because there has never been a substantive quantification of their output. However, the TM indicates that a photon torpedo carries 1.5kg of antimatter which presumably reacts with an equal amount of matter. This allows us to determine that the upper limit for photon torpedo yield is 2.7E17 joules (64.3 megatons), since Einstein's Theory of General Relativity predicts that E=mc² Naturally, Federation cultists use this figure as a benchmark, assuming (for example) that if a GCS fires 10 photon torpedoes at a ship, then the target vessel will be hit with 643 megatons of energy. However, this is incorrect. The 64.3 megaton figure is an upper limit, and not necessarily a realistic estimate. Upper limits are extremely generous methods of estimation- for example, the upper limit for a Death Star blast, based on the Alderaan explosion, is well over 1E40 joules!. There are two principal assumptions incorporated into this particular upper limit: 1. The antimatter within the torpedo will react with matter at 100% efficiency. In other words, not one solitary atom or subatomic particle of antimatter will escape and be hurled out into space by the explosion. 2. All of the reaction products will contribute to the destructive effect of the torpedo. In other words, every single particle and erg of energy in the entire blast will directly affect the target vessel, with no useless particles and no wasted energy. More assumptions are noted in the article; if we use the 64 megaton figure, significantly that since Photorps are not shaped charges, the energy goes in all directions, not just at the target when it strikes: Quote: The overall impact of a photon torpedo on its target is therefore an amount of energy, in the form of superheated matter, gamma radiation, thermal radiation, and highly energetic subatomic particles, which is less than or equal to 32 megatons in quantity for a direct impact, and as little as 10 megatons in quantity for a medium-proximity blast (decreasing with increasing distance, based on the radius beyond which charged pions decay into useless neutrinos). If we use the 74% efficiency estimate derived from the DS9 TM, we can determine that a photon torpedo should deliver roughly 24 megatons for a direct impact and as little as 7 megatons for a medium-proximity blast. By comparison, while Elmo is right about light marking lasers not penetrating nav deflectors, SW "lasers"/blasters are not lasers at all. They do not behave in any way similar to a laser. Quote: A Star Destroyer used its light trench-mounted guns to vaporize 40 metre wide asteroids in TESB with 1/15-second bursts (see Brian Young's Turbolaser Power page for more information), resulting in a lower limit of 22,500 TW for light turbolaser output. Note that this only applies to light turbolasers. If the ratio of light to heavy turbolaser output is proportional to the size difference, then heavy turbolasers must therefore output roughly 2.8 million TW. Some Federation cultists claim that the asteroids in TESB were actually disintegrated rather than vaporized, but they apparently did not notice that the "debris" (small coalesced blobs of superheated liquid that were metastable and in the process of vaporization) evaporated into invisible gas within a fraction of a second, while solid visibly glowing debris would have continued to be visible for at least 10 seconds as it cooled. That is for LIGHT turbolasers. Quote: Base Delta Zero Source Data: According to the Star Wars Technical Journal, a Base-Delta-Zero operation is the act of melting the surface of a planet. The operation was performed on Caamas just after the Clone Wars (ref: Spectre of the Past), and it was so devastatingly ruinous that the planet was still totally uninhabitable forty years later. In fact, resettlement efforts of Caamasi survivors (presumably those who had been off-world at the time of the attack) were centred around the discovery of a new Caamasi homeworld, which would then be terraformed to Caamas' specifications. This indicates that it would have actually been easier to terraform a barren, uninhabited world than to make Caamas inhabitable again! It is possible to generate a very conservative estimate by assuming a dry planet (no oceans) and assuming that this devastation will be caused by the melting of surface material to a depth of one metre. Therefore, if we use Earth as an example of a typical target planet, the Base Delta Zero operation must melt 5.1E14 m³ of surface material. Energy Estimate: The crust of a typical planet is composed mostly of silicates, so the thermodynamic properties of silicon dioxide can be used as a reasonable basis for estimating the characteristics of planetary crust material. The melting point of silicon dioxide (quartz microstructure) is 1883K, its density is 2220 kg/m^3, and its specific heat is roughly 1050 J/kgK at high temperatures (ref. Fundamentals of Heat and Mass Transfer 3rd Edition by Incropera and Dewitt). The energy required to heat 5.1E14 m³ of rock from 300K to melting point is therefore 1.9E24 J. The latent heat of fusion for SiO2 is at least 250 kJ/kg (ref. CRC Handbook of Chemistry and Physics 50th Edition), which adds 3E23 J to the energy estimate. This leads to a grand total of 2.2E24 J. This operation must not take longer than 1 hour or so, otherwise significant numbers of planetary citizens would be able to evacuate. The power requirement is therefore at least 600 million TW. Weapon Breakdown: There are 12 heavy turbolasers and roughly 120 light turbolasers on an ISD1 (ref. SWICS). The heavy turbolasers are roughly 125 times bigger than the light turbolasers (which were seen vaporizing asteroids in TESB). If firepower is proportional to size (an unsubstantiated but not unreasonable postulate) then the sustainable power outputs of the heavy and light guns work out to 47 million TW and 375,000 TW respectively. Refire rates seem to be roughly 1 shot per 2 seconds, so the energy level of each individual blast would have to be 94 million TJ (22 gigatons of TNT) for heavy turbolasers and 750,000 TJ ( 179 megatons) for light turbolasers. Addendum It should not come as a surprise that Base Delta Zero figures come under almost constant attack by overzealous Federation cultists. If you are curious to study the subject further, visit the dedicated Base Delta Zero page. In other words, an ISDs heavy turbolasers are nearly one thousand times more powerful than a photon torpedo. No conclusion can be drawn based on the ability of Enterprise shields to stop light, primitive lasers; that is the No Limits fallacy and is the same as saying that because an M-1 tank can survive a hit from a machine gun undamaged it can therefore survive a hit from a battleship's main battery. The above noted firepower is what there would need to be evidence of (and there isn't any othe than verbal hyperbole by a few characters) for the claim that Enterprise could destroy a planet. Note that Enterprise could do a lot of damage to the populace with 250 photorps it could nuke every major city on Earth easily but that isn't the same as destroying the planet. And of course there is the Death Star superlaser. I apologize that I cannot easily copy the calculations showing the gravitational binding energy of an earth-like planet such as Alderaan, because they are not in a board text, but they are at the link and they are common scientific knowledge. Quote: Now, we have a formula for the total binding energy of a planet of uniform density, and all you need is the mass and radius of the planet in question. In the case of Earth, we can easily substitute G=6.6726E-11 m³/(s²·kg), M=5.97E24 kg, and r=6.371E6m to the above formula. The result is 2.2E32 joules, which anyone can independently verify with their own calculations. This represents a lower limit for the gravitational binding energy of a planet, because the density of a planet is not constant; it is always highest in the centre. Therefore, the ratio of mass to volume will increase as the outer layers are "peeled away" rather than staying constant. This will increase the gravitational binding energy. Note that the binding energy for a planet like earth is abouet 1.05E15 times greater than the energy of a photon torpedo. Alderaan of course takes far more than just that minimum energy needed to overcome its own gravity since it blows violently apart in just a few seconds,a nd a very careful observation shows that a planetary shield even momentarily blocked the superlaser, meaning even more energy! Screenshots at the link, along with explainations about how the next quote is arrived at. Quote: The Alderaan debris cloud expanded at roughly 4% of the speed of light. If we assume that the inside of the cloud had an even simple distribution between 0 and 4% of the speed of light, its average velocity would be roughly 2% of the speed of light, so its kinetic energy would be roughly 1E38 joules. This is, of course, a staggering amount of energy. Try to imagine seizing the entire planet Earth and hurling it like a football at 6 million metres per second, or try to imagine how much power the Sun generates in eight thousand years, and you'll have some idea of how much energy it takes to blow apart a planet the way Alderaan was destroyed. Light marking lasers indeed. Note that the amount of energy used by the Death Star is about 0.5E6 greater than the gravtiational energy of Alderaan making it about 1E21 (1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000) times greater than a photorp. Quote: Ion cannons are another story, we have no idea how ion cannons of star wars would react faced with standard or multi-phasic shielding though I would argue multi-phasic shielding would render ion cannons useless as multi-phasic shielding can survive in the suns corona where a tremendous amount of high energy ions are present. And on exactly what observational estimate of energy yield and similarity of behavior between star coronas and ion cannons do you base this? Don't bother coming back and arguing unless you can provide better calculations. (which by the way, you can't. Hundreds of Trek-wankers have tried and failed) Stardestroyer.net is run by an engineer and the Star Wars technical commentaries are run by a Ph.D. in physics. They've done the math. I'm not going to re-create all their work here for you when you can read the sites yourself and have a good time doing it. Don't get me wrong, nothing wrong with liking Star Trek but it just does not represent the same technology base as Star Wars. Folks, the above is the kind of analysis that, when applied to real life, ends with Iowa-wanking. It is very poor, based on gut feelings. Don't do this. |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:25 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
Kaffis Mark V wrote: Speaking of MOAR DAKKA; DE, you and your Eldar should come down for another visit sometime. =) Been planning on it for a while although I've had no opportunity to do much with 40K since our last encounter. Send me a PM and we'll work something out. |
Author: | Müs [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:36 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
And above, we see that DE is a Wars Wanker /tease |
Author: | Ladas [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:43 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Comparing the US Military to Other Militaries |
yeah! Well, red matter beats the Death Star!! I kid. |
Author: | Micheal [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:43 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I have no faith in any version of the Enterprise holding its own against a Death star for one simple reason, Wolf 359. /geek on Forty Federation vessels against one Borg Cube, One Borg cube survived in pretty stellar condition, one badly wounded Federation ship survived. The only way the Federation got out of that one was by stealthily inserting saboteurs and exploiting the Borgs internal weakness - kind of like how the Falcon's crew escaped the Death Star. Also, the Empire has a heavy investment in fighter craft, the Federations investment is much smaller, almost nonexistent. The Federation relies on capital ships and fighters play almost no role in any of the Federations battles. Enterprise approaches Death Star, hundreds of fighters launch on the Enterprise, requiring the shields to be kept up at all times, which lowers available power to weapons and slows the maneuverability of the Enterprise. As the Enterprise tries to get close enough for a firing solution the Death Star has plenty of time to plot the approach, fire up the main gun and incinerate the Enterprise, battle over. Cost, No Federation survivors, Empire might have lost a few fighters. Borg Vessel versus Death Star, that would be a much more interesting match-up. /geek off |
Author: | Lex Luthor [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:46 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I thought this was interesting... Picture of all the aircraft carriers of the world by country. Spoiler: |
Author: | Elmarnieh [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 1:52 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Its stated in one of the original episodes that the NCC 1701 is capable of entirely destroying a planet. We don't need to see the destruction, its simply noted. Since we are dealing with fiction here DE it seems inane to bring physics into the picture. We have no way of knowing HOW they manage these feats, only that these feats are managed. Lasers cannot penetrate the navigational shielding of the Enterprise D. That is a fact, and it is immaterial the power of the laser in question. One can try to imagine the how but the how is irrelvant in this kind of sci-fi discussion. If you can find in-canon references to what the above person states then fine but I doubt you can otherwise you would have not resorted to imposing real world knowlege and physics on two fantasy settings. The technical manuals btw are not canon. |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 2:47 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
Elmarnieh wrote: Its stated in one of the original episodes that the NCC 1701 is capable of entirely destroying a planet. We don't need to see the destruction, its simply noted. So what? That could just be a hyperbolic response to the above-noted ability to nuke all the major cities. So yes, we do need to see it, otherwise we go with what we observe. Elmo wrote: Since we are dealing with fiction here DE it seems inane to bring physics into the picture. We have no way of knowing HOW they manage these feats, only that these feats are managed. You brought science into the picture yourself when you pointed out the high-energy ions in the star that Enterprise was in close proximity to. If we're not going to use science, why would we assume there are any high-energy ions or anything like that? We assume that physics applies to the greatest degree possible otherwise we have no level playing field for comparison at all. It's important so that we can approach the comparison from a scientific mindset. That just brings us to "Yes they can" "nu uh". The real reason you don't like Physics is that it defeats your arguments. Sort of like this buffoon. Quote: The shining, absolute proof of Graham Kennedy's refusal to acknowledge rationality or science is his adherence to the ridiculous "no laser" myth. The navigations shields also posses another intriguing property; they are immune to attack from laser weaponry. This is due to the trans-static flux effect which occurs as a by-product of the deflection process. Let us disregard the gratuitous technobabble for a moment and look at this claim. It is based on the infamous quote from "The Outrageous Okona" in which Picard snorted with derision at the laser weapons of a tiny, primitive spacecraft and muttered that "lasers won't even penetrate our navigational deflectors". As a result, some trekkies have concluded that navigational deflectors are magically invulnerable to lasers, regardless of power. Note that Picard never said "no laser, regardless of its power level, can penetrate our navigational deflector." Kennedy assumes that Picard's statement contained the implicit words "of any power" while other, more reasonable observers conclude that the statement contained the implicit words "of that size". What do you think is more reasonable? Kennedy has actually claimed in public that a Federation shuttlecraft would shrug off a direct hit from the Death Star's superlaser! And this is someone who brandishes his little HND as proof that he knows something about science. <sigh> He may be more knowledgeable than a high school kid, but not much more. Everything has limits. Science is largely based on finding those limits. But if we don't know what those limits are, how reasonable is it to conclude that they must not exist at all? It is unscientific, unreasonable, and has absolutely no basis in logic whatsoever. There is one obvious reason that Kennedy subscribes to this ridiculous myth about navigational deflectors being godlike in their immunity to lasers: he wants them to be, because he thinks that Star Wars weapons are lasers. No one with a remotely rational mind would assume that since Picard didn't elaborate on his statement, he must have meant that it was a universal law. No one with any grasp of logic or science would assume that in the absence of a known upper limit, there must not be any upper limit at all. Elmo wrote: Lasers cannot penetrate the navigational shielding of the Enterprise D. That is a fact, and it is immaterial the power of the laser in question. One can try to imagine the how but the how is irrelvant in this kind of sci-fi discussion. Completely false. Quote: Suspension of Disbelief: it is scientifically impossible for any kind of shield to block infinite amounts of laser energy, because the second law of thermodynamics prohibits 100% efficiency devices and light carries momentum equal to U/c, so there are two mechanisms through which increased power levels would eventually overwhelm any blocking system. Therefore, Riker was either an idiot or he was taking the enemy ship's small size into account when he made his statement. Case closed. One comment by Picard/Riker in reference to weak, obsolete laser systems does not mean no laser regardless of power can penetrate navigational deflectors. That is a No Limits Fallacy. Furthermore its irrelevant to the issue since SW doesn't user lasers anyhow (just the term). People call lots of things "blueprints" nowadays that really aren't blueprints either. We also don't just go off dialogue as infallible. Quote: "Captain Picard once said 'lasers won't even penetrate our navigational deflectors'. This is canon proof that no laser, even a laser of infinite power, could possibly penetrate the defenses of a Federation ship. Subspace technology is the key to making this possible, through <technobabble technobabble technobabble>. I defy you to disprove that theory." "In 'The Omega Directive', Harry Kim found out that Captain Janeway wanted an 83 isoton warhead prepared, and he asked 'what's she planning to do, blow up a small planet'? This is canon proof that an 83-isoton photon torpedo can destroy a small planet." "In ST6, Scotty shouted 'shields collapsing' just before the Klingon photon torpedo struck the Enterprise saucer. Notice that he said 'shields collapsing' instead of 'shields collapsed'. His precise choice of words indicates that the shields were still in the process of collapsing instead of having already collapsed, so Star Wars fans are wrong about the ST6 photorp hit being an unshielded hit. His console readout indicates that the shield strength is zero, but it probably incorporates a large safety factor which Scotty knew about, hence his precise choice of words. Remember, English is his first language so he wouldn't choose an inappropriate word." Yes, these are all genuine arguments, made by real people who expected to be taken seriously. Now, I could spend a lot of time breaking down each specific example and identifying weaknesses therein, but that's not the point and besides, I expect any intelligent reader to see through such obvious deceptions. The point is not to specifically attack these arguments one at a time, but to note that all of them fall into the "dialogue is everything" school of thought (the first one is a 2-for-1 deal, because it also includes the O.J. Simpson defense). In real life, dialogue is utterly worthless as a source of scientific or engineering data. You can look through the entire width and breadth of serious scientific and engineering papers throughout history (not counting papers from diploma mills or from pseudo-science faculties like "social science"), and you will never see "so-and-so said this, and he happened to choose this particular set of words" as a piece of supporting evidence for a theory. You will find photographs, and you will find calculations, but you won't find any discussion of what anybody says or thinks. That's why I find it so amusing when people accuse me of over-analyzing screenshots and calculations instead of heavily analyzing dialogue- pictures and numbers are found in real-life scientific and engineering papers, but no one ever talks about dialogue. It would be nice if we could ignore dialogue completely, but we are talking about science fiction television shows and movies after all, and there isn't a whole lot of empirical evidence to go on. As a result, we are forced to fall back upon dialogue in spite of its many weaknesses, but that doesn't give us a blanket authorization to ignore those weaknesses (see my Canon page for more discussion of this). At no time is there any justification for basing a theory about unseen capabilities exclusively on dialogue, nor is there ever any justification for microscopically analyzing someone's choice of words. Furthermore, when dialogue and visuals explicitly contradict one another, there is no reason to ever choose dialogue because that is not how it is done in the real world, and with good reason. Quote: This [the lasers vs navigational shields incident -DE] is an example of a Trekkie confusing evidence with interpretation. Captain Picard, while looking at a pair of tiny ships on the viewscreen, heard that they were armed with lasers. He responded that "lasers won't even penetrate our navigational deflectors." The evidence is that Captain Picard uttered that line. The interpretation is that Federation ships have a technology which makes them immune to lasers regardless of power level. I can argue with this interpretation all day, and many others have. However, the point of this particular note is simply to explain that we should remember to distinguish evidence from interpretations of that evidence. The author of the quoted argument feels that his interpretation of the evidence actually is the evidence, so if I ignore his interpretation, I am in fact ignoring the evidence itself. It is possible for Captain Picard to utter those words without our opponent's interpretation being valid, therefore it is logically fallacious to claim that one must accept his interpretation or be guilty of "ignoring evidence". This tecnnique is used very heavily by newspeople, who confuse evidence and interpretation on a regular basis. For example, a medical researcher might find that there is a weak statistical correlation between childhood leukemia and living near electrical power transmission lines. A news reporter might find out about this study and declare on national television that "there is new scientific evidence that your chance of getting cancer will increase if you live near power lines." That would be incorrect- there is new scientific evidence of a statistical correlation between childhood leukemia and living near electrical power transmission lines, but the assumption that one causes the other is an interpretation (an unsupported one) rather than a piece of "scientific evidence." I could go on at length about the specifics of the "power transmission lines causing cancer" health scare, listing objections such as the fact that the magnetic fields from the power wiring in your own house are more intense than the magnetic fields from power lines in an adjacent field, or the fact that people living near "power towers" tend to have lower incomes and accordingly different lifestyles, but I only wish to describe it as an example of journalistic incompetence and sensationalism, and how it relies on the same tricks often used by Trekkie "vs" debaters. Elmo wrote: If you can find in-canon references to what the above person states then fine but I doubt you can otherwise you would have not resorted to imposing real world knowlege and physics on two fantasy settings. The technical manuals btw are not canon. He bases everything he says on canon materials and yes, he's aware of the canonicity of the TMs. In fact, he has a canon database on the website. There is a hierarchy of evidence in both universes. Moreover, observational calculations from ST would result in lower yields for their weapons, not higher, so complaining about them hurts you; it doesn't help you. In at least one instance Photorps demonstrate a yield of only about 300 kilotons. You're just getting butt-hurt because any sort of objective somparison means ST loses badly. If you don't want to compare on an objective basis, don't discuss it at all. All this crap about stuff being "immaterial" is just you trying to claim it's out of bounds because you don't like it. Like I said, go read the damn site and then come back and make a reasonable argument as to why he's wrong othr than "Because it's bad for Trek!" |
Author: | Taskiss [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 2:51 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Re: |
Diamondeye wrote: So what? That could just be a hyperbolic response to the above-noted ability to nuke all the major cities. So yes, we do need to see it, otherwise we go with what we observe. Can fictitious events in a fantasy world NOT be "hyperbolic"? |
Author: | Ladas [ Tue Mar 30, 2010 2:58 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
DE's quoted article wrote: Yes, these are all genuine arguments, made by real people who expected to be taken seriously. .... Does he own a mirror? |
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