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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 10:51 pm 
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Monte wrote:
Hannibal wrote:
Well actually we'd be europe.


Would that be such a bad thing? Universal health care, low cost education, lots of safety nets to help us in times of crisis. Sounds awesome. Sounds like a place where someone could really get ahead, where there would be plenty of opportunity to thrive no matter what economic situation the accident of birth placed a person in.


It's also a place many of our ancestors fled from. I don't want to go back, personally.


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:03 pm 
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Rafael wrote:
It doesn't work like that. Not every nation can be a debtor nation. You are completely disregarding the fact that in order for debt to be issued, a creditor must have savings deposits at his disposal. In banking system where entities operate on fraction reserve, there can be a greater accumulation of commercial money than there is actual deposits. When nations do this with each other, it become more tricky to actually account for everything, as commercial money tends to get created faster than debt gets repaid.

However, there are two fundamental indicators that show which economies outperform others in terms of keeping creation of commercial money (and money supply itself, which works definitely because it does not require deposits in a fiat system) growth in check: strength of currency and savings rates. What have both of those done in this country in the past months? You could say health of bond market, but that ties closely in with currency strength or things that affect currency strength (solvency of government).


When you say debtor nation, what do you mean? It's perfectly plausible for every government in the world to run a deficit. Those debts don't have to be held by other governments, they can be held by individuals.

Overall, no, not every nation can be a debtor nation. But most people are saying that the cause of the US's economic problems is government spending. Namely, the government is spending a lot more than it takes in, which causes inflation, (decreases the currency strength) which destroys the economy. But this doesn't make sense, because EVERY country does this. If this line of thinking is correct, every economy in the world is doomed. There are many Western countries with a worse debt to GDP ratio than the US. Japan's public debt is almost 200% of their GDP now.

The US has other problems, like the savings rate, but you're not going to fix that problem unless you implement nasty consequences for not saving. In the US you can declare bankruptcy and wipe those debts, and even beyond that there's always a charity that will put you up or welfare. In China, if you run out of money, you starve to **** death. If you have a health problem that you can't pay for, you **** die. That's why their savings rate is so high.


Last edited by Xequecal on Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:08 pm 
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Beryllin wrote:
Monte wrote:
Hannibal wrote:
Well actually we'd be europe.


Would that be such a bad thing? Universal health care, low cost education, lots of safety nets to help us in times of crisis. Sounds awesome. Sounds like a place where someone could really get ahead, where there would be plenty of opportunity to thrive no matter what economic situation the accident of birth placed a person in.


It's also a place many of our ancestors fled from. I don't want to go back, personally.


It's nothing like that place was when they fled.

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PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:27 pm 
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Monte wrote:
It's nothing like that place was when they fled.


How about instead of people making the U.S. into a European clone, people who want that kind of society move there, and leave those of us who don't alone?


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:27 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
DFK! wrote:
Xequecal wrote:
Every Western country has large amounts of public debt. European countries in general have our SS and Medicare problems times ten with their own social insurance.


Which European countries have social nets due to become insolvent within 8 years?

I'm honestly curious.


Eight years? The quoted year for SS to fail I hear most is 2036. Most European social insurance will go insolvent long before that, usually in the 2020s. They have a much bigger problem with an aging population, Americans have 2.0 kids per woman and Europe is like at 1.6 or 1.7.


Medicare.

Medicare is due to be insolvent in 2017, according to the trustees. That's presuming that a 21% reduction in physician payments is implemented. A reduction that has been postponed by acts of Congress every year since it was deemed necessary.

So tell me what you think the odds are it'll be 2017 and not sooner.

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PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:32 pm 
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Beryllin wrote:
How about instead of people making the U.S. into a European clone, people who want that kind of society move there, and leave those of us who don't alone?


Getting European citizenship is incredibly difficult if you're not related to someone who already is a citizen, it makes the US naturalization process look like loads of fun. I hear the UK is somewhat easier, but getting citizenship in France, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, or any of the Scandinavian countries is almost impossible.


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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Nov 04, 2009 11:53 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
Beryllin wrote:
How about instead of people making the U.S. into a European clone, people who want that kind of society move there, and leave those of us who don't alone?


Getting European citizenship is incredibly difficult if you're not related to someone who already is a citizen, it makes the US naturalization process look like loads of fun. I hear the UK is somewhat easier, but getting citizenship in France, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, or any of the Scandinavian countries is almost impossible.


But if someone would prefer the European model, it'd be worth it, seems to me, since here you're gonna run into lots of resistance, trying to create that model.


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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 12:03 am 
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Xequecal wrote:
Beryllin wrote:
How about instead of people making the U.S. into a European clone, people who want that kind of society move there, and leave those of us who don't alone?


Getting European citizenship is incredibly difficult if you're not related to someone who already is a citizen, it makes the US naturalization process look like loads of fun. I hear the UK is somewhat easier, but getting citizenship in France, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, or any of the Scandinavian countries is almost impossible.


The lack of a will to act on your beliefs does not justify, in my opinion, undermining the foundational principles of a nation.

Please note I'm using the general "your," not you specifically Xequecal.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 12:47 am 
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Beryllin wrote:
Monte wrote:
It's nothing like that place was when they fled.


How about instead of people making the U.S. into a European clone, people who want that kind of society move there, and leave those of us who don't alone?


So, back to the old days of "if you don't think America should be the way I think it should be, get out"? I think America should be what we make it, through our system of representative republic. That we should fight for what we believe in and craft the very best society we can from what we have.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 1:14 am 
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Monte wrote:
I think America should be what we make it, through our system of representative republic.



So then you fully support the decisions of Maine's electorate?

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 1:18 am 
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No, of course I don't. I think it runs counter to our representative republic, to be honest. Civil Rights questions are the province of the courts, not the popular vote. THey are all ultimately 14th amendment questions - equal protection under the law.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 1:23 am 
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Monte wrote:
Civil Rights questions are the province of the courts, not the popular vote.


Actually, no, they aren't.

The province of the judicial branch of government is not to decide matters explicitly given to the legislature.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 1:26 am 
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It is the job of the courts to make sure the law is applied equally to all people - the 14th Amendment clearly states that. All civil rights questions ultimately fall under that heading, when it comes down to it. Popular state votes can't tell a black person that they can't marry a white person, for example, and they should not be allowed to tell a man he can't marry his male partner.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 1:28 am 
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Monte wrote:
It is the job of the courts to make sure the law is applied equally to all people - the 14th Amendment clearly states that. All civil rights questions ultimately fall under that heading, when it comes down to it. Popular state votes can't tell a black person that they can't marry a white person, for example, and they should not be allowed to tell a man he can't marry his male partner.



And it is. Straight people cannot marry the same sex just like gays cannot.

Of course the courts didn't decide that the law has to be applied equally - the legislature did.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 1:30 am 
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Elmarnieh wrote:


And it is. Straight people cannot marry the same sex just like gays cannot.


I'm kind of shocked to see you make that argument.

Straight people have the right to marry the partner they love. Gay people do not.

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Of course the courts didn't decide that the law has to be applied equally - the legislature did.


That's true, but now that it's enshrined in the constitution, it is definitely in the court's ...court...to handle.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 8:11 am 
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Monte wrote:
I'm kind of shocked to see you make that argument.

Straight people have the right to marry the partner they love. Gay people do not.


Straight people do not have any right to "marry the partner they love". Love isn't something the law concerns itself with. You don't need to be in love to get married.

In fact, the entire argument is nonsense because it's predicated on a gay-vs-straight dichotomy when in fact there's lots of room in the middle. Are bisexuals being half-discriminated against because there's only a 50-50 chance they can "marry the person they love"?

Oh, wait.. not all bisexuals are 50-50. Most lean one way or the other. Maybe discrimination is proportional to the unquantifiable degree of preference?

Suppose a bisexual wants to marry a same-sex partner. They can't. They break up. That bisexual falls in love with a person of the opposite sex. They get married. How are they being discriminated against? They got treated the same as everyone else, and they ended up marrying someone they love.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:00 am 
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Straight people don't have the right to marry a brother or sister, even though they love them.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:03 am 
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Monte wrote:
Elmarnieh wrote:


And it is. Straight people cannot marry the same sex just like gays cannot.


I'm kind of shocked to see you make that argument.

Straight people have the right to marry the partner they love. Gay people do not.

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Of course the courts didn't decide that the law has to be applied equally - the legislature did.


That's true, but now that it's enshrined in the constitution, it is definitely in the court's ...court...to handle.



Haven't you notice I occasionally take up a position I disagree with to toy with it's absurdities?

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 10:36 am 
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Did you even read what was posted? Do you understand how modern commercial banking works under the framework a fiat-currency based central banking system?

Xequecal wrote:
When you say debtor nation, what do you mean? It's perfectly plausible for every government in the world to run a deficit. Those debts don't have to be held by other governments, they can be held by individuals.


A debtor nation is a nation whose sum total current accounts deficit and outstanding liabilities is held by foreign trading partners, rather than citizens who trade, buy and sell in domestic markets denominated in the domestic currency.

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Overall, no, not every nation can be a debtor nation. But most people are saying that the cause of the US's economic problems is government spending. Namely, the government is spending a lot more than it takes in, which causes inflation, (decreases the currency strength) which destroys the economy.


No it doesn't. A deficit causes a deficit. Monetizing the deficit can create inflation. If the public works or whatever the budgets the inflation currency is used to fund actually increase productivity, inflation can be displaced and if the producitivy drives down aggregate prices, you could even say there is deflation because the productivity increase out-weighs the loss in the strength of currency. Image now, if those works weren't funded by monetized debt, but rather tax revenues and the currency didn't lose any strenght but productivity increased. How much better off would everyone be if suddenly they kept their current wages and prices decreased?

But this is predicated on a very important detail: public works increase the economic productivity of individuals to contribute to an aggregate increase. We might argue this is subjective. And it is. Economics is not a study of objective fact, it is a study of law of cause and effect based on the mechanics of how specific trade markets are allowed to operate and how individuals will act as a result. So public roads, while there is not a quantitative way to substantiate this fact, probably do increase aggregate productivity through increasing the producitvity of the individual. But the case for other public works and programs is not so. Not to mention, the way funds are allocated at the State level, Federal level, and from Federal to State, as the case may be, is not so simple.

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But this doesn't make sense, because EVERY country does this. If this line of thinking is correct, every economy in the world is doomed. There are many Western countries with a worse debt to GDP ratio than the US. Japan's public debt is almost 200% of their GDP now.


No, that line of thinking only makes sense if you assume every quadralateral is a square, happen upon a rhombus and wonder where the hell the four right angles and equal length sides went. EVERY country does not run deficits where monetization occurs to pay for government issued secured debt obligations sold to our primary trading partners. China holds a large sum of outstanding obligations. We do not hold obligations of other countries. Secondly, GDP is a poor measurement of the aggregate economic productivity I alluded to above. It was derived from GNP, which is useful during times of war when large quantities of the productive capacity are devoted to supply war materials. There is an obvious goal during a time of war. Using this measurement during times when there is no clear unified goal is absurd and a fallacy. We could easily drive the GDP:debt towards 1:1 just by creating massive inflation, using the fake currency and paying it to employ everyone to sit around all day. That doesn't mean our economic producitivy as increased.

In other countries, they leave the red ink on the books. That is why their currency is strengthen to ours. That means they can purchase services and goods primarily purchased by those who live in a dollar denominated enviroment with more ease. Additionally, those economies produce many goods, goods that are bought by trading partnets in bulk. In the US, most of what we produce are consumed by us. It is not the economies that are doomed, it is the currencies. The problem is, the only thing we produce (to export) is our currency.

Additionally, the US borrow a lot of money back in the 1700's and 1800's. These were used toward productive ends: building factories, creating infrastructure, etc. Now, we stimulate the economy with inflated funded bailout packages to save unproductive jobs and companies and to encourage people to buy more cars and houses. How is this going to make us more productive?

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The US has other problems, like the savings rate, but you're not going to fix that problem unless you implement nasty consequences for not saving. In the US you can declare bankruptcy and wipe those debts, and even beyond that there's always a charity that will put you up or welfare. In China, if you run out of money, you starve to **** death. If you have a health problem that you can't pay for, you **** die. That's why their savings rate is so high.


Guess what? Take away money, take away currency. Think of everything in terms of labor performed, goods produced and services rendered. If there isn't enough food, people starve; you can't monetize this fact into oblivion like you can with budget deficits. That's why it is important to have savings; it represents economic underconsumption, so that real capital is available. It is real, discplined by those savings and thus, those that seek to borrow it are driven by the market to make a return on it. This controls the problem of malinvestment.

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