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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:15 pm 
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Monte wrote:
It's pretty simple, actually. Gold is a limited resource. When you set Gold as the currency base, you turn wealth into a zero sum game. Those with money will acquire more and more of the currency base and simply sit on it. The less there is, the more it's worth. The wealthy get more and more wealthy, and those without continually bleed the means by which to generate wealth for themselves.


How exactly do the wealthy acquire more and more of the currency base without spending any of it? Ho do those without it "bleed" the means to generate wealth for themselves? The wealthy no longer need to pay them for work? What's the point of hoarding? The wealthy all just sit there like Scrooge avoiding spending any of what they ahve in order to keep its value high? If you can't spend it on anything for fear of devaluing your hoard, why hoard it in the first place?

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:25 pm 
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Diamondeye wrote:
If you can't spend it on anything for fear of devaluing your hoard, why hoard it in the first place?


Duh. That's why you have adventurers come to try to take your hoard. So you can kill them and take their stuff.

Oh wait... were we not talking about dragons?

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:58 pm 
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Müs wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
If you can't spend it on anything for fear of devaluing your hoard, why hoard it in the first place?


Duh. That's why you have adventurers come to try to take your hoard. So you can kill them and take their stuff.

Oh wait... were we not talking about dragons?



As far as I can tell we are. Other than Ebeneezer Scrooge, they're the only critter I know of that hoards without spending.

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 4:01 pm 
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Scrooge McDuck did too, but that's splitting hairs, I suppose.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 4:02 pm 
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FarSky wrote:
Scrooge McDuck did too, but that's splitting hairs, I suppose.


Not at all. I stand corrected!

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 4:44 pm 
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Ebenezer Scrooge... Scrooge McDuck?

SOYLENT GREEN IS DUCKS!!!

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 4:56 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
This was my whole point to begin with, that gold-backed currency is just as easy to arbitrarily manipulate as fiat currency, and therefore it's a huge waste of time. Of course there are nasty consequences if you do it. There's nasty consequences to manipulating fiat currency too.

The primary difference is, IMO, that it's far more transparent when you manipulate backed currencies, and thus you're less likely to try to get away with it (in the short term) and incur the nasty consequences (which will come out in the long term anyways; hello, bubbles!).

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 5:04 pm 
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Monte wrote:
Inflation drives investment. When you have a currency base like gold, you encourage people to *not* invest, because the value of their currency is going to rise. Therefore, it makes more sense to simply sit on it, and collect more and more of it. When you have a a currency more subject to inflation, you then encourage people to go invest it in order to make a profit, and continue to profit. This is basic economics, Raf. You should know this.

I find it laughable that you try to tell others, especially Rafael, about basic economics. Just because there is inflation doesn't mean your money's buying power is worth any more. Inflation isn't what makes your investment worth more. The real buying power of your currency could be less even though you have more than what you invested.

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 5:22 pm 
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Infaltion is simply an increase in the money supply, its symptoms tend to be malinvestment, over-exuberent borrowing, and a rise in the price of goods and services.

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 10:33 pm 
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FarSky wrote:
Scrooge McDuck did too, but that's splitting hairs, I suppose.

Splitting feathers. Ducks don't have hairs.

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 11:14 pm 
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Screeling wrote:
Monte wrote:
Inflation drives investment. When you have a currency base like gold, you encourage people to *not* invest, because the value of their currency is going to rise. Therefore, it makes more sense to simply sit on it, and collect more and more of it. When you have a a currency more subject to inflation, you then encourage people to go invest it in order to make a profit, and continue to profit. This is basic economics, Raf. You should know this.

I find it laughable that you try to tell others, especially Rafael, about basic economics. Just because there is inflation doesn't mean your money's buying power is worth any more. Inflation isn't what makes your investment worth more. The real buying power of your currency could be less even though you have more than what you invested.


Inflation does drive investment. If you have deflation, someone can stuff all their money under their mattress and make a risk-free profit. Inflation requires that you invest your money or you will lose it.


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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 11:41 pm 
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Inflation drives mal-investment.

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 04, 2010 11:56 pm 
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Monte, you just crashed into 3rd Rock. Yes, coconuts have a market value as does gold and everything else. Paper currency literally does not.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:07 am 
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Xequecal wrote:
Inflation requires that you invest your money or you will lose it.


Thus benefiting the wealthy.


Hence, advocacy of an inflation-based fiscal policy is advocacy of an anti-poor and anti-working-class policy.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:18 am 
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Xequecal wrote:
Screeling wrote:
Monte wrote:
Inflation drives investment. When you have a currency base like gold, you encourage people to *not* invest, because the value of their currency is going to rise. Therefore, it makes more sense to simply sit on it, and collect more and more of it. When you have a a currency more subject to inflation, you then encourage people to go invest it in order to make a profit, and continue to profit. This is basic economics, Raf. You should know this.

I find it laughable that you try to tell others, especially Rafael, about basic economics. Just because there is inflation doesn't mean your money's buying power is worth any more. Inflation isn't what makes your investment worth more. The real buying power of your currency could be less even though you have more than what you invested.


Inflation does drive investment. If you have deflation, someone can stuff all their money under their mattress and make a risk-free profit. Inflation requires that you invest your money or you will lose it.


No it doesn't, because people still need to exchange some sort of good for others. Inflation not only requires you to buy equities with your wealth (wealth denominated in the fiat currency) or you lose it and that drives mal-investment and price bubbles.

Everyone completely loses sight of the fact that any fiat currency is essentially worthless; you don't want money. You want what money can buy. Let's say we have a deflationary scenario. Long ago I posted a tirade about deflation and inflation and how we must be careful how we define it (aggregate increase in prices, aggregate increase in prices of a certain "metric" such as commodities, growth of money supply indicators and other such metrics, growth in debt instruments etc. all have their benefits).

Let's say that we can attribute all price increases to inflation as the money "instantly distributes" itself and we can indeed separate other price mechanisms (driven by the market) from inflationary influences. We will tend to see the prices of basic consumer goods rise, the price of debt will increase as interest rates rise and people will tend to keep their wealth in currency instruments such as bonds, money markets or other secured debt over equities and perhaps complex vehicles that don't have great exposure to monetary forces (the deflation). If interest rates rise, that means people are going to certainly want to put their money into depository functions. Savings accounts perhaps or less liquid funds such as CD's and money market accounts. More money is available for lending. Interest rates get driven down, and credit "cheapens". Prices (for goods) continue to fall. As interest rates come down and prices fall, consumerism will tend to increase - those cash type instruments will yield less and it will be less attractive to put your money in them then say, go on a vacation (within regions that have large exposures our currency in question i.e. typical tourist hotspots of that country) or buy luxury items or even buy equities (the current situation with our worthless bond market). Deposits decrease, interest rates rise, the demand exert on luxury items drives prices back up and now people start to save again as depository or currency denominated instruments become more attractive. The cycle begins anew.

Now take this exactly negative feedback mechanism and polarize it in the opposite direction. That is what plays out during an inflationary scenario. As long as you don't get acceleration in either direction, stability will occur and the mechanism will reach and equilibrium point. Perturbations to the system exerted by other forces (markets interacting with each other, technology progression, political machinations etc.) will cause the system to unsettle and resettle itself. This is a constant process.

The biggest argument for a non fiat money is that manipulation of this delicate balance is not something humans can achieve, just like we should not (directly) manipulate the climate as it is equally complex and difficult to understand in this quantitative sense. With gold, which is a steady growth and reliable commodity, the market forces get to dominate everything else, and investment gets allocated to the most productive ventures, credit is valued as it should be and people and other entities know what their assets are worth so they can appropriately plan.

And Monte, there is no such thing as "libertarian" economics. Libertarianism deals strictly with the idea of personal freedoms. Economics is the study of human behavior.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 7:41 am 
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DFK! wrote:
Xequecal wrote:
Inflation requires that you invest your money or you will lose it.


Thus benefiting the wealthy.

Hence, advocacy of an inflation-based fiscal policy is advocacy of an anti-poor and anti-working-class policy.


Maybe if you live in a fantasy land where people actually save money. Deflation only helps a poor person if he manages to save some money every year. In America, poor people almost universally have more debt every year. Inflation reduces the severity of those debts.

With houses being the only real big asset most people have and house prices being so far in the shitter I would not be surprised to learn that the net worth of the majority of Americans was less than zero. Deflation will only make their problems worse. The average net worth in the US dropped 25% in the last two years, that's 25% of all the wealth in the country *poof* gone overnight.


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 7:59 am 
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Inflation never reduces the severity of debt, since debt out scales income in an inflation based society. Because the poor and working class cannot, without "great" discipline break the cycle, all inflation means is they have to borrow more and more each year to cover the basic cost of living. The irony of the board liberals advocating an inflation based economy should not be lost on anyone: you want perpetual wage slaves.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 9:41 am 
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Xequecal wrote:
DFK! wrote:
Xequecal wrote:
Inflation requires that you invest your money or you will lose it.


Thus benefiting the wealthy.

Hence, advocacy of an inflation-based fiscal policy is advocacy of an anti-poor and anti-working-class policy.


Maybe if you live in a fantasy land where people actually save money. Deflation only helps a poor person if he manages to save some money every year. In America, poor people almost universally have more debt every year. Inflation reduces the severity of those debts.


No it doesn't. Inflation certainly wipes out dollar denominated assets and liabilities, but not for one who's income relies (as Khross as already pointed out) on wages which hardly adjust. All it does is increase their cost of living, it doesn't make it easier to service debt. Deflation also reduces aggregate prices for a poor person quicker than his wage can respond. In effect, the purchasing power of his wage increases.

Your contention that people don't save is a logical fallacy. People don't save because interest rates are low in an inflationary enviroment. People not saving doesn't make an inflationary enviroment happen - lack of savings, rather, drives up interest rates.

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With houses being the only real big asset most people have and house prices being so far in the shitter I would not be surprised to learn that the net worth of the majority of Americans was less than zero. Deflation will only make their problems worse. The average net worth in the US dropped 25% in the last two years, that's 25% of all the wealth in the country *poof* gone overnight.


No it won't. Deflation makes the situation for those people worse, but you cannot conflate such an a contention to mean such policy is bad in general. What it would force is lots of people to rent rather than own which is a more accurate reflection of what they can afford.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 10:30 am 
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To put Khross and Rafael speak into the my answer to Xeq, let me explain why inflation based fiscal policies keep the poor poor, and it has nothing to do with how much you save.

Given the 100 year historical rate of around 3% inflation, this means that any "investment" must return MORE than 3% in order to experience actual gain (ignoring the need for wage changes). There is almost zero low-to-moderate risk investment that will clear 3% annually. This makes moderate-to-high risk (such as stocks) mandatory. Since the risk is higher, you must alleviate risk. In order to alleviate risk, you must diversify. Diversifying when you're poor or low-income is atrociously difficult, and thus their entire investments are at risk.

Incidentally, this is the moral reason pension plans worked: pool all the low-income workers investment moneys and you can diversify successfully, thus more effectively alleviating risk.


By forcing high-risk investments on a particular demographic, you force reliance on an external entity to help them (be it government retirement such as SS or a private entity such as a pension). In a deflationary or static fiscal policy, the risk is alleviated, so the individual can manage their own investments well enough to get by, even if it is as simple as a savings account earning 1% or less.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:16 pm 
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Khross wrote:
Inflation never reduces the severity of debt, since debt out scales income in an inflation based society. Because the poor and working class cannot, without "great" discipline break the cycle, all inflation means is they have to borrow more and more each year to cover the basic cost of living. The irony of the board liberals advocating an inflation based economy should not be lost on anyone: you want perpetual wage slaves.


What if the poor(er) are not borrowing to cover the basic cost of living? For example, borrowing to buy a house. Assuming a fixed-rate loan and adequate income int he first place, the relatively poor or working person does not need to borrow any more.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:59 pm 
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Diamondeye:

That would speak to people with discipline who save 15-20% of their annual gross income, own a house for which they paid less than 400% of current yearly salary at purchase, and have no credit card or mortgage equity debt. Or, in other words, "great" discipline in contemporary American society. Since behavior demonstrates otherwise, I'll suggest they are an extreme minority.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 4:38 pm 
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Khross wrote:
Diamondeye:

That would speak to people with discipline who save 15-20% of their annual gross income, own a house for which they paid less than 400% of current yearly salary at purchase, and have no credit card or mortgage equity debt. Or, in other words, "great" discipline in contemporary American society. Since behavior demonstrates otherwise, I'll suggest they are an extreme minority.


Fair enough.

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 4:43 pm 
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400% of pretax or post-tax income Khross?

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2010 4:47 pm 
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Monte wrote:
Gold is just as arbitrary as any other basis for currency, only it's less flexible than our current system. The Gold Standard can very easily shoulder the vast majority of the blame for the great Depression, and there's good reason nearly every country in the world ran as fast and as far away from a gold standard as they could during that time.

When the Spanish were bringing gold to the new world by the boat load, they were having to bury the stuff to keep inflation down.

What gold does is change the game to a much less flexible one in which hoarding becomes the goal, and not investing. It eventually focuses wealth into the fewest of hands even more than our current system does at present.

Yes, it has some industrial uses. Those uses are absolutely dwarfed by the main use of gold - pretty shiny things.



Show your work please.

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PostPosted: Mon Jan 11, 2010 6:54 pm 
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You guys are making this too complicated.

Long long time ago in a place far far away... people liked shiny stuff, (or they married people who liked shiny stuff) and they needed to be surrounded by shiny stuff to make their neighbours jealous. Now unfortunately silver lost its shine too easily (especially against certain skin types), and platinum/white gold/titanium was yet to be discovered... gold was the shiniest metal there was. Plus it looked like the sun when umm.. under the sun...

The need for gold started and has remained, eventually been used as currency...

So ya.. the females started it all >.>


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