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PostPosted: Mon May 13, 2013 4:15 pm 
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Talya wrote:
DFK! wrote:
They're used interchangeably by most sci-fi authors, and incorrectly.
Sentience could basically describe every mammal.



Huh. Thank Buddhism's "Sentient Beings" for that, I guess.

Sapient then. Self-aware, and intelligent.


In that case, I'd give partial support to your earlier post about the issue.

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PostPosted: Mon May 13, 2013 4:15 pm 
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Khross wrote:
I don't think it's the government's place to price such externalities. If you really want to get into it, we'd have to target about private markets and private solutions for a lot of things. There are externalities relative to you and me, but of those externalities are created by government regulation, then their net effect is to further diminish the parties involved in the transaction, not improve the transaction.

So what kind of non-governmental market solutions do you think there are for classic environmental externalities like pollution, watercourse changes (i.e. dams), overfishing, deforestation, etc.? I know there's Coase, but I'm sure you're familiar with all the real world issues involved with that.


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PostPosted: Mon May 13, 2013 4:24 pm 
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RangerDave:

That depends, quite honestly, on where you situate ownership of certain items and properties. At some level, assuming a state-level government exists, that state-level government has property of its own, whether it was ceded by citizens, seized, or purchased, etc. That complicates things, because you can't use direct and demonstrable personal harm as your sole mechanism for initiating corrective action. Government created externalities, however, diminish the parties involved in the transaction and create barriers to fair trade and level market circumstances. The political argument, at least insofar as we're concerned with your general disposition, would be that government regulation creates a participant neutral playing field for transactions and exchanges, but not necessarily for the long term use of a piece of property. That is, the players have equal footing in the exchange, because of the government, but depending on use the recipient party may be subject to more externalities created by the government in question.

In terms of the specific impacts, I'm a big fan of NGO Custodians for things like Wildlife Management Areas, shared resource zones, etc.

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PostPosted: Mon May 13, 2013 8:49 pm 
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Here's a one-liner for you:
Wanna fight global warming? Eat bugs!

http://reason.com/blog/2013/05/13/eat-m ... ed-nations

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:03 pm 
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So, are scientists just retarded? 97% of peer reviewed studies agree that anthropogenic climate change is a occuring: http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024024/article


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:09 pm 
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Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus.


The 97% is the number of self-rated papers that agree there's a consensus.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:13 pm 
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Emphasis mine.

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Based on our abstract ratings, we found that just over 4,000 papers expressed a position on the cause of global warming, 97.1% of which endorsed human-caused global warming. In the self-ratings, nearly 1,400 papers were rated as taking a position, 97.2% of which endorsed human-caused global warming.

We found that about two-thirds of papers didn't express a position on the subject in the abstract, which confirms that we were conservative in our initial abstract ratings. This result isn't surprising for two reasons: 1) most journals have strict word limits for their abstracts, and 2) frankly, every scientist doing climate research knows humans are causing global warming. There's no longer a need to state something so obvious. For example, would you expect every geological paper to note in its abstract that the Earth is a spherical body that orbits the sun?


97% of studies that reached any kind of consensus agreed that humans are causing climate change. Can't really count the ones that didn't state any cause, can we?


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:15 pm 
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It's even more convoluted than that.



But even if 97% of scientists agreed that humans are influencing the Earth's climate (it should be higher than 97%...everything and everyone influences the Earth's climate), that doesn't actually mean anything by itself.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:15 pm 
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So you've highlighted an instance of begging the question. Awesome.

That attitude you highlighted is the entire problem. From the day that the term "global warming" became popularly known, it's been treated as a given, and the dispute is that contradictory research simply isn't being permitted or published by the scientific community.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:16 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
So, are scientists just retarded?

Nah, just less credible and more biased than partisan politicians and media personalities, industry lobbyists, and skeptics with six and seven figure book deals. Obviously.


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:18 pm 
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It's not considered "a given" out of nowhere, DE. These studies have been going on since the 90's and most scientists at this point are convinced.

This goes over everything much better than I could or would want to - http://www.skepticalscience.com/97-perc ... -2013.html


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:20 pm 
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http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2 ... 024024.pdf

Methodologically speaking, all your study says is ...

97.2% of scientists publishing articles blaming human beings for global warming believe human beings are causing global warming.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:20 pm 
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We've been going over this for 6 or 7 years as well. You do remember a certain person that claimed any disagreement was from an "industry shill"? That's the problem. He's not the only one out there, and as soon as global warming was mentioned, the attitude expressed to the public was "it's a given." You do realize that a consensus arrived at by deciding a certain conclusion must be true, then looking for ways to confirm it is a problem?

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:24 pm 
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Khross wrote:
97.2% of scientists publishing articles blaming human beings for global warming believe human beings are causing global warming.


That is not what it says.

Quote:
Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:25 pm 
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So you're contending that the scientists publishing the abstracts endorsing the consensus are different from the scientists that make up the consensus? :psyduck:

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:25 pm 
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Diamondeye wrote:
You do realize that a consensus arrived at by deciding a certain conclusion must be true, then looking for ways to confirm it is a problem?

Sure; I just don't believe that's even close to what happened in the scientific community on this issue.


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:26 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
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Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming.
Which is fine, since in both cases some in excess of 35% of the total abstract and article pool expressed no position either way on anthropogenic global warming. In self-review, 35.5% of articles had no opinion on the matter. You are misquoting that abstract and its resultant article gloriously.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:26 pm 
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DE:
I'm saying they didn't publish them or perform the studies with the intent of blaming humans. They did the studies and 97% concluded that humans have made/continue to make an impact. There's a difference.

Khross:
To not state a conclusion does not automatically mean that they wouldn't conclude the same thing if they were to say something. 97% of the papers that did state an opinion said humans contribute to warming. We can't really count the papers that abstained, nor can we assume their reasons for doing so, can we?


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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:27 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
It's not considered "a given" out of nowhere, DE. These studies have been going on since the 90's and most scientists at this point are convinced.

This goes over everything much better than I could or would want to - http://www.skepticalscience.com/97-perc ... -2013.html



None of that goes into why we should care. There are several reasons why this needs to be stated:

(1) What is the effect going to be? Worst-case scenarios by scientists say Earth's temperature might climb by as much as 2 degrees over the next century. Earth has been 8 degrees warmer than it is now and this did not cause the earth to become uninhabitable. In fact, it was probably MORE habitable than it is now. Two degree is not going to cause the oceans to rise enough to even make New Orleans uninhabitable. It's not going to significantly decrease crop production in the tropics, but may substantially increase crop productivity in cooler climates. Why is even this worst case scenario a problem?

(2) Even if it is a problem, what difference can we make? If we stopped all greenhouse emissions now (an impossibility), would it stop warming in time to make a difference? And even if so, the only clean energy source we have that can conceivably fill our needs is nuclear power, and the environmental lobby hates it worse than it hates oil. Our energy requirements will not go down. The only way to meet the environmental lobby's demands is to cut Earth's population by about 90%. How's that for a solution?

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Last edited by Talya on Thu May 16, 2013 2:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:28 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
You do realize that a consensus arrived at by deciding a certain conclusion must be true, then looking for ways to confirm it is a problem?
Sure; I just don't believe that's even close to what happened in the scientific community on this issue.
Except we know categorically that this is what happened ... I'm amazed you've forgotten about the emails from the big climatology lab in England that got leaked talking about controlling publication of dissenting papers, etc.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:28 pm 
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Khross wrote:
http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024024/pdf/1748-9326_8_2_024024.pdf

Methodologically speaking, all your study says is ...

97.2% of scientists publishing articles blaming human beings for global warming believe human beings are causing global warming.

Hmm. I think we can go a step further. 100% of studies by the team of John Cook, Dana Nuccitelli, Sarah A Green, Mark Richardson, Barbel Winkler, Rob Painting, Robert Way, Peter Jacobs, and Andrew Skuce to verify that there's a consensus on global warming report that 97.2% of scientists publishing articles blaming human beings for global warming believe human beings are causing global warming.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:29 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
You do realize that a consensus arrived at by deciding a certain conclusion must be true, then looking for ways to confirm it is a problem?

Sure; I just don't believe that's even close to what happened in the scientific community on this issue.


At what point was the scientific community looking at "global warming" (the older term used intentionally) when the public was NOT being told steps had to be taken to prevent it? We've been hearing about the need for new regulation since at least 1991; I remember all sorts of panic-y videos about how we'd be out of water next wekk if Things Weren't Done back in high school.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:30 pm 
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Oh, and Lenas, pulling information from the website where you found the article is probably a bad idea ...

It's a known bias site.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:30 pm 
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The only way to meet the environmental lobby's demands is to cut Earth's population by about 90%. How's that for a solution?


Some people talk a lot of trash on the internet about there being too many people, but I don't see any of them volunteering to be the ones to leave.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 2:31 pm 
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If my job depended on grants by organizations that receive grants by government to operate and the existence of my employer was directly correlated to my findings...

If the scientists want to be scientists they wouldn't need to cherry pick their data selections so they get the results they wanted nor would they have to insert some functions that manipulate data to say what they want.

I mean 100% of scientists believed in Piltdown man so...

Science is about the quality of work not mass consensus.

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