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Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? https://gladerebooted.net/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=10352 |
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Author: | Lex Luthor [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 10:29 am ] |
Post subject: | Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
http://www.law.harvard.edu/students/org ... online.pdf The general conclusion from this study is that the opposite is true. Quote: International evidence and comparisons have long been offered as proof of the mantra that more guns mean more deaths and that fewer guns, therefore, mean fewer deaths. Unfortunately, such discussions are all too often been afflicted by misconceptions and factual error and focus on comparisons that are unrepresentative. It may be useful to begin with a few examples. There is a compound assertion that(a) guns are uniquely available in the United States compared with other modern developed nations, which is why (b) the United States has by far the highest murder rate. Though these assertions have been endlessly repeated, statement (b) is, in fact, false and statement (a) is substantially so. Quote: Particularly corrosive to the mantra are the facts as to rural African‐Americans gun ownership. Per capita, rural African‐Americans are much more likely to own firearms than are urban African‐Americans. Yet, despite their greater access to guns, the firearm murder rate of young rural black males is a small fraction of the firearm murder rate of young urban black males It's a pretty good read. |
Author: | Micheal [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:18 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
A) only if you take the guns away from the criminals, good luck. B) no, if someone really wants to kill themself, they will find a way. The impulse suicides included. |
Author: | Xequecal [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:23 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
For murder, maybe after 50 years, assuming the rate of confiscation of guns from criminals exceeds the rate they're smuggled into the country. Those 50 years would sure suck though as all the criminals would be armed and nobody else would be. It would definitely reduce suicide though. The vast majority of suicide attempts fail, but gun suicides usually succeed. If you take guns away as an option all the potential suiciders will have to fall back on less-reliable options. |
Author: | Vindicarre [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:26 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Xequecal wrote: It would definitely reduce suicide though. The vast majority of suicide attempts fail, but gun suicides usually succeed. If you take guns away as an option all the potential suiciders will have to fall back on less-reliable options. Citation please? I don't see any evidence that lack of guns decreases suicide rates; I see quite a bit of evidence that it doesn't matter. ex: Many countries with much more firearms restrictions have a higher suicide rate than the US. |
Author: | Xequecal [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:29 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Vindicarre wrote: Xequecal wrote: It would definitely reduce suicide though. The vast majority of suicide attempts fail, but gun suicides usually succeed. If you take guns away as an option all the potential suiciders will have to fall back on less-reliable options. Citation please? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_suicide_attempt That lays it out pretty concisely, if you trust wikipedia that is. Quote: In the US, the NIMH reports there are 11 nonfatal suicide attempts for every suicide death.[1] The American Association of Suicidology reports higher numbers, stating that there are 25 suicide attempts for every suicide completion.[2] By these numbers, approximately 92-96% of suicide attempts end in survival. Quote: Some suicide methods have higher rates of lethality than others. The use of firearms results in death 90% of the time. Wrist-slashing has a much lower lethality rate, comparatively. 75% of all suicide attempts are by self-poisoning, a method that is often thwarted because the drug is nonlethal or is used at a nonlethal dosage. These people survive 97% of the time.[4]
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Author: | Hannibal [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:36 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Suicidology? Thats a more depressing major than womens studies! |
Author: | Vindicarre [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 12:38 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
As I said, many countries where citizens can't get guns have higher suicide rates. As wiki said, they'll just try again: Quote: A nonfatal suicide attempt is the strongest known clinical predictor of eventual suicide.
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Author: | Diamondeye [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 1:55 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Since the article pretty much blows the suicide thing out of the water if you actually read it, we can dispense with that. It talks at one point about some idiot that thinks strict government controls of pesticides in Fiji would control suicides there, where either that method or hanging is very common. Basically the same argument as is used for guns. |
Author: | Lenas [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 2:02 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
Vindicarre wrote: As I said, many countries where citizens can't get guns have higher suicide rates. Okay, but surely these other countries also have other attributing factors in someone's decision to kill themselves, right? Like maybe they live in slums, have a lack of freedoms, or are extremely overworked and underpaid? We don't exactly have people jumping out of high rise buildings on the regular like Foxconn does. |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 2:08 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Re: |
Lenas wrote: Vindicarre wrote: As I said, many countries where citizens can't get guns have higher suicide rates. Okay, but surely these other countries also have other attributing factors in someone's decision to kill themselves, right? Like maybe they live in slums, have a lack of freedoms, or are extremely overworked and underpaid? We don't exactly have people jumping out of high rise buildings on the regular like Foxconn does. Which pretty much establishes that suicide is not a factor of one particular means of doing it being available. |
Author: | Corolinth [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 2:23 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
What guns do to promote suicide is provide a convenient method. Now, that is specific to handguns. People don't generally kill themselves with rifles and shotguns. Yes, I know Kurt Cobain swallowed the barrel of a 12-gauge, and he is an exception. Killing yourself with a rifle or shotgun is very cumbersome. The appeal of suicide by gun is that it's quick and convenient. That means pistols. I want to put the barrel to my temple or mouth and pull the trigger, I don't want to have to figure out how to get my toe through the trigger guard because my arm isn't long enough to reach while I've got the barrel in my mouth. This goes further. Something else that has been observed was the effect of proper firearm safety on deterring suicides. Most gun control advocates are unaware that various state and federal laws prohibit the transportation of loaded firearms. If you're taking a firearm across state lines, you have to transport the weapon and the ammunition in separate containers. Firearm safety goes a step further. I don't know how it is for other states, but Missouri Hunter Education training on firearm safety states that firearms should never be loaded in storage. Ammunition should be removed from the chambers and magazines, returned to the box, and stored in a separate safe or closet, or at the very least on a separate shelf. This safety protocol is older than I am. It was added to address concerns of children hurting themselves with Dad's rifle long before gun control advocates ever got up in arms about children accidentally shooting themselves. Remember when I said the allure of gun suicide was convenience? The simple act of having to put a bullet in the chamber deters the majority of would-be gun suicides. I'm feeling worthless and low, like the world would be better off without me, and I reach into my nightstand for the pistol so that I can end it all. That's how gun suicide works. It is a momentary thought that is able to be carried out because it only takes a moment. If you have to load the gun, you are likely to change your mind. In the time it takes me to get out the box of ammunition, open it up, and take out a bullet, the thought has passed. I no longer want to kill myself. |
Author: | TheRiov [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 2:26 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I realize its totally anecdotal, and not really relevant to the discussion, but of the 3 people I've known who successfully committed suicide, two of those three did it with shotgun. also... http://lostallhope.com/ is a rather frightening site. But according to the site, only 5% of suicide attempts with a shotgun fail. 80% of suicides with a handgun fail. |
Author: | Amanar [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 3:33 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Why are we comparing suicide rates in other countries where guns are banned with suicide rates in the US? That's just introducing a lot of confounding variables, and there's no point. We can just look within the US. Some households have guns, some don't. Do the ones with guns have higher suicide rates? The answer is a resounding yes. Sure, there are probably some confounding variables at work here, but they're a lot easier to deal with than comparing different countries with completely different cultures. This page has a pretty good summary of all the info: https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/means-matt ... tter/risk/ |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:25 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Amanar wrote: Why are we comparing suicide rates in other countries where guns are banned with suicide rates in the US? That's just introducing a lot of confounding variables, and there's no point. We can just look within the US. Some households have guns, some don't. Do the ones with guns have higher suicide rates? The answer is a resounding yes. Sure, there are probably some confounding variables at work here, but they're a lot easier to deal with than comparing different countries with completely different cultures. This page has a pretty good summary of all the info: https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/means-matt ... tter/risk/ That's sort of the point. All those confounding variables are what establish that availability of firearms does not cause or correlate with increased suicide. |
Author: | Vindicarre [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:47 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Lenas wrote: Vindicarre wrote: As I said, many countries where citizens can't get guns have higher suicide rates. Okay, but surely these other countries also have other attributing factors in someone's decision to kill themselves, right? Like maybe they live in slums, have a lack of freedoms, or are extremely overworked and underpaid? We don't exactly have people jumping out of high rise buildings on the regular like Foxconn does. I was thinking like South Korea, Japan, France, Taiwan... Amanar wrote: Why are we comparing suicide rates in other countries where guns are banned with suicide rates in the US? That's just introducing a lot of confounding variables, and there's no point. That's kind of my point, multiple variables. You can't say that the people who committed suicide "definitely" wouldn't have done so if you only remove one variable. |
Author: | darksiege [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 4:58 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
mother **** wants to off themselves... not having a gun is not going to change that. They will find a way. If I decided I wanted to go... I sure as hell would go get a lot of candy... take every pill I could find in my house, drink both my bottles of whiskey, and then eat alll of the sugar. Take a nice hot bath and slit my wrists. I, myself, have waaaay to much determination not to die to do that however, but killing yourself is not hard if you are really trying to, the people who fail at it... I am convinced are just trying to get attention. |
Author: | TheRiov [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 5:09 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
So not having a gun might prevent those who aren't so committed from succeeding? |
Author: | Diamondeye [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 5:32 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
TheRiov wrote: So not having a gun might prevent those who aren't so committed from succeeding? Pretty much anythng "might" happen. |
Author: | Rorinthas [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 6:05 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Lets's look at just suicide. According to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_in ... ted_States in 2009 there were ~40,000 suicides in a year. Approximately half (20,000) were done with guns. Lets assume we save every one of those people, and they don't try to kill themselves some other Ok, we ban guns and save 20k lives. Why stop there? In the same year (site http://www.centurycouncil.org/drunk-dri ... statistics) 13,000 people died of alcohol related crashes. Should we ban Alcohol too? According to the cdc (http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statist ... _mortality) Second hand smoke could be responsible for as many as 49,000 deaths every year. Ooops, its got to go too. Way worse, and those people aren't even trying to kill themselves. You don't have a constitutional right to tobacco either. Shall I go on? |
Author: | Midgen [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 8:31 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Banning firearms to reduce murder and suicide would be just about as effective as banning trolling has been on this message board. |
Author: | Hopwin [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 8:49 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Rorinthas wrote: Lets's look at just suicide. According to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_in ... ted_States in 2009 there were ~40,000 suicides in a year. Approximately half (20,000) were done with guns. Lets assume we save every one of those people, and they don't try to kill themselves some other Ok, we ban guns and save 20k lives. Why stop there? According to the cdc (http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statist ... _mortality) Second hand smoke could be responsible for as many as 49,000 deaths every year. Ooops, its got to go too. Way worse, and those people aren't even trying to kill themselves. You don't have a constitutional right to tobacco either. Shall I go on? This like the statement that heart disease causes 500k "premature" deaths every year. What exactly is a "mature" death? Failure of every organ at the cellular level? |
Author: | Talya [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 9:13 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Just ban suicide. And murder, too. |
Author: | Müs [ Thu Aug 29, 2013 9:17 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: |
Midgen wrote: Banning firearms to reduce murder and suicide would be just about as effective as banning trolling has been on this message board. If you outlaw trolling, only outlaws will troll! |
Author: | Arathain Kelvar [ Fri Aug 30, 2013 6:59 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
Corolinth wrote: What guns do to promote suicide is provide a convenient method. Now, that is specific to handguns. People don't generally kill themselves with rifles and shotguns. Yes, I know Kurt Cobain swallowed the barrel of a 12-gauge, and he is an exception. Killing yourself with a rifle or shotgun is very cumbersome. The appeal of suicide by gun is that it's quick and convenient. That means pistols. I want to put the barrel to my temple or mouth and pull the trigger, I don't want to have to figure out how to get my toe through the trigger guard because my arm isn't long enough to reach while I've got the barrel in my mouth. This goes further. Something else that has been observed was the effect of proper firearm safety on deterring suicides. Most gun control advocates are unaware that various state and federal laws prohibit the transportation of loaded firearms. If you're taking a firearm across state lines, you have to transport the weapon and the ammunition in separate containers. Firearm safety goes a step further. I don't know how it is for other states, but Missouri Hunter Education training on firearm safety states that firearms should never be loaded in storage. Ammunition should be removed from the chambers and magazines, returned to the box, and stored in a separate safe or closet, or at the very least on a separate shelf. This safety protocol is older than I am. It was added to address concerns of children hurting themselves with Dad's rifle long before gun control advocates ever got up in arms about children accidentally shooting themselves. Remember when I said the allure of gun suicide was convenience? The simple act of having to put a bullet in the chamber deters the majority of would-be gun suicides. I'm feeling worthless and low, like the world would be better off without me, and I reach into my nightstand for the pistol so that I can end it all. That's how gun suicide works. It is a momentary thought that is able to be carried out because it only takes a moment. If you have to load the gun, you are likely to change your mind. In the time it takes me to get out the box of ammunition, open it up, and take out a bullet, the thought has passed. I no longer want to kill myself. Sounds like depressed people are incredibly lazy. |
Author: | Xequecal [ Fri Aug 30, 2013 7:22 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Would banning firearms reduce murder and suicide? |
That attitude is probably why a lot of them are depressed, having to deal with people who think mental illness or brain chemical imbalances are just laziness or weakness of character. In my opinion, this is also why gun owning families have a higher risk of suicide. They're more likely to have "traditional" outlooks and demean their family members' mental illnesses. "God, don't give me that bullshit about OCD. You're not sick. You want to stop counting things? Well stop being a lazy useless goddamn failure and stop counting them." |
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