DFK! wrote:
I'm concerned about layering riots on top of a pandemic. Seems just swell. /s
I am fairly sure that the pandemic - or rather the economic effects of the pandemic - are a major driver OF the riots. In addition to the stress, increased drinking and drug use, and mental health issues you suddenly have 40 million or so unemployed people with A) nothing better to do, B) bills to pay, such that a TV set they can sell might stave off disaster a little longer and C) probably quite a bit of pent-up anger at the situation.
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Not particularly interested in debating the civil rights situation...
I do not think there IS a civil rights situation here; literally no one has argued that what happened to George Floyd was justified; the officers were all fired immediately, murder was charged within 96 hours, and the others have now been charged with accessory. George Floyd's civil rights were clearly violated - there is no reason to question that now, and it doesn't seem likely that there will be in the future. The system functioned correctly; if anything it was overzealous to the point of [url=jeopardizing the case against the officers]https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/06/new-floyd-murder-charges-will-be-tough-to-prove-and-may-imperil-good-cops/?utm_source=recirc-desktop&utm_medium=homepage&utm_campaign=right-rail&utm_content=featured-writers&utm_term=first[/url].
As to a more general civil rights situation, I'll watch Joe Rogan for that, because frankly he's the only mature voice I hear out there any more, and I am convinced that what he's really demonstrating is that the appropriate place to have political discussions is on the jiu jitsu mats. (I really miss jiu jitsu with all the lockdowns)
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...so much as conversation about how this might go if we don't get things a bit under control. I'm worried we're headed into a major situation.
We may be. What is alarming is not the rioting itself, but the excuses being made for it. We are seeing the end result of treating everything as a crisis, and every crisis as an exercise in partisan politics and ONLY partisan politics. Much of the argument over COVID policy was exactly this; the particularly silly hydroxychloroquine argument was the top example: the idea that the efficacy of the drug has ANYTHING to do with whether Trump says anything about it is patently absurd and yet this assumption that it DID underpinned the entire controversy! Viruses and the drugs that treat them are not functions of politics and yet almost everything about both was treated as if it did, because our press, our politicians, and quite a few of us are simply not able to approach any problem any more except as a partisan exercise - even when that problem physically imposes itself upon us.
I strongly suspect we could have the Giant Meteor coming right at us and somehow CNN would be blaming Trump and Republicans and telling us how 10,000 megaton meteor impacts disproportionately affect minority communities when they destroy the entire continent, and FOX would be loudly telling us that the liberal establishment is responsible for the fact that gravity is an unforgiving sonofabitch. (Though to be fair, Sokol DID get a paper published arguing gravity is a social construct, so...)
I think we are heading for a major situation, but not the one people think we are. The crisis, right now, is one of state and local governments being more afraid of the press than they are of the rioters and insurrectionists. The Federal government isn't because Trump isn't, and that is because it is irrelevant what he does; if he were to outright resign the press would blame him for putting Mike Pence in charge. The narrative is all that matters; until the rioters actually burn down CNN HQ or something it is all that will matter because no crisis is really real to the media. Even being confined to his house did not get Chris Cuomo to realize that COVID is not a political actor.
The major situation we are heading for is when enough people realize the rioting is at their door and the government is not going to protect them, in enough places. People are going to protect themselves. Minneapolis city council is talking today about disbanding its police department. This is not a serious plan; it is proposing to take a very serious step with no plan whatsoever ("rethink public safety" is not a plan).
A lot of people who have been ***** for years about how policing gets done (from a number of different angles, and not necessarily angles that agree with each other) may be about to find out what it's like when there are none. Some states may be about to find out how expensive it really is to mobilize their entire National Guard so that political amateurs on a city council can propose ridiculous solutions to problems that are largely fictitious (not as in "there are no problems" but as in "you have completely misidentified the problem, because you want the problem to be what your ideology says it is")
There are two potential ways this really goes south: The government fails to protect citizens, they protect themselves, and then the government attempts to arrest or punish them for it. There's real danger here because we've already seen serious overreach with COVID restrictions; threatening to levy fines or jail people for what is normally lawful activity while releasing actual criminals from jail. It is rapidly becoming clear that there is a portion of our political establishment that is only going to attempt to enforce the law against law-abiding people - they have either bought into this idea that all actual enforcment of law is some sort of oppression, or else they are terrified of those who have.
The other way (it's two ways, but they are similar): Law Enforcement and/or National Guard simply stop obeying the commands of political leaders. This could look like a few things; I think the most likely is that law enforcement simply starts quitting en masse. I find the National Guard scenario much more far-fetched, but if National Guard Soldiers start getting killed and they are not allowed to deal forcefully with the insurrectionists, there will absolutely be serious problems. It is not just about "using the military on Americans"; the military ARE Americans, and the National Guard are part-timers who are citizens; they are not to be sacrificed to the violent whims of their fellow Americans because political leaders are more afraid of being called racists than of widespread looting and destruction.
Now, on the other hand this may burn itself out. Quite a few of these people are obviously not serious, do not care at all about George Floyd and are either using him as an excuse to snag a TV, or else as a way to feel morally righteous waving a sign around because there's nothing else to do with school out. There's some pretty ridiculous stuff out there, like 2 girls getting gently arrested in Ohio and trying to manufacture some sort of police brutality out of it by not "giving my sister her dialysis" (for diabetes; last I knew dialysis is not a diabetes treatment and is not something you carry around with you) or "giving her insulin; her blood sugar's low" (I am pretty sure that you do not give insulin for LOW blood sugar). There's also another thing out there about some rioter or protestor receiving a fairly minor leg injury and people putting a full-blown tourniquet on for it. There are a lot of people that are clearly out there just acting out what they see on TV or whatever some moron with a PhD in mad-at-everyone-studies taught them, and they'll eventually lose interest, or else they'll call it quits at the first sign of the mailed fist. Many of them have clearly never really experienced violence and will skeedadle promptly if things go beyond shouting and an occasional brick.