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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:08 pm 
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http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/americas/ ... tml?hpt=C2

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20-year-old woman becomes top cop in violent Mexican municipality
By Arthur Brice, CNNOctober 20, 2010 1:52 p.m. EDT

(CNN) -- Some headlines are hailing her as the bravest woman in Mexico. Marisol Valles Garcia, all of 20 years old, says she's just tired of everyone being afraid.

Valles Garcia, a criminology student, became the police chief this week of Praxedis G. Guerrero, one of the most violent municipalities in the border state of Chihuahua. She was the only person who accepted the top job in a police force whose officers have been abducted and even killed.

"Yes, there is fear," Valles Garcia said Wednesday in an interview with CNN en Español. "It's like all human beings. There will always be fear, but what we want to achieve in our municipality is tranquility and security."

There's good reason for the fear. Just this past weekend, a 59-year-old local mayor, Rito Grado Serrano, and his 37-year-old son, Rogoberto Grado Villa, were killed in a house in which they they were hiding in nearby Ciudad Juarez. Another area mayor was killed in June.

Juarez is the bloodiest city in Mexico, with a reported 2,500 people killed in drug violence this year. Praxedis G. Guerrero is located about 35 miles southeast of Ciudad Juarez. Both are in the state of Chihuahua, which borders Texas.


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Valles Garcia sees a non-violent role for her 13-member force, which will be mostly female and unarmed.

"The weapons we have are principles and values, which are the best weapons for prevention," she told CNN en Español. "Our work will be pure prevention. We are not going to be doing anything else other than prevention."

Valles Garcia said she aims to establish programs in neighborhoods and schools, to win back security in public spaces and to foster greater cooperation among neighbors so they can form watch committees.

She has recruited three other women to join the force in the small municipality of 8,500 people, the government-run Notimex news agency said this week.


It will be interesting to see the results.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 4:17 pm 
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What happens when people with principles and no guns face off against those with guns and no principles?

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 5:33 pm 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
What happens when people with principles and no guns face off against those with guns and no principles?

Depends on how the rest of society reacts. Non-violence in the US civil rights movement didn't succeed because the white supremacists had a change of heart; it succeeded because the rest of the country went, "WTF is going on?! Hey Bull, cut that sh*t out, right now!" when they saw what was happening. On the other hand, non-violence didn't work out so well for the Jews in 1930s Germany largely because most of the German public was pretty much ok with what the Nazis had in mind.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:02 pm 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
What happens when people with principles and no guns face off against those with guns and no principles?


That depends....

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 6:30 pm 
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This sounds like the children's crusades of Medieval Europe...

I suppose their uniforms will have a lot to do with it.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 20, 2010 7:21 pm 
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They're all gonna get raped and dead.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:04 am 
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I hate to say it, but maybe these women being savaged by these animals will finally cause enough outrage. The worst thing the cartels can do is have the violence extend to "regular" people. Perception being that govt officals and soldiers dying is somewhat acceptable in the situation.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:08 am 
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Hannibal wrote:
I hate to say it, but maybe these women being savaged by these animals will finally cause enough outrage. The worst thing the cartels can do is have the violence extend to "regular" people. Perception being that govt officals and soldiers dying is somewhat acceptable in the situation.

They recently found somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 "regular" people murdered on a ranch out there. The people are terrified and can't help themselves.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:22 am 
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Hopwin wrote:
Hannibal wrote:
I hate to say it, but maybe these women being savaged by these animals will finally cause enough outrage. The worst thing the cartels can do is have the violence extend to "regular" people. Perception being that govt officals and soldiers dying is somewhat acceptable in the situation.

They recently found somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 "regular" people murdered on a ranch out there. The people are terrified and can't help themselves.


I'm sure they are terrified, but I have a hard time accepting they can't help themselves. This issue didn't develop overnight, its the inevitable result of their population accepting certain behaviors. Not all at once, its a slow death of a thousand cuts. Drug running is ok because we are sending it to someone else. Jumping the boarder and invading the US is ok cause they tolerate it. Drug cartels are ok cause they give us money to operate and we benefit from their activities. We allowed the government to disarm us. We allowed the goverment to run unchecked and with open corruption.... and the list goes on.

TL;DR: I can't believe that there are as many sheep as reported, there have to be some sheepdogs left in Mexico. Or the next time I hear about machismo I'm gonna ***** them.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:38 am 
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I think it is more a matter of who is better armed. A collection of multi-billion dollar cartels and their mercenaries or an entire population that lives in poverty, filth and squallor.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 8:09 am 
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Even the Mexican army cannot beat the drug cartels in a straight up fight. How are the citizens going to do it?

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 8:19 am 
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This is the Mexican Army we're talking about ...

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 8:40 am 
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The Mexican Army supplies the drug cartel - who do you think pays better?

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 9:13 am 
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Talya wrote:
Even the Mexican army cannot beat the drug cartels in a straight up fight. How are the citizens going to do it?


The Mexican Army could beat the Cartels easily in a straight up fight. The Cartels just don't fight straight-up. They fight like insurgents. Even when they do engage in a gun battle, they do it with an element they know they can beat.

I wouldn't put a lot of money on the Mexican Army developing tactics to deal with this, either.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 9:18 am 
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Hannibal wrote:
Hopwin wrote:
Hannibal wrote:
I hate to say it, but maybe these women being savaged by these animals will finally cause enough outrage. The worst thing the cartels can do is have the violence extend to "regular" people. Perception being that govt officals and soldiers dying is somewhat acceptable in the situation.

They recently found somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 "regular" people murdered on a ranch out there. The people are terrified and can't help themselves.


I'm sure they are terrified, but I have a hard time accepting they can't help themselves. This issue didn't develop overnight, its the inevitable result of their population accepting certain behaviors. Not all at once, its a slow death of a thousand cuts. Drug running is ok because we are sending it to someone else. Jumping the boarder and invading the US is ok cause they tolerate it. Drug cartels are ok cause they give us money to operate and we benefit from their activities. We allowed the government to disarm us. We allowed the goverment to run unchecked and with open corruption.... and the list goes on.

TL;DR: I can't believe that there are as many sheep as reported, there have to be some sheepdogs left in Mexico. Or the next time I hear about machismo I'm gonna ***** them.


Individually, its not a matter of the people being sheep or unable to help themselves. You're absolutely right that they have tolerated too much for too long and created this situation while blaming it on someone else.

That said, the Cartels are already organized. The people need someone honest, with good leadership skills, and who is actually competant to deal with th Cartels to take charge. People with all three are going to be scarce to begin with, and with the current situation getting them to step forward and then survive long enough to do much of anything is.. unlikely. There's also the problem that if they aren't already a government official, the government is going to take issue with anything effective they can do, too.

Without that, individuals, even if they aren't really "sheep" are going to keep their heads down. You can be a fierce fighter on your own but qan organized, motivated enemy is going to eat an individual for lunch, even a whole lot of individuals who can't effectively work together.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 9:49 am 
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At this point, I think there are only two ways to beat the cartels: a decade of counter-insurgency involving lots of deaths, abuses, government-sponsored paramilitary groups, etc. - a la Columbia - or drug legalization in the US. Obviously, I prefer the latter.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 9:56 am 
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Drug legalization isn't going to beat the Cartels. They'll just move into other avenues. This idea that if we legalize drugs that *poof* everything will be fine is wishful thinking and oversimplification of a complex issue of the worst sort. It sounds easy, but it will just create a host of new problems.

At best, all the Cartels will become legitimate narcotics companies if these countries all legalize drug trading as well. Then they'll just ship their problems north in the form of an assload of new addicts robbing liquor stores and the like. They probably won't be content with legitimate income either, so the kidnapping and human trafficking industry will become the new drug trade.

We don't need any decade-long campaign against the Cartels. Selected airstrikes on haciendas ought to reighn them in pretty fast. These are buisnessmen who want to live the good life, not fanatics seeking to please Allah. They have to make a profit, not just cause damage to the infidel.

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PostPosted: Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:33 pm 
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Müs wrote:
They're all gonna get raped and dead.

This, unfortunately.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 11:19 am 
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Diamondeye wrote:
Drug legalization isn't going to beat the Cartels. They'll just move into other avenues. This idea that if we legalize drugs that *poof* everything will be fine is wishful thinking and oversimplification of a complex issue of the worst sort. It sounds easy, but it will just create a host of new problems.

At best, all the Cartels will become legitimate narcotics companies if these countries all legalize drug trading as well. Then they'll just ship their problems north in the form of an assload of new addicts robbing liquor stores and the like. They probably won't be content with legitimate income either, so the kidnapping and human trafficking industry will become the new drug trade.

We don't need any decade-long campaign against the Cartels. Selected airstrikes on haciendas ought to reighn them in pretty fast. These are buisnessmen who want to live the good life, not fanatics seeking to please Allah. They have to make a profit, not just cause damage to the infidel.


I have heard that 90% of the profits of the cartels is from marijuana sales. Don't know if this is true. However, MJ is very easy to grow locally and allowing this would very likely reduce the cost effectiveness of shipping from overseas.

Airstrikes are a bad idea. It may work, but I currently have very little appetite to see large housing complexes bombed. Furthermore, I don't think it would really work. If we kill a few leaders, it will just be spread out, and go more underground. Then there's the issue of intelligence - is this the right guy? It'll get messy fast. We need to exhaust other avenues prior to jumping to a bombing campaign.


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 11:27 am 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
If we kill a few leaders, it will just be spread out, and go more underground.

As far as illegal cartels go, I'd like to see them "more underground". They're too damn out in the open, what with all the murders and such.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 11:52 am 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
Drug legalization isn't going to beat the Cartels. They'll just move into other avenues. This idea that if we legalize drugs that *poof* everything will be fine is wishful thinking and oversimplification of a complex issue of the worst sort. It sounds easy, but it will just create a host of new problems.

At best, all the Cartels will become legitimate narcotics companies if these countries all legalize drug trading as well. Then they'll just ship their problems north in the form of an assload of new addicts robbing liquor stores and the like. They probably won't be content with legitimate income either, so the kidnapping and human trafficking industry will become the new drug trade.

We don't need any decade-long campaign against the Cartels. Selected airstrikes on haciendas ought to reighn them in pretty fast. These are buisnessmen who want to live the good life, not fanatics seeking to please Allah. They have to make a profit, not just cause damage to the infidel.


I have heard that 90% of the profits of the cartels is from marijuana sales. Don't know if this is true. However, MJ is very easy to grow locally and allowing this would very likely reduce the cost effectiveness of shipping from overseas.

Airstrikes are a bad idea. It may work, but I currently have very little appetite to see large housing complexes bombed. Furthermore, I don't think it would really work. If we kill a few leaders, it will just be spread out, and go more underground. Then there's the issue of intelligence - is this the right guy? It'll get messy fast. We need to exhaust other avenues prior to jumping to a bombing campaign.


Drug cartels are basically giant logistics operations. If you drive them underground then they lose their networks and what is essentially the economy of scale afforded by their operations. The drug price would soar as inbound shipments would fall off dramatically.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 12:13 pm 
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Hopwin wrote:
Drug cartels are basically giant logistics operations. If you drive them underground then they lose their networks and what is essentially the economy of scale afforded by their operations. The drug price would soar as inbound shipments would fall off dramatically.


Ok, I agree. What happens when prices of an item soar? Can you think of a time when a high-price product was abandoned because it was dangerous to ship?


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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 12:19 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
I have heard that 90% of the profits of the cartels is from marijuana sales. Don't know if this is true. However, MJ is very easy to grow locally and allowing this would very likely reduce the cost effectiveness of shipping from overseas.


If that were the case it would already reduce the cost effectiveness of shipping it from overseas. People already grow marijuana here regularly.

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Airstrikes are a bad idea. It may work, but I currently have very little appetite to see large housing complexes bombed. Furthermore, I don't think it would really work. If we kill a few leaders, it will just be spread out, and go more underground. Then there's the issue of intelligence - is this the right guy? It'll get messy fast. We need to exhaust other avenues prior to jumping to a bombing campaign.


Who said anything about large housing complexes? I'm talking about haciendas populated by the top dogs. If it goes more underground.. that's an improvement. It at least makes it harder to attack Mexican authorities. There's also the fact that these are, again, businessmen. Being underground is not a long-term acceptable solution if you want to use your profits to live the good life.

I'm not too concerned about intel or the "right guy" either. That's part of how we prolong wars as it is, trying to pretend we give a **** about collateral damage. Obviously we shouldn't sling bombs about willy-nilly, but if e have a good idea of he target we should hit it.

In any case, there's no need to pursue other avenues or a bombing campaign. As long as they keep the violence on their side of the line, fine. Bring it over here and they need to be smashed immediately.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 12:23 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Hopwin wrote:
Drug cartels are basically giant logistics operations. If you drive them underground then they lose their networks and what is essentially the economy of scale afforded by their operations. The drug price would soar as inbound shipments would fall off dramatically.


Ok, I agree. What happens when prices of an item soar? Can you think of a time when a high-price product was abandoned because it was dangerous to ship?


Why does it need to be abandoned? There's no reason we should avoid a course of action because it doesn't give perfect results. The idea is to improve the situation. A complete solution is almost certainly impossible.

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PostPosted: Mon Oct 25, 2010 2:00 pm 
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Diamondeye wrote:
Arathain Kelvar wrote:
I have heard that 90% of the profits of the cartels is from marijuana sales. Don't know if this is true. However, MJ is very easy to grow locally and allowing this would very likely reduce the cost effectiveness of shipping from overseas.


If that were the case it would already reduce the cost effectiveness of shipping it from overseas. People already grow marijuana here regularly.


Not getting your point. The fact that people grow it here surely reduces prices already. You don't think it does?

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Airstrikes are a bad idea. It may work, but I currently have very little appetite to see large housing complexes bombed. Furthermore, I don't think it would really work. If we kill a few leaders, it will just be spread out, and go more underground. Then there's the issue of intelligence - is this the right guy? It'll get messy fast. We need to exhaust other avenues prior to jumping to a bombing campaign.


Who said anything about large housing complexes? I'm talking about haciendas populated by the top dogs.


It is my understanding that these haciendas are not solitary structures in remote areas. They are complexes with several families. This includes children.

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If it goes more underground.. that's an improvement. It at least makes it harder to attack Mexican authorities.


Depends. While I think operations would be temporarily disrupted, chaos within the cartels would increase violence (struggle for new leadership and territory), and could make it more difficult to gain intel on what's going on. Driving it underground would have some benefits, and some costs. I'm not convinced it would reduce attacks on Mexican authorities.

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There's also the fact that these are, again, businessmen. Being underground is not a long-term acceptable solution if you want to use your profits to live the good life.


Their entire business is already at least partially underground. If you give them a choice - profitable business underground or no business above ground without getting bombed, then they'll move underground. You'll kill a few bosses, they'll restructure, and you're back at square one.

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I'm not too concerned about intel or the "right guy" either. That's part of how we prolong wars as it is, trying to pretend we give a **** about collateral damage. Obviously we shouldn't sling bombs about willy-nilly, but if e have a good idea of he target we should hit it.


And that's a bad idea. Mexican civilians are having enough trouble as it is without having to worry about US collateral damage.

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In any case, there's no need to pursue other avenues or a bombing campaign. As long as they keep the violence on their side of the line, fine. Bring it over here and they need to be smashed immediately.


Ok, I agree with this. But... "smashed immediately" is not as easy as you are making it sound. To do what you want to do would require troops. No more of this "playing at war" **** by throwing some bombs around, patting ourselves on the back, and going home.


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