Aizle wrote:
Vindicarre wrote:
Aizle wrote:
On your last post, all of your why questions were things that we've discussed here in the past and pretty thoroughly hashed out.
I really don't know what your position is regarding our massive debt, China holding so much of it, and the possible ramifications therein.
I am certain that I don't know your positions regarding the reasoning behind the fall of the Greek, Roman, or British Empires.
Our current debt is far too high, much of the recent increase was in my opinion unavoidable if we wanted to prevent a financial meltdown. I believe we need to get the budget balanced and back down to a reasonable level. I'm not sure what a reasonable level really is, but my gut tells me a fraction of where we currently are. I believe that's only going to be accomplished by a combination of spending cuts and revenue generation. I think having any single country owning a controling amount of our debt is risky, we should attempt to diversify that as much as possible. Really the Chinese need us to be a strong economy because we are the largest consumer of their goods, so while we may feel additional economic pressure due to the amount of debt they own, there are very real limits to how hard they can push because if the damage us, they damage themselves.
I agree with you in the main, here, with a few exceptions.
Obviously, I don't think the recent increases in the budget were necessary (TARP, stimulus
et al) and I believe the way they were implemented were actually detrimental. The detrimental part stems from the subversion of the whole risk/reward paradigm in a free market, as well as creating uncertainty as to whether there would be new regulations/taxes involved that would change things further. The uncertainty is, in my mind, worse than what would have occurred if there were concrete regs/taxes that could be dealt with; if you don't know what's coming, you can't make plans - so nothing gets done.
As for diversification of the debt, I guess you could beg other countries to buy it, but really there's no practical and effective way (that I can see) to diversify the debt holders - those with the cash can buy it, those who don't can't.
Aizle wrote:
Very true, but on topics that have been hashed out time and time again, I lose my interest in being the underdog here.
I can understand that, but I guess it goes back to the idea that if you know your comments are going to cause a discussion you don't want to participate in, why make the comments?
Aizle wrote:
Vindicarre wrote:
Aizle wrote:
I can see why this add might appeal to those who have those positions, but I also think it's amazingly apparent that this add is targeted at trying to capitalize on that fear and showing an amazingly unlikely worst case scenario in order to scare people into voting a certain way. I really dislike that tactic, whichever side uses it.
Aizle, does the ad scare you? I'll presume not. It doesn't scare me. Why do you think it'll scare others?
Well, yes and no. What scares me about it is the number of people that I run into that seem to just parrot what they hear on the various ads or commentary programs without giving it any real thought. I don't really worry about anyone who posts here, because anyone who doesn't think around here gets routed out fairly quickly. But there are plenty of folks in the real world who are happy to get lead by the nose and told what to do. This is who this ad is targeted at, and I'm scared that it may be successful in that. First impressions mean a lot. I've had numerous conversations with conservatives at work here, where they are all riled up by something that they heard on Rush or Beck, but when you actually do a little research on it you find out that it's not as crazy or unreasonable as was presented. But Rush and Beck have already done the damage, what's imprinted in their heads is "crazy liberal plot BAD!" not "that was a sucky situation with no good answer so we chose the one that was lead damaging" or similar.
Again, I don't disagree with you wholly here, but I think our responses to such situations are different. While I think there
are more occurrences of "crazy liberal/conservative plot BAD!", than there are of "that was a sucky situation with no good answer so we chose the one that [we hope] was least damaging", I would rather the word gets out even if it's only partial and not the full situation. That way if people are inclined/spurred by others to find out the whole truth, they've got that option. It seems that if there is a choice between partial revelation or ignorance of the situation, you would rather people remain wholly ignorant.
As for first impressions in situations like you mentioned, there are a couple of ads running out here in CO that provide great examples of what I think happens when that kind of deception is used - and found out. The ads sponsored by the NEA both attack the Republican candidates for different offices who have advocated a "Fair Tax" - getting rid of income taxes etc. and replacing those taxes with a 23% sales tax. The ads only mention that the candidates advocate raising the sales tax "saving the top 1% $thousands and costing the hard working middle class families $thousands". Without exception, everyone I've spoken to has either seen right through that ploy, or when I asked about the reason for the sales tax increase came to the realization that the NEA was trying to play them for a fool, and greatly disliked that. I believe the "first impression" there came back to bite the opposition in the ***. Education will do that to the ones who play the public for fools. Ignorance keeps them fools.
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"Dress cops up as soldiers, give them military equipment, train them in military tactics, tell them they’re fighting a ‘war,’ and the consequences are predictable." —Radley Balko