The Glade 4.0

"Turn the lights down, the party just got wilder."
It is currently Sun Nov 24, 2024 2:21 am

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 33 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next
Author Message
 Post subject: Past predictions
PostPosted: Fri Jun 03, 2011 8:37 pm 
Offline
Too lazy for a picture

Joined: Sat Sep 12, 2009 8:40 pm
Posts: 1352
Given unemployment jump back to 9.1% and the general drum beat of bad economic news, Fox news would like to provide this trip down job prediction lane courtesy of the seers Biden and Pelosi. Just wanted to get this in before Khross does a victory lap when they officially announce a double dip recession.

http://nation.foxnews.com/joe-biden/201 ... jobs-month

http://nation.foxnews.com/nancy-pelosi/ ... mmediately

_________________
"Life isn't divided into genres. It's a horrifying, romantic, tragic, comical, science-fiction cowboy detective novel. You know, with a bit of pornography if you're lucky."
— Alan Moore


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Jun 03, 2011 9:04 pm 
Offline

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 am
Posts: 4922
Ideally, 0 people would have jobs, since everything would be automated. So might not be a bad thing. If people were hand-picking crops then this unemployment rate would be lower. Way back in the day, jobs didn't exist. People just sat around having fun, chatting with eachother, and throwing rocks at trees for fun. They'd spend maybe 30 minutes a day foraging berries or gathering small game caught from their traps. I could find sources if necessary (except the rock throwing part). Jobs are a new thing and they will go away completely again. Nobody is starving as a result of our unemployment situation.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Jun 03, 2011 11:30 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Sep 08, 2009 9:36 am
Posts: 4320
a 0.1% increase in unemployment and suddenly everyone's claiming some kind of victory?


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Past predictions
PostPosted: Fri Jun 03, 2011 11:52 pm 
Offline
pbp Hack
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 8:45 pm
Posts: 7585
It's not a victory, but it's not a recovery either.

_________________
I prefer to think of them as "Fighting evil in another dimension"


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 7:29 am 
Offline
Has a plan
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:51 pm
Posts: 1584
I believe what little improvement we have seen is happening despite the government intervention, not because of it. So at what point will it be correct to say that this administrations policies are failing?

_________________
A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. ~ John Stuart Mill


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 8:32 am 
Offline
Too lazy for a picture

Joined: Sat Sep 12, 2009 8:40 pm
Posts: 1352
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/hal ... 73220.html

Half of the jobs are at the Golden Arches

_________________
"Life isn't divided into genres. It's a horrifying, romantic, tragic, comical, science-fiction cowboy detective novel. You know, with a bit of pornography if you're lucky."
— Alan Moore


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 8:44 am 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
So you're not bothered by the fact that unemployment is rising and participation in the work force is at a 30 year low, Aizle? Or, did you miss that the work force is contracting by approximately 500,000 a month and has been for the last 13 months? That's way outside "normal" recession behavior using BLS data. If one corrects participation rates for the number of people actually seeking work, U3 unemployment is 11.2% and rising.

But, you know ...

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 9:14 am 
Offline
adorabalicious
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:54 am
Posts: 5094
My roomie finally landed an electrician gig after over a year.

_________________
"...but there exists also in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to attempt to lower the powerful to their own level and reduces men to prefer equality in slavery to inequality with freedom." - De Tocqueville


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 9:19 am 
Offline
Has a plan
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:51 pm
Posts: 1584
About time. Was it with that place I told him about?

Oh and I have $3 that says the administration changes the unemployment calculation AGAIN as we get closer to elections. That was the only way it got below 9% before.

_________________
A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. ~ John Stuart Mill


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 9:42 am 
Offline
adorabalicious
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:54 am
Posts: 5094
It was some place he found on craigslist I think. He starts monday and all rectification and new certification for commercial work is going to be covered. So really nice.

_________________
"...but there exists also in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to attempt to lower the powerful to their own level and reduces men to prefer equality in slavery to inequality with freedom." - De Tocqueville


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 9:42 am 
Offline
adorabalicious
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:54 am
Posts: 5094
Anyhoos I'll update you tonight when we meet for foods.

_________________
"...but there exists also in the human heart a depraved taste for equality, which impels the weak to attempt to lower the powerful to their own level and reduces men to prefer equality in slavery to inequality with freedom." - De Tocqueville


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 12:49 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:59 pm
Posts: 9412
Uncle Fester wrote:
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/half-last-months-jobs-came-single-employer-mcdonalds_573220.html

Half of the jobs are at the Golden Arches

Wow, government's got some competition. I wonder if they feel threatened enough that they'll start moving to nationalize McDonald's?

_________________
"Aaaah! Emotions are weird!" - Amdee
"... Mirrorshades prevent the forces of normalcy from realizing that one is crazed and possibly dangerous. They are the symbol of the sun-staring visionary, the biker, the rocker, the policeman, and similar outlaws." - Bruce Sterling, preface to Mirrorshades


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sat Jun 04, 2011 1:41 pm 
Offline

Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 5:44 pm
Posts: 2315
I honestly don't understand how the economy can be generating any kind of net gain in jobs with real estate prices falling as fast as they are.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 9:57 am 
Offline
Has a plan
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:51 pm
Posts: 1584
Xequecal wrote:
I honestly don't understand how the economy can be generating any kind of net gain in jobs with real estate prices falling as fast as they are.


I get the need for the administration to do the whole "keep calm and carry on" angle, but how many times does it need to be shown as BS before people start grabbing pitchforks? How many obvious obfuscation statics have to be shown before the people start looking behind the curtain? I want things to be "normal" again, but not so badly that I'm willing to put my head in the sand and expose my *** and wallet to their shenanigans.

Obama had the political wind behind him. He had a supermajority. He had the trust of the people. He could have fixed more his first term than any president before him. Instead he dove headfirst into the leftist wishlist with the countries credit card in one hand and a shield made up of media and blame bush rhetoric in the other. He's used both up, and has the balls to say we need to extend his credit line and his term.

_________________
A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. ~ John Stuart Mill


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 10:20 am 
Offline

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 am
Posts: 4922
Why do people care so much about working? There's plenty of food to distribute, plenty of energy to go around. During the Great Depression they had really shitty farm equipment, so it was different. The world won't end if most people lose their jobs. There's no need for pitchforks because you want to sit in a cubicle all day.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 10:27 am 
Offline
pbp Hack
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 8:45 pm
Posts: 7585
Cause farmers are evil and expect to be paid for that food duh!

_________________
I prefer to think of them as "Fighting evil in another dimension"


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 11:33 am 
Offline
Eatin yur toes.
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:49 am
Posts: 836
Its an interesting theoretical question though. You have a surfeit of shelter (homes), and, assuming Lex's hypothesis is correct, sufficient power and foodstuffs for the population.

Is there another organisational principle that could let you feed and house everyone, without requiring a capitalist work structure, while also preventing the rest of the world diving in and shitting on your society?

*If* there really is excess/adequate resource, and the problem is just organisational (demand/resource matching via the $), can a better principle be found?


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 1:54 pm 
Offline
pbp Hack
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 8:45 pm
Posts: 7585
Socialists have been chasing the dream you are describing for over a century and failed everywhere they've tried. In such a model there is no incentive to work harder than the guy next to you, since you are both going to get your bread and water at the end of the day.

_________________
I prefer to think of them as "Fighting evil in another dimension"


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 2:25 pm 
Offline
Has a plan
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:51 pm
Posts: 1584
Lex Luthor wrote:
Why do people care so much about working? There's plenty of food to distribute, plenty of energy to go around. During the Great Depression they had really shitty farm equipment, so it was different. The world won't end if most people lose their jobs. There's no need for pitchforks because you want to sit in a cubicle all day.


You have surplus room in your car during your commute. You now must use that room to help others get to nearby destinations. You will still foot the total bill for repairs, maintence, fuel and insurance by yourself.
You have surplus space in your apartment. You now must share your extra space with someone who doesn't have a place. You will continue to pay the full rent, utilities etc on your own.
You have a 50mb internet connection. 5 other people near you only have 6mb service. We aren't going to adjust your bill, but we are going to take your "surplus" and distribue it among those less fortunate. In fact after we audit you, we are going to adjust the multiple surpluses we find in your life and better distribute those resources.

So feel free to keep working, paying your taxes and staying healthy so we can take your surplus and give it away.

_________________
A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. ~ John Stuart Mill


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Past predictions
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:37 pm 
Offline
Eatin yur toes.
User avatar

Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:49 am
Posts: 836
You're kind of jumping to a particular answer there, which I don't think anyone is advocating. The choices aren't capitalism, communism, or nothing.

(actually, practically thinking, they're pretty much capitalism or despotism right now, but this is a message board thought experiment ;) )


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:23 pm 
Offline
Has a plan
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:51 pm
Posts: 1584
Well the surplus concept is exactly the justification for Obamacare, and one of the main means of its operation. Combine that with an administration packed full of central planning proponents, and its not a leap to see where the slope gets damn slick. Hell it ain't even a shuffle.

_________________
A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. ~ John Stuart Mill


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Mon Jun 06, 2011 8:26 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:20 am
Posts: 1037
SuiNeko wrote:
You're kind of jumping to a particular answer there, which I don't think anyone is advocating. The choices aren't capitalism, communism, or nothing.


Well then, putting labels aside (communism etc...), we can go back to the original question, but we still have the same problem:

Quote:
Why do people care so much about working? There's plenty of food to distribute, plenty of energy to go around.


Where does that food come from? Why is there "plenty" to distribute? Even assuming this is the case, most of that food is coming from large operations, fueled by machinery, petroleum, etc... These farms cost resources to operate. Assuming everyone's job goes away, where do you get the ability to run a large farm like that? Who does your planting? Who builds the infrastructure to hold your livestock? How do you transport the food? How do you regulate quality, stop disease spread, prepare for the marketplace etc... All these things don't magically happen, they occur because people work. Individual people still have to do specific tasks in order to make the larger system operate. Even if you go back to the idea of a small community exchanging goods and services without currency, currency is just an extension of the barter system anyway. It's a way to set a standard to exchange those goods and services.

Let's say you throw out the idea of a society that exchanges goods and services, and everyone goes back to subsistence farming. How many people own enough land that they could even grow or raise sufficient food to feed themselves? If you lost your job today, would you be able to feed yourself and your family on of your own labor? Do you have the knowhow, the physical fortitude, and the dedication it would take to start a farm? Do you think that you can do it by sitting around partying and throwing rocks at trees? Or do you want to go a step further back to the hunter/gatherer days? Do you think a half hour a day of foraging is enough to sustain you? Either way, if you run into a dry spell, or a locust swarm, you and your family perish without neighbors/society to fall back on. The reason we're where we are at today, large interdependent society, is that it works like a group insurance policy. Small localized failures are absorbed into the larger matrix.

Yes, there will always be the small percentage of society that have the charisma to work their way up to a position where the rest of society can completely support them (without having to work). However history teaches us that once the rest of society catches on to that idea, revolutions occur - that's generally not a stable system, especially on a small scale.

And yes, I know I'm feeding the troll here and I generally try not to respond to Lex, but SuiNeko's post drew me in to the discussion.

_________________
Image Image Image Image Image


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Mon Jun 06, 2011 9:52 am 
Offline

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 am
Posts: 4922
Vladimirr wrote:
SuiNeko wrote:
You're kind of jumping to a particular answer there, which I don't think anyone is advocating. The choices aren't capitalism, communism, or nothing.


Well then, putting labels aside (communism etc...), we can go back to the original question, but we still have the same problem:

Quote:
Why do people care so much about working? There's plenty of food to distribute, plenty of energy to go around.


Where does that food come from? Why is there "plenty" to distribute? Even assuming this is the case, most of that food is coming from large operations, fueled by machinery, petroleum, etc... These farms cost resources to operate. Assuming everyone's job goes away, where do you get the ability to run a large farm like that? Who does your planting? Who builds the infrastructure to hold your livestock? How do you transport the food? How do you regulate quality, stop disease spread, prepare for the marketplace etc... All these things don't magically happen, they occur because people work.


This is probably 5-10% of the economy. So 90% unemployment is fine.


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Jun 06, 2011 9:57 am 
Offline
Has a plan
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:51 pm
Posts: 1584
Lex fails at second stage thinking.

_________________
A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. ~ John Stuart Mill


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
 Post subject: Re: Past predictions
PostPosted: Mon Jun 06, 2011 9:57 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:20 am
Posts: 1037
Lex Luthor wrote:
Vladimirr wrote:

Where does that food come from? Why is there "plenty" to distribute? Even assuming this is the case, most of that food is coming from large operations, fueled by machinery, petroleum, etc... These farms cost resources to operate. Assuming everyone's job goes away, where do you get the ability to run a large farm like that? Who does your planting? Who builds the infrastructure to hold your livestock? How do you transport the food? How do you regulate quality, stop disease spread, prepare for the marketplace etc... All these things don't magically happen, they occur because people work.


This is probably 5-10% of the economy. So 90% unemployment is fine.


So 5-10% of the population does the work, and 100% reaps the reward, with nothing in return from the 90%+? Even ignoring resource and throughput considerations, the only way you're going to achieve this is through slavery.

_________________
Image Image Image Image Image


Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 33 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 314 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group