The Glade 4.0

"Turn the lights down, the party just got wilder."
It is currently Sun Nov 24, 2024 11:26 am

View unanswered posts | View active topics


Board index » The Glade » Rants and Raves

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]



Post new topic Reply to topic  Page 5 of 8
  [ 179 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next
  Print view Previous topic | Next topic 
Author Message
Nevandal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:33 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Consider these facts:

1. I'm not Warren Buffet, and I'm not trying to be, and I'm not making the same type of trades as him on any level.

2. I don't want to be a platoon leader, or in the military ever.

3. My balls

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Khross
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:45 am 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
Nevandal wrote:
I'm not Warren Buffet, and I'm not trying to be, and I'm not making the same type of trades as him on any level.
That's ok, Warren Buffett knows how to find a dictionary.

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:48 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
So do I.

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Khross
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:52 am 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
Nevandal wrote:
So do I.
Apparently you don't ...

If you flip a coin 7 times, how often will that coin land on the same face 7 times in a row?

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:53 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Less than 1%

I know what you think, I just disagree.



I'm not flipping coins, either. Also, I'm not flipping the same coin that has a 50% chance 7 times in a row.

_________________
Ron Paul 2012


Last edited by Nevandal on Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:56 am, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Khross
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 11:56 am 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
Nevandal wrote:
I know what you think, I just disagree.
Right, so, if you're going to do this ...

You should be able to answer the question I asked you without the aid of a search engine.

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Corolinth
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:01 pm 
Offline
Manchurian Mod
User avatar

Joined: Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:40 am
Posts: 5866
I'll help. The probability is 0.0078125.

_________________
Buckle your pants or they might fall down.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Hopwin
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:06 pm 
Offline
The Dancing Cat
User avatar

Joined: Wed Nov 04, 2009 2:21 pm
Posts: 9354
Location: Ohio
Nevandal wrote:
Thanks :)


I've actually been putting in a lot of hard work, and I'm 100% confident I'll succeed. Plus, with trades, it will grow at an exponential rate.

I'm [starting out] trading penny stocks, so the risk/reward is much higher, but at my age I can accept this higher level of risk. I'm pretty solid at managing my risk and maximizing gains.


One of the things I like about it is I can just do what I want. You see, to succeed in the corporate world, you not only have to be good at what you do, you have to convince other people you're good at what you do, and prove it to them, and you have to deliver consistently. At my J.O.B. my performance had very little to do with my pay, and now it's the other way around. Now if I don't feel like working, I can have an off day when I want, and come back full force the next day. Or if I feel like I have extra energy, I can work harder and get rewarded for it directly without having to suck up to some boss or dress like a damn yuppie. I hate yuppies.

I have a few other plans to supplement my trading, and even more plans that I'll be able to act on once more funding comes in, from my trading.

I have a few different ideas for freelance work I could easily do, as well as blogging. I'm getting back into web design and I have about 5 or 6 solid ideas that could generate different streams of mostly passive income. I know people that can help me with this. I'm learning new things every day.

I have a pretty high tolerance for risk, and one of my all encompassing ideas is generating mostly passive income, and I style my ideas around this concept. My ultimate goal is free time, not lots of money....however, the money will come in droves. It's only a matter of time, really.


All I can say is:

Spoiler:
Image

_________________
Quote:
In comic strips the person on the left always speaks first. - George Carlin
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Lex Luthor
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:13 pm 
Offline

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 am
Posts: 4922
Corolinth wrote:
I'll help. The probability is 0.0078125.


I'm not sure it would have that many significant digits in real life, since the coin isn't a perfectly symmetrical shape.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:15 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Corolinth wrote:
I'll help. The probability is 0.0078125.


I'm sorry I didn't know it was required of me to give an exact answer. Especially since there was no penalty for lack of expected reply.

Hopwin wrote:
All I can say is:

Spoiler:
Image



That's great. Why is it that people use raw bacon for this sort of thing, though? Cook it first! It's only tasty if it's cooked :)

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Lex Luthor
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:15 pm 
Offline

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 am
Posts: 4922
Nevandal,

Can you still collect unemployment even though you quit?
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:16 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Not sure. I haven't looked into that yet. I think in my state I have to wait 3 months before I can file if the employment ended voluntarily.

There was just no way I was going back to that cluster...

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Lex Luthor
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:19 pm 
Offline

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 am
Posts: 4922
I think you screwed yourself over because it would be advantageous to start collecting unemployment. Since you didn't get fired immediately you could just keep going and work on your investment project on the side.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Khross
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:20 pm 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
Alright, so if you flip that coin 100 times, what percentage of 100 flip samples will contain at least one string of 7 same-side results?

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:22 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Lex Luthor wrote:
I think you screwed yourself over because it would be advantageous to start collecting unemployment. Since you didn't get fired immediately you could just keep going and work on your investment project on the side.



See, that was the plan.

Temporary setback.


I really couldn't go back...


Khross wrote:
Alright, so if you flip that coin 100 times, what percentage of 100 flip samples will contain at least one string of 7 same-side results?



I don't know.

I would probably guess the same probability. 0.7%

I didn't know I was in for a math test today.

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Micheal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:33 pm 
Offline
Bull Moose
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:36 pm
Posts: 7507
Location: Last Western Stop of the Pony Express
Rounded, 0%

There is a chance of there being one such string in any random 100 flips, the chance is extremely low - unless you cheat.

That is the practical answer, I'm not doing the math, I'm not sure I still can without looking up how.

_________________
The U. S. Constitution doesn't guarantee happiness, only the pursuit of it. You have to catch up with it yourself. B. Franklin

"A mind needs books like a sword needs a whetstone." -- Tyrion Lannister, A Game of Thrones
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Khross
 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:35 pm 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
Nevandal wrote:
Khross wrote:
Alright, so if you flip that coin 100 times, what percentage of 100 flip samples will contain at least one string of 7 same-side results?

I don't know.

I would probably guess the same probability. 0.7%

I didn't know I was in for a math test today.
Yet, you want us to believe you're going to successful at day trading while continuing to perpetuate precisely the kind of personality and behavior that cost you your last job? Careless interpersonal behavior aside, the problem here isn't the "world"; it's not corporations; and it's not what you know or do not know. It is absolutely your behavior and lack of discipline. Honestly, I don't care what you do; I do, however, find it thoroughly amusing that you take pride in eschewing the collected knowledge and experience of people who have lived longer lives than you. It doesn't matter if you agree with me; it doesn't matter if you're good at math or not; we're talking about a system so complex that Goldman Sach's has a billion dollar computer that's only producing acceptable numbers 14% of the time.

Maybe a different path will help you understand.

Of all the great sports streaks during the Twentieth Century, how many of them were truly statistically improbable?

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:38 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
So what kind of average annual gain do you think is a realistic goal for me, and what annual % gain would be unrealistic in your opinion?

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Taskiss
 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:41 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Feb 05, 2010 11:59 am
Posts: 3879
Location: 63368
Khross wrote:
Maybe a different path will help you understand.

Of all the great sports streaks during the Twentieth Century, how many of them were truly statistically improbable?

Not sure, strictly speaking, this can be determined mathematically...

To be truly "great", they would each have to be unique, pretty much by definition statistically improbable.

Your definition excludes anything probable.

_________________
In time, this too shall pass.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:43 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Khross wrote:
...It is absolutely your behavior and lack of discipline.



See, that's the thing. You're only seeing a small subset of my behavior and discipline. Instead of acknowledging this simple fact, you continue to argue with me on an Internet forum, despite your apparent knack for mathematics and academia in general.

Also, like I said before: I'm not flipping coins, and I'm not flipping the same coin 7 times in a row.

_________________
Ron Paul 2012


Last edited by Nevandal on Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Diamondeye
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:45 pm 
Offline
Commence Primary Ignition
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 am
Posts: 15740
Location: Combat Information Center
Nevandal wrote:
2. I don't want to be a platoon leader, or in the military ever.


So? People in the military are people too. Just like real people, they respond better to people of a polite and friendly demeanor, especially people who can be that way even if there's a disagreement. Sure, you can bark out orders all the time, and to a degree you can tell your superiors that they're all **** up, but you're going to get much better results when you treat other people the way you want to be treated. Yelling and screaming is for emergencies, when someone has royally screwed the pooch, or for basic trainees.

Part of why people with military backgrounds are valued in most lines of work is people management skills.

_________________
"Hysterical children shrieking about right-wing anything need to go sit in the corner and be quiet while the adults are talking."
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:46 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
You're right, it does pay to be nice to people.
I'm definitely not arguing with that.



I will say this:

Most people put on a front, one that I can easily see through, to disguise their true thoughts. They do this because they're being polite or they want to make a good impression, or acting polite out of respect, etc. There is nothing wrong with this. What I do have a problem with, is that most of these people turn around and say the opposite and talk behind your back, and then they have the audacity to lie when you ask them about it. I despise that type of behavior. So, to those people and anyone who associates with those people, I ignore. Also, I try to take a more direct approach with these people and tell them what I think of them directly. Usually after this, they don't like me very much. That's okay, though. I lose respect for these people long before they lose respect for me. Yet, somehow, these are the people complaining about my behavior.....and honestly by that point I don't really care if I can get these types of people to work with me or not. I prefer to do things on my own anyway...more gets done with less work and less hassle.

_________________
Ron Paul 2012


Last edited by Nevandal on Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Khross
 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:51 pm 
Offline
Evil Bastard™
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:07 am
Posts: 7542
Location: Doomstadt, Latveria
Taskiss wrote:
Khross wrote:
Maybe a different path will help you understand.

Of all the great sports streaks during the Twentieth Century, how many of them were truly statistically improbable?

Not sure, strictly speaking, this can be determined mathematically...

To be truly "great", they would each have to be unique, pretty much by definition statistically improbable.

Your definition excludes anything probable.
You'd think that, but you need to go back to that word I told Nevandal to look up ...

_________________
Corolinth wrote:
Facism is not a school of thought, it is a racial slur.
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Diamondeye
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:51 pm 
Offline
Commence Primary Ignition
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 am
Posts: 15740
Location: Combat Information Center
I don't really mean be "nice" to them. I mean, treat them with some basic respect. Those are two different things.

Let me put it another way. When I catch aliens, I'm not particularly "nice" to them. I tell them exactly what to do, when to do it, and I'm not there to be their friend. However, I don't cuss at them, use foul language, or demean them. I address them as Senor or Senora or Senorita unless they give me a hard time or they're a kid.

This allows me to get done what I need to get done in a timely, efficient manner and without the need to roll around on the ground having a scuffle.

_________________
"Hysterical children shrieking about right-wing anything need to go sit in the corner and be quiet while the adults are talking."
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Nevandal
 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue Nov 22, 2011 12:57 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Sep 20, 2009 5:31 pm
Posts: 1532
Diamondeye wrote:
I don't really mean be "nice" to them. I mean, treat them with some basic respect. Those are two different things.

Let me put it another way. When I catch aliens, I'm not particularly "nice" to them. I tell them exactly what to do, when to do it, and I'm not there to be their friend. However, I don't cuss at them, use foul language, or demean them. I address them as Senor or Senora or Senorita unless they give me a hard time or they're a kid.

This allows me to get done what I need to get done in a timely, efficient manner and without the need to roll around on the ground having a scuffle.



I agree with you 100%, and unless someone is on my sh*tlist or has said something to seriously piss me off and that person cannot be ignored without affecting my livelihood, then I do treat people with respect.

Khross wrote:
Taskiss wrote:
Khross wrote:
Maybe a different path will help you understand.

Of all the great sports streaks during the Twentieth Century, how many of them were truly statistically improbable?

Not sure, strictly speaking, this can be determined mathematically...

To be truly "great", they would each have to be unique, pretty much by definition statistically improbable.

Your definition excludes anything probable.
You'd think that, but you need to go back to that word I told Nevandal to look up ...



I would venture to say that each of of the "great sports streaks" during any period of time are statistically improbably. That's what makes them great sports streaks.


I realize these things are, or can be unpredictable and random.


Get to the point, Khross. I'm not going to keep coming back here just to figure out your math problems and look words up in the dictionary just because you want me to.

_________________
Ron Paul 2012
Top
 Profile  
Reply with quote  
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  Page 5 of 8
  [ 179 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8  Next

Board index » The Glade » Rants and Raves

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 170 guests

You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group