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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 1:32 pm 
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Diamondeye wrote:
That's necessarily a part of the assertion that tax cuts will spur economic growth - that spending will also be cut. Unfortunately we rarely if ever get anything like this.


Apparently it is not necessarily part of the assertion then eh?

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 1:43 pm 
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Diamondeye wrote:
Xequecal wrote:
I was referring to the massive housing bubble we just went through. It's pretty much the definition of artificially high prices for real estate.


The problem here is that bubbles are not artificial. They're temporary and unsustainable, but they are not artificial. They're part of normal market cycles.


They were, though. Manipulated interest rates, government programs to provide incentives to buy, artificially increased demand, which increased prices.


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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 1:59 pm 
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Hopwin wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
That's necessarily a part of the assertion that tax cuts will spur economic growth - that spending will also be cut. Unfortunately we rarely if ever get anything like this.


Apparently it is not necessarily part of the assertion then eh?


What?

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 2:05 pm 
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Arathain Kelvar wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
Xequecal wrote:
I was referring to the massive housing bubble we just went through. It's pretty much the definition of artificially high prices for real estate.


The problem here is that bubbles are not artificial. They're temporary and unsustainable, but they are not artificial. They're part of normal market cycles.


They were, though. Manipulated interest rates, government programs to provide incentives to buy, artificially increased demand, which increased prices.


Except that it didn't, (withing the subsector we're talking about) because of the aforementioned rent control. This held prices down which artificially increased demand. If demand had been increased artificially without this being done, prices would rise naturally in response to the manipulation of demand. The resulting high prices wouldn't be artificial; they'd be a natural response to something else artificial.

If you try to define every step in the chain as artificial because one step is, pretty soon the entire market is "artificial" and you've got a menaingless term that tells us nothing.

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 2:09 pm 
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Diamondeye wrote:
Hopwin wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
That's necessarily a part of the assertion that tax cuts will spur economic growth - that spending will also be cut. Unfortunately we rarely if ever get anything like this.


Apparently it is not necessarily part of the assertion then eh?


What?

It can't be necessary if we never do it.

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 3:01 pm 
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Xequecal:

What in the world are you trying to imply is the link between decades old, city specific rent controls and the recent national housing bubble?

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 3:03 pm 
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Hopwin wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
Hopwin wrote:
Apparently it is not necessarily part of the assertion then eh?


What?

It can't be necessary if we never do it.


That's not what necessary means in this context. It means that it's necessary for spending cuts to accompany tax cuts to realize the benefits of tax cuts to the economy, otherwise you just end up taxing more later to pay for it.

Moreover, the fact that something is necessary doesn't mean that we do it. It's necessary for my dad to quit drinking. He hasn't done it.

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 5:11 pm 
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Rynar wrote:
Xequecal:

What in the world are you trying to imply is the link between decades old, city specific rent controls and the recent national housing bubble?


The statement respondents were asked to agree or disagree with was, "Rent control leads to housing shortages." There are no caveats, the statement is that rent control always leads to shortages. Even one case of rent control not leading to shortages makes this statement false, which means the 79% who disagreed aren't clueless.


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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 6:03 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
Rynar wrote:
Xequecal:

What in the world are you trying to imply is the link between decades old, city specific rent controls and the recent national housing bubble?


The statement respondents were asked to agree or disagree with was, "Rent control leads to housing shortages." There are no caveats, the statement is that rent control always leads to shortages. Even one case of rent control not leading to shortages makes this statement false, which means the 79% who disagreed aren't clueless.


Dude, what the heck are you talking about? The statement "Rent control leads to housing shortages," is universally true. The statement is to be read in the vacuum of cause and effect. Furthermore, you still haven't demonstrated any link between decade old rent controls and the recent housing bubble. What you have demonstrated is that you have very limited understanding of straight-forward poll questions.

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 6:57 pm 
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I'm not sure why you think the rent control has to be decades old, the survey respondents weren't asked that.


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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 7:08 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
I'm not sure why you think the rent control has to be decades old, the survey respondents weren't asked that.


Because the rent controls were placed decades ago. Again, form your corolation.

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 7:51 pm 
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Okay, first off, Xequecal: Do you want to speak in hypotheticals, or real scenarios?

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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 8:35 pm 
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I'm not arguing that decades-old rent controls haven't created housing shortages. The sentiment is that the 79% of respondents who disagreed with "Rent control leads to housing shortages." are ignorant. There are no caveats, it says nothing about how long the rent control has been in place or anything like that. It's an absolute statement that becomes false if there's a single case anywhere of rent control not creating a shortage, over any time frame, anywhere. Nobody is ignorant for disagreeing with that. Ever taken a true/false test? You always mark the absolute statements as false.


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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 8:53 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
I'm not arguing that decades-old rent controls haven't created housing shortages. The sentiment is that the 79% of respondents who disagreed with "Rent control leads to housing shortages." are ignorant. There are no caveats, it says nothing about how long the rent control has been in place or anything like that. It's an absolute statement that becomes false if there's a single case anywhere of rent control not creating a shortage, over any time frame, anywhere. Nobody is ignorant for disagreeing with that. Ever taken a true/false test? You always mark the absolute statements as false.


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PostPosted: Tue May 11, 2010 9:49 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
I'm not arguing that decades-old rent controls haven't created housing shortages. The sentiment is that the 79% of respondents who disagreed with "Rent control leads to housing shortages." are ignorant. There are no caveats, it says nothing about how long the rent control has been in place or anything like that. It's an absolute statement that becomes false if there's a single case anywhere of rent control not creating a shortage, over any time frame, anywhere. Nobody is ignorant for disagreeing with that. Ever taken a true/false test? You always mark the absolute statements as false.


Actually it isn't strictly an absolute statement. It can be read "Rent control generally leads to housing shortages" just as easily as "Rent control always leads to housing shortages".

It's like saying "people die when airplanes crash". No, every single airplane crash does not result in a fatality, but it is true far more often than not. It's a rule of thumb, and the statement can be taken that way.

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PostPosted: Wed May 12, 2010 7:14 am 
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The Economy, as managed at the policy level by our government, media, pundits, and so-called experts, is entirely artificial. It has been so for at least a century.

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PostPosted: Thu May 13, 2010 2:22 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
I'm not arguing that decades-old rent controls haven't created housing shortages. The sentiment is that the 79% of respondents who disagreed with "Rent control leads to housing shortages." are ignorant. There are no caveats, it says nothing about how long the rent control has been in place or anything like that. It's an absolute statement that becomes false if there's a single case anywhere of rent control not creating a shortage, over any time frame, anywhere. Nobody is ignorant for disagreeing with that. Ever taken a true/false test? You always mark the absolute statements as false.


Wrong. Just **** wrong.

In economics discussions, all scenarios are made on one assumption: all other things remain equal.

Therefore, by trying to argue that liberals did not answer incorrectly and are thus not ignorant, you're actually further demonstrating their ignorance. Why? Because you're stating that they didn't know one of the core tenets of basic Econ 101: all other things remain equal.

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PostPosted: Thu May 13, 2010 3:25 pm 
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Ienan wrote:
Exactly Kaffis. What does "artifically high" mean Xeq?


Considering how loose monetary policy has affected housing prices, do you really think the term 'artificial' is unfair?

The housing market is a pretty nonstandard supply/demand function, because monetary policy affects not only the number of buyers, but also their individual buying power. That makes the function recursive on the demand side.

Hence, the bubble.


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