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 Post subject: Re: More Arizona
PostPosted: Mon May 10, 2010 10:38 am 
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Khross wrote:
Ladas:

You do know that Megan McArdle claims to be a constitutionalist libertarian right?

Completely unfamiliar with her except for the few excepts posted to these forums, and I don't bother to commit most of what she says to memory to compare to other posts.


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PostPosted: Mon May 10, 2010 10:39 am 
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1 in 50 white people based on probability; 90% minorities stopped.

Whites are being targetted, by your numbers!

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PostPosted: Mon May 10, 2010 10:43 am 
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RangerDave wrote:
Just a quick reply (since I should be working) regarding the likelihood of a lot of innocent Hispanic people being stopped. In NYC, there's a statute permitting cops to stop and question people based on "reasonable suspicion" of criminal activity. Same standard as the AZ law. In the last 5 years alone, 2 million pedestrians have been stopped pursuant to this law. Of those, roughly 90% were completely innocent of any wrongdoing, and roughly 90% were minorities. Given the racial makeup of the city, the chances of a white person being stopped are about 1 in 50. The chances of a black person being stopped are about 1 in 4. And that's without any racial correlation to the underlying crimes. How much worse do you think it's going to be when the underlying crime is heavily correlated with race?

Based on my vague understanding of this specific example that you brought up, you are making a poor correlation, as the issue has more to do with stops in high crime areas. And if I remember correctly, these are areas were the it was the residence that originally requested the increased police presence and activity to help lower the crime rates. Care to provide statistics about the changes in crime rate in those areas since this change in the law?

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As for hauling people off if they don't have ID, I'll get to that later, since it requires quoting from the bill itself. My recollection, though, is that the text requires an ICE check, which doesn't happen very quickly.

This is a valid concern, but again, its a failing of the Federal government to do the job it assumed... look no further than the illegal alien deported recently with an extra $145k from the NY taxpayers because the ICE didn't process him in the required 48 hours... not that it took much past that, just a few months he sat in detention waiting to be processed.


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PostPosted: Mon May 10, 2010 11:45 am 
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RangerDave wrote:
Just a quick reply (since I should be working) regarding the likelihood of a lot of innocent Hispanic people being stopped. In NYC, there's a statute permitting cops to stop and question people based on "reasonable suspicion" of criminal activity. Same standard as the AZ law. In the last 5 years alone, 2 million pedestrians have been stopped pursuant to this law. Of those, roughly 90% were completely innocent of any wrongdoing, and roughly 90% were minorities. Given the racial makeup of the city, the chances of a white person being stopped are about 1 in 50. The chances of a black person being stopped are about 1 in 4. And that's without any racial correlation to the underlying crimes. How much worse do you think it's going to be when the underlying crime is heavily correlated with race?

The law says lawful stop, detention, or arrest. "Reasonable suspicion" is only used specifically when referring to being in violation of a civil traffic law:

NOTWITHSTANDING ANY OTHER LAW, A PEACE OFFICER MAY LAWFULLY STOP ANY PERSON WHO IS OPERATING A MOTOR VEHICLE IF THE OFFICER HAS REASONABLE SUSPICION TO BELIEVE THE PERSON IS IN VIOLATION OF ANY CIVIL TRAFFIC LAW AND THIS SECTION.

The rest of "this section" deals primarily with human smuggling.

It doesn't apply anywhere else. So a cop may not stop somebody just because they think X minority looks suspicious with their huge jacket.

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As for hauling people off if they don't have ID, I'll get to that later, since it requires quoting from the bill itself. My recollection, though, is that the text requires an ICE check, which doesn't happen very quickly.

It does NOT. Read the damn bill. Any of the following are valid and can already be asked for during any lawful stop, detention, or arrest:

1. A VALID ARIZONA DRIVER LICENSE.
2. A VALID ARIZONA NONOPERATING IDENTIFICATION LICENSE.
3. A TRIBAL ENROLLMENT CARD OR OTHER FORM OF TRIBAL IDENTIFICATION.
4. A VALID UNITED STATES FEDERAL, STATE OR LOCAL GOVERNMENT ISSUED IDENTIFICATION.

If you have none during any lawful stop, detention, or arrest, you would be held longer anyway as they verify your identity. If you are a U.S. citizen, this should be very easy as you pretty much have to have one of these to engage in commerce. If you're a legal resident, you're already in violation of the law for not having your proof of legal status. But in that case, yes, a check with ICE will clear that up.

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PostPosted: Mon May 10, 2010 11:55 am 
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RangerDave wrote:
Just a quick reply (since I should be working) regarding the likelihood of a lot of innocent Hispanic people being stopped. In NYC, there's a statute permitting cops to stop and question people based on "reasonable suspicion" of criminal activity. Same standard as the AZ law. In the last 5 years alone, 2 million pedestrians have been stopped pursuant to this law. Of those, roughly 90% were completely innocent of any wrongdoing, and roughly 90% were minorities. Given the racial makeup of the city, the chances of a white person being stopped are about 1 in 50. The chances of a black person being stopped are about 1 in 4. And that's without any racial correlation to the underlying crimes. How much worse do you think it's going to be when the underlying crime is heavily correlated with race?


1) By your own numbers, the chances of a white person being stopped are 1 in 10, not 1 in 50.
2) 90% were not completely innocent of any wrongdoing; they were either not ultimately convicted of anything as a result of that particular stop, or, if we're basing that on the number that were let go without ticket or arrest, that the officer simply didn't get to the level of probable cause. Reasonable suspicion is just that, reasonable suspicion. Lots of things are suspicious and easily dismissed with cursory investigation.
3) What are we defining as a "stop"?
4) Why are we conflating "minority" with "black person"?
5) Where are these numbers from?
6) Why is this a problem? The effort of police is going to be directed at high crime areas, which are likely to be poor areas, which are likely to have lots of minorities.
7) Why is it going to be "worse" if the underlying crime is connected with race? That's not "worse". There's nothing "bad" going on in the first place. If the underlying crime is connected to race (or more precisely nationality and ethnicity) then we SHOULD see more people of that nationality getting stopped for it. Since they are more likely to be committing the crime, that means the police will more often have reasonable suspicion or probable cause for them to be committing the crime.

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As for hauling people off if they don't have ID, I'll get to that later, since it requires quoting from the bill itself. My recollection, though, is that the text requires an ICE check, which doesn't happen very quickly.


Here is the section in question, from Michael's post:

Quote:
20 B. FOR ANY LAWFUL CONTACT MADE BY A LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL OR AGENCY
21 OF THIS STATE OR A COUNTY, CITY, TOWN OR OTHER POLITICAL SUBDIVISION OF THIS
22 STATE WHERE REASONABLE SUSPICION EXISTS THAT THE PERSON IS AN ALIEN WHO IS
23 UNLAWFULLY PRESENT IN THE UNITED STATES, A REASONABLE ATTEMPT SHALL BE MADE,
24 WHEN PRACTICABLE, TO DETERMINE THE IMMIGRATION STATUS OF THE PERSON.
THE
25 PERSON'S IMMIGRATION STATUS SHALL BE VERIFIED WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
26 PURSUANT TO 8 UNITED STATES CODE SECTION 1373(c).


A reasonable attempt when practicable. Furthermore, it says that a verification of status "shall" be made with the Federal government. It does not say that a person needs to be hauled off to jail to do it.

So, if the person is indeed a citizen and can provide their name and DOB, Driver's license/I.D. number, SSN, or some other means of verifying who they are through dispatch or an MDT or whatever, then the person can easily be leeft to go about their buisness.

The police simply are not going to have time to haul every single person (or even every hispanic person) without ID on their person in to the station, especially in smaller departments.

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PostPosted: Wed May 12, 2010 3:59 pm 
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RD:

Spurious because:
1) Profiling is outlawed under the law, so presuming it will happen is presuming without fact that cops will violate said law
2) Hispanics being disproportionately stopped is not equivalent to spurious
3) Your later arguments are arguments against a police state, not this law in particular, and are thus a false equivalence

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PostPosted: Fri May 14, 2010 4:34 pm 
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Hehe - the Attorney General testifies under oath he hasn't even read the frickin thing:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5U4tI_qz ... tube_gdata

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PostPosted: Fri May 14, 2010 4:52 pm 
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What a **** tool.

*I've* read the law... and I'm not the AG...

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PostPosted: Fri May 14, 2010 6:47 pm 
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Müs wrote:
What a **** tool.

*I've* read the law... and I'm not the AG...


You also haven't been openly critical of a law you haven't read.

It's nice to know he approached it with an open mind, and didn't just try to play political football with it. :evil:

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PostPosted: Sat May 15, 2010 12:56 am 
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AG needs to be punched in his mommy daddy button.

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PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 7:53 pm 
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Screeling wrote:
Hehe - the Attorney General testifies under oath he hasn't even read the frickin thing:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5U4tI_qz ... tube_gdata


Next up - Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano:

[youtube]vIwI1ICYCFE[/youtube]

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PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 8:08 pm 
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/facepalm

Why is this woman in charge of DHS?

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 Post subject: Re: More Arizona
PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 9:03 pm 
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God I hate people.


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PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 9:27 pm 
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How much are we paying her to not do her job? "I haven't reviewed it in detail, but I know of it."

GTFO.

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PostPosted: Tue May 18, 2010 10:41 pm 
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haha... "Laws of that ilk"...

And if she has not read it she has no clue of what the law is stupid whore. I hope her family gets deported, even if they are legal.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 9:46 am 
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She was a horrible governor and is a big part of the reason Arizona's economy sucks right now. It really is the perfect job for her. If she does well, nobody will ever hear from her. If she screws up, her career is pretty much over.

I'll also add that she's butt-ugly.

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 Post subject: Re: More Arizona
PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 11:12 am 
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http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/05 ... k-boycott/

In Retaliation for the LA boycott, Arizona provides 25% or so their power, and are more then willing to turn off the lights.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 11:19 am 
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And here I was afraid Arizona might blink first.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 11:20 am 
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God I wish my politicians had the balls to do something like that.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 11:31 am 
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Yeah - some of the guys on our Corporation Commission kick ***.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 1:29 pm 
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Quote from our esteemed CiC at a joint meeting with the Mexican president..

Quote:
"We're examining any implications especially for civil rights because in the United States of America, no law abiding person -- be they an American citizen, illegal immigrant, or a visitor or tourist from Mexico -- should ever be subject to suspicion simply because of what they look like."


Can anybody spot the problem with that statement...


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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 1:32 pm 
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"no law abiding person ... illegal immigrant"


Where is my cookie?

Our PotUS is a **** douchebag who needs to be removed from office as quickly as possible. Stupid c***sucking f*ckstain.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 2:45 pm 
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Why aren't we currently using any means necessary to remove these people from office?

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 2:46 pm 
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Anyone see this gem?

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STUDENTS ASKED FOR 'CITIZEN STATUS' BEFORE OBAMA COMMENCEMENT

KALAMAZOO — The White House appears to be laying the groundwork for President Barack Obama to shake the hand of each senior at Kalamazoo Central High School’s commencement ceremony next month.

Seniors are being asked to provide their birthdates, Social Security numbers and citizen status to the Secret Service so background checks could be performed. Such a check is required for anyone who gets within an arm’s length of the president, students were told at their senior breakfast Friday.

Of the fact that the White House is requesting information on all the graduating seniors, K-Central Principal Von Washingon Jr. told the students, “I’ll let you figure out what that means,” said senior Simon Boehme, who was at the breakfast.

“Everyone is excited that we might have the opportunity to shake the president’s hand,” Boehme said.

K-Central found out May 4 that the school won a national competition that will bring Obama to its commencement as graduation speaker. The ceremony will be held at 7 p.m. June 7 at Western Michigan University’s basketball arena.

K-Central seniors also were told Friday that graduation tickets will come from the White House, and the tickets will have bar codes to heighten accountability and prevent them from being sold. “Any irregularities can be traced back to the student who was given the ticket,” Boehme said.

Kalamazoo Public Schools spokesman Alex Lee said Sunday that creating a ticket system is a top priority for district officials and the White House right now. “But I’m not sure what that will look like,” Lee said.

He pointed out that tickets can’t be issued until the White House and district officials determine how many seats will be available. University Arena can hold up to 5,000 people for a basketball game, but the setup for graduation may reduce that number.

Each graduate will get eight tickets for guests, an amount that drew cheers from students at Friday’s breakfast, Boehme said.

“People were elated hearing we’d get eight tickets each. Most students were assuming it would be five,” he said. “Some people are still unhappy, but the general consensus is that eight is enough for most people.”

Boehme also said that most students are happy that the graduation is being held at University Arena versus WMU’s Waldo Stadium, another venue under consideration. While the stadium could hold up to 30,000 people, Boehme said many seniors were apprehensive about the potential of having an audience comprised mainly of people interested in seeing the president. The smaller audience will mean the focus will stay on graduation, Boehme said.

“Students are feeling reassured that not a lot of things are going to change ... outside of having the big man there,” Boehme said. He said it appears the president’s speech will not preclude the traditional elements of graduation, including performances of the high school band and choir, student speeches and a slide show of pictures of the graduates over the years.

Boehme, who is student government president and class salutorian, expects to be on stage with class valedictorian Cindy Lee, both of whom will give speeches.

“I’m more than excited. I’m honored” to speak at the same event as the president, Boehme said. “It’s a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.”

There will be no tickets available to the general public for the ceremony. Graduating seniors at Loy Norrix and Phoenix, the district’s other two high schools, will be allowed to attend, and there also will be a lottery for Central students in grades 9-11 who would like a ticket.

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PostPosted: Wed May 19, 2010 2:47 pm 
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Why aren't YOU, Elmo?

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