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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 9:24 am 
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Talya wrote:
It's already hard, if not impossible, to find an ISP that doesn't shape traffic or arbitrarily cap your monthly transfer at a low level.

Not really. It is expensive though.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 11:12 am 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
Nope, people won't stand for it and all it takes is one ISP to provide flat fee based usage and the structure collapses.


Don't be fool.

Everyone in the chain. from the last mile ISP, to the site owners at the other end stand to make money hand-over-fist on this except the consumer. When this happens, google would be able to pay off our national date with one day's revenue. You want the perfect business model example, check your cable bill (or someone elses if you dont' have cable).

Oh, and all of those 'layers' will provide access points for local, state, and national govenernements to introduce taxes and fees (again, see your cable bill for how this already works).

Do you think it's coincidence that almost all cable companies are also last-mile ISP's?


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 11:21 am 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
Midgen wrote:
Bandwidth isn't whats at stake.

It's your utilization of applications.

Deep Packet Inspection technology is getting more and more advanced. Lots of companies are poised to make a fortune selling technology to wireless providers, ISP's, backbone providers, etc... that will allow them to use hueristics to determine which packets are streaming movies, which are flash video, etc...

They will also be able to know, based on where packets originate, and where they go, what applications you are using, what sites you are visiting (NO, anonymizers, proxies, and TOR won't help you)...

Someday soon, in the not too distant future, your Internet bill will look a lot like your cable bill. You'll be able to sign up for various packages of applications, and site accesses.

Want Youtube? Facebook? Reddit? You'll have to pay for the premium bundle. That'll be $29.95, plus 15 cents a MB!.

Want to stream Netflix/Hulu/Blockbuster, etc? You'll have to pay for the "Entertainment" bundle. That'll be another $39.95, plus an additional .25 cents per megabyte!....

Yumm!



Nope, people won't stand for it and all it takes is one ISP to provide flat fee based usage and the structure collapses.

Yeah, I remember when people not standing for it killed the recent move of cell providers back to metered usage instead of flat charges oh wait.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 11:24 am 
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Midgen wrote:
Elmarnieh wrote:
Nope, people won't stand for it and all it takes is one ISP to provide flat fee based usage and the structure collapses.


Don't be fool.

Everyone in the chain. from the last mile ISP, to the site owners at the other end stand to make money hand-over-fist on this except the consumer. When this happens, google would be able to pay off our national date with one day's revenue. You want the perfect business model example, check your cable bill (or someone elses if you dont' have cable).

Oh, and all of those 'layers' will provide access points for local, state, and national govenernements to introduce taxes and fees (again, see your cable bill for how this already works).

Do you think it's coincidence that almost all cable companies are also last-mile ISP's?



It's good if they make loads of money because then they will put down more fiber. Do you think they'll just stash their profits under a mattress? I do disagree with government taxes being introduced.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:16 pm 
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To be honest, I'm not really sure where I stand on net neutrality. Generally speaking, I think it's better to just let market forces (supply, demand, consumer wrath...) do their thing and have the government butt out of it. The problem, of course, is that the telecom industry is not free market, and it isn't going to achieve a natural and desirable state of equilibrium by treating it like one when it really isn't. This especially true where landlines are concerned, and these absolutely integral to any discussion of internet routing, regardless of wireless "last mile" consumer ISPs (ex. 3G/4G).

I'd rather the government not dictate anything about how consumers and providers decide to engage one another, even if it's in the name of maintaining neutrality -- the outcome of which I'm personally rooting for. I think the likely outcome of truly free market in this case would either be 1) neutrality or 2) competitively priced content-based routing.

In the context of that environment, I don't think that there's any reason to believe that 2) would be any more expensive to the consumer. All of the other goods and services you buy are subject to the price system, and their prices are particular to the good in question. You don't pay the same price in unit weight for potato chips as you do for, say, milk, and no one considers this to be a problem. Nor does it follow the most popular goods are going to be the most expensive. That kind of thinking considers only demand, but not supply, and is therefore draws invalid conclusions about prices.

But as I said earlier, this context is only achievable if you also address the myriad of other constraints, influences, and distortions of the market which aren't even on the table in these net neutrality discussions. And even if they were, I'm not really sure what the best policy would be with respect to natural monopolies, and that's definitely an issue when it comes to any kind of physical utility that takes up real space. Such monopolies may very well be "unresolvable" in some sense, in which case very basic, low-level net neutrality legislation may simply be the lesser of two unavoidable evils.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:17 pm 
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FarSky wrote:
Yeah, I remember when people not standing for it killed the recent move of cell providers back to metered usage instead of flat charges oh wait.

I didn't stand for it, and I don't have metered data usage, nor, to my knowledge, a company that's investigating surcharges to lift content-based restrictions.

Also, Stathol, GOOMH.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:37 pm 
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Kaffis Mark V wrote:
FarSky wrote:
Yeah, I remember when people not standing for it killed the recent move of cell providers back to metered usage instead of flat charges oh wait.

I didn't stand for it, and I don't have metered data usage, nor, to my knowledge, a company that's investigating surcharges to lift content-based restrictions.

Also, Stathol, GOOMH.


Yeah neither do I.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:38 pm 
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It'll happen. And you'll have little to no alternatives.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:44 pm 
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FarSky wrote:
It'll happen. And you'll have little to no alternatives.


I can live with no data on my phone.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 1:01 pm 
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FarSky wrote:
It'll happen. And you'll have little to no alternatives.


It won't happen, because people hate plans like those. They'd make less money. Many people would rather have nothing than usage-based plans. People don't *need* Internet on their phone. It's not like oil for their homes or food. My parents quit AOL as soon as they made you pay per minute.

Everything you are so scared of won't happen because it'll piss off customers, which would be a net loss for the ISPs.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 1:05 pm 
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Or I'll start up an ISP that won't do it and get all the customers in my area, then start pushing others out of the market.

Invisible hand high five!

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 1:06 pm 
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If FarSky and others here were right, then there'd be no such thing as unlimited texting for cell phones.

edit: Can't type


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 1:22 pm 
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Lex Luthor wrote:
It won't happen, because people hate plans like those. They'd make less money. Many people would rather have nothing than usage-based plans. People don't *need* Internet on their phone. It's not like oil for their homes or food. My parents quit AOL as soon as they made you pay per minute.

Everything you are so scared of won't happen because it'll piss off customers, which would be a net loss for the ISPs.


Only it has already happened, in Canada. (For mobile charges. From an internet perspective we're still doing okay.)

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 1:38 pm 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
Or I'll start up an ISP that won't do it and get all the customers in my area, then start pushing others out of the market.

And what do you plan to do when the content your customers are seeking would require you to route across the AS of one of those other ISPs who charges you based on the content type (i.e. everyone else, in this scenario)? There are really only three things you can do:

1) Raise your prices to cover your costs, at which point your prices are effectively the same as what you would have to charge them on content-type basis
2) Build out your own separate physical interconnect to every single content provider (good luck with that)
3) Deny service (or never offer it in the first place).

Your plan makes the assumption that you're going to be able to obtain peerless routing end-to-end with everyone. The only ISPs that have that luxury are the very big "Tier 1" networks. Everyone else can go jump in lake because their traffic isn't a big enough chip to negotiate jack squat with.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 1:56 pm 
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With enough investment it can be done, and that depends on how many people want it.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 2:41 pm 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
Or I'll start up an ISP that won't do it and get all the customers in my area, then start pushing others out of the market.

Invisible hand high five!


What backbone provider will you connect it to?


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 4:00 pm 
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Provider? Elmo will have such a large interest and following that he'll have all the money needed to build his own infrastructure.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 4:15 pm 
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Elmarnieh wrote:
With enough investment it can be done, and that depends on how many people want it.


You really try to pretend you know how this stuff really works, it is kind of cute.

With enough investment, it cannot be done by a single person trying to hump the big boys. Your only hope would be a LARGE venture capital investment. A lot of the data that goes across this country goes across AT&T placed Fiber, because no one else would get in the boat when they offered the investment option. Which means you, at the very least, will be restricted to paying what they want for an interconnection cost.

In other areas, you will need to interface with Time Warner, Level 3 Communications, Centurylink, XO Communications, and several other organizations that will be able to match your investment, regardless of how much you think you can muster. This will also limit what you can offer.

These companies dictate what you can pass on as a service if you are a last mile ISP. Then you need to pay a place such as Switch, Equinix, InterNap, etc. to store your networking gear. And then you are bound by the local laws as to what you can actually pass for traffic (no child porn, etc).

And if you do not comply your **** can and will be confiscated by the government.

This still ignores the minor costs such as buying your bandwidth, registering your IP spaces, paying for your WHOIS listings, actually setting up your LLC, etc. network design, , Staffing a Network Operations Center and Support team, being able to afford people who do network security, etc.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 4:34 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
Provider? Elmo will have such a large interest and following that he'll have all the money needed to build his own infrastructure.


heh


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 4:35 pm 
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Beyond that, all the capital in the world won't help with underlying physical constraints that cause imperfect competition. Not everything is for sale.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 4:42 pm 
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The most significant point in all of these conversations is that the federal government has inserted itself into the position of determining how these businesses operate (specific to how Internet Access is controlled).

Because these ISP's and other network operators have huge lobbying groups representing them, they will get what they want. You as an individual consumer have no power and no influence on how this plays itself out.

Again, just look at how cable companies operate now.

Buried in the weeds here... Comcast is trying to acquire a controlling interest in NBC/Universal.

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN2210096420101222

**emphasis mine**
reuters wrote:
*Comcast, NBC Universal eye January close

*Companies previously aimed for 2010 close

By Paul Thomasch

NEW YORK, Dec 22 (Reuters) - Comcast Corp's (CMCSA.O) NBC Universal purchase will be delayed until at least next month, with federal regulators taking longer than the companies had hoped to sort through the deal.

NBC Universal Chief Executive Jeff Zucker, who will leave the company once the deal is completed, circulated a memo to staff on Wednesday saying: "We have made substantial progress this month with both the FCC and the Department of Justice, and expect that we will get a 'green light' in January."

Comcast, the largest U.S. cable company, confirmed the delay. It had initially hoped to close the transaction this year.

"Because of the lead time required to prepare for a close, it now appears that we will not be able to close the transaction with GE relating to NBC Universal by year-end," a spokeswoman said in a statement. "We have notified our transition teams that there will not be a Dec. 31 closing."

Comcast revealed its bid to buy a controlling stake in NBC Universal from General Electric Co (GE.N) more than a year ago to create a $30 billion business including broadcast, cable networks, movie studios and theme parks.

Regulators from the U.S. Department of Justice and the Federal Communications Commission have been examining several areas of contention, including online video, program access and program carriage, sources have said.

Regulators are concerned that Comcast could be in a position to stifle the fledgling online video market if it assumed partial control of Hulu, a joint venture of NBC Universal, News Corp (NWSA.O) and Walt Disney Co (DIS.N).

They also want to prevent Comcast from anti-competitive discrimination with the wealth of programming and networks it would own once the deal closed, including leading networks like USA, Bravo and MSNBC.

Under terms of the deal, Comcast is buying a controlling 51 percent stake from GE. (Reporting by Paul Thomasch, editing by Gerald E. McCormick)


The regulations that the FCC will be implementing are pointless. I mean they aren't exactly scribed on a stone tablet somewhere. They will change. The 'restrictions' put in place for wired providers were simply the FCC bowing to pressure to reign in comcast prior to the NBC deal. I can assure you that the restrictions will change, and they will not change in a way that benefits the consumer. They will change in a way that benefits the large corporations, and the government organizations doing their bidding.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 5:24 pm 
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I thought this interview with Tim Wu was interesting.

http://www.viddler.com/explore/engadgetshow/videos/25/


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 22, 2010 11:54 pm 
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The main problem with the concept of Network Neutrality is that it is ill defined and mostly just a handy umbrella for someone to use to push an agenda.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 1:43 am 
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Pretty much. Most of the people involved have absolutely no idea what they're doing or how the internet works, and what remains are foxes guarding the hen house.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2010 8:13 am 
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Actually DS Comcast owns the HFC backbone across the US and the one across the atlantic. When ATnT took a soaking on fiber years ago, sections of it got snapped up by the various providers to augment their exsisting fiber. In many markets companies hold onto the old fiber as a switching option for physical damage.

In short, everyone pays comcast.

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