RangerDave wrote:
Rorinthas wrote:
Except that doesn't have to happen. Daily revenue will still be coming in and should be able to cover daily payouts in debt maintenance social security and VA benefit. It's just a matter of the President decided to do that or not.
And what about the roughly $500 billion in debt maturing in August? If the debt ceiling isn't raised, do you really think all those debt holders are going to be willing to just roll their debt over? What percentage do you think will prefer to just take their chips off the table until the political crisis is done? 5%? 10%? There's an extra $25-50 billion we have to pay in August alone. Even if most/all of that debt does get rolled over successfully, it'll be at a significantly higher interest rate, which would also eat up a good chunk of the revenue stream.
And besides, it's just back-of-the-napkin budgeting to say the government could theoretically cover x, y, and z programs alone. Are we just going to stop paying every other bill in the meantime? Shut down the FBI, empty the federal prisons, open up the borders, stop paying active duty soldiers, ground the Air Force? I don't think so. And even if that kind of total prioritization of a handful of programs was feasible, where does the President get the power to decide which bills to pay and which ones to ignore? Congress appropriated funds for all those programs and directed the Executive Branch to spend the funds accordingly. From a "checks and balances" perspective, I'd say the most Constitutionally sound approach would be an across-the-board cut to all programs. In practice, we'll probably get a mix of across-the-board cuts and Constitutionally-dubious program prioritization with cuts ranging from 30% to 60% depending on the program.
In short, Obama's comment wasn't fear-mongering; it was just fact. Failing to raise the debt ceiling will create an immediate cluster-f*ck of ginormous proportions, and everyone, including SS beneficiaries, will get nailed.
(Btw, I love that the spell-check recognizes "ginormous" as a word.
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I'm not an accountant, but I assume the debt works like my credit card, where I only have to pay "minium payments" to avoid immediate default. It's not a great long term solution, but it gets by.
I'll have to go look for the math, but according to what I've heard, the monthly income of the government covers checks for Social security, VA, and active duty military rosters, as well as these minimum interest payments on the debt with about 39 Billion to spare.
That said I'm for cutting every program (assuming that includes social security and health care) 30-60% if the right cuts are made.