TheRiov wrote:
LadyKate wrote:
And what if he had decided to shoot a few people in addition to getting the money?
What if he had a nitroglycerine vest and by shooting him he exploded killing everyone. We can 'what if' any number of scenarios. I'm diamondeye has statistics on this but what percentage of robbers (particularly those robbing in daylight so couldn't possibly hope to kill ALL witnesses) just try to make off with the cash instead of shooting randomly?
Compare that with the likelihood of two drawn weapons ending up with triggers pulled.
Compare that with the odds of someone being injured or killed in a gun battle?
Frankly, your analogy is silly. Yes, we can "what if" almost anything. However, that does not make a perfectly reasonable scenario like LKs a silly "what if" in the way your nitroglycerine vest is. Sometimes robbers do shoot people to eliminate witnesses or for whatever reason; they don't tend to be entirely logical, dispassionate, or deliberate in their actions, being uneducated, young, and typically thinking of themselves as tough guys.
Moreover, the "likelyhood of triggers getting pulled if two guns are drawn" is irrelevant; that likelyhood should be 100%. That's why you pull a gun on a robber; to shoot him. Granted, you might be able to surprise him from behind and tell him to drop the gun but even then you need to be prepared to shoot. This is not the movies. The point of pulling the gun is to shoot the robber. Robberies are to be avoided, but once they occur, shooing the robber is just taking care of business. At the risk of repeating myself, you jerk that smokewagon, and go to work.
As for the "likelyhood of someone being injured or killed" (the grandiose nature of the term 'gun battle' notwithstanding for a confrontation between 2 people) that's again, the point. Injure or kill the robber. Yes, the other guy may get shot, but if that wasn't acceptable to him, he shouldn't have pulled out his gun in the first place. As for bystanders, yes, they may get hurt, but there is ultimately no telling what that robber will do and people should not be forced into helplessness just because of statistics unless we had truly
overwhelming likelyhood that bystanders would be hurt if there were gunfire but not if the robber were allowed to complete his crime in peace. We don't have that. Contrary to the occasional hystrionics by the media, stray bullet kiddings are anecdotal occurences. In order to kill someone a stray nullet has to A) miss its target B) go directly towards another person (which, if you consider the true volume of space around you and the inverse square law, you will realize is not likely except in truely crowded settings) and C) be unobstructed and then D) has to do fatal damage.
I don't think you're "considering the likelyhoods" at all; you're just
imagining the likelyhood of that based on what you think is common sense and the impressions you've always gotten, and that, in your mind, is inflating the likelyhood to wildly unrealistic levels.
Suppose that a police officer on duty had happened by when this robbery occured, instead of a retired one. Should he not confront the robber because someone else might get shot? This is just an open invitation to go commit armed robbery.