RangerDave wrote:
Diamondeye wrote:
if people think fraud is undetectable and the rules are saet up to prevent attempting to detect it they may hope minor fraud on their part will combine with fraud on the part of others to have an effect.
Fair point. I suppose it's not
that much more irrational to cast a fraudulent vote than it is to cast a legitimate one. Neither has any meaningful impact, but both can be perceived as "doing your part" to help while hoping that others do the same. Still, there's a lot of cultural pressure to vote as part of your civic duty, whereas there's the opposite pressure (backed by criminal sanctions) with respect to fraudulent voting. Most people can barely be roused to go vote legitimately, let alone take it upon themselves to do so fraudulently. Amoral, highly-motivated, politically active, and yet content to just be a drop in the bucket (as opposed to rigging a count or organizing a larger fraud) seems like a pretty uncommon personality type.
Quite a few people, especially younger people who have convinced themselves the other side is "evil" would see vote fraud as "a necessary evil". As for being willing to be a drop in the bucket, look at the complaining about the electoral college. People whine that their vote in a particular state "doesn't matter" and yet they think that it somehow would "matter" more in a pool of hundreds of millions. The increase in the amount it matters is so miniscule as to be unworthy of notice, but many people are hung up on the idea that their personal ideas really should matter to everyone else.
Diamondeye wrote:
To be clear, I actually think Voter ID laws are fine as long as they aren't too onerous and get implemented in a gradual manner so people have time to adjust. I just don't think there's any reasonable justification for the current "OMG! Voter fraud!!" freak-out being pushed by Republicans and their media allies. So, given the lack of any genuine urgency to the issue, the push to implement new requirements prior to the upcoming election, the fact that the otherwise legitimate voters most likely to be prevented from voting generally vote Democrat (not to mention tend to be minorities), and the occasional gaffes by Voter ID supporters like that Republican legislator in PA talking about how it will enable Romney to win the state...yeah, I doubt the good faith of the current Voter ID movement.
I find the opposite. I think that the lack of urgency has been created by the fact that every attempt to implement such a law has been stymied.
I am also not at all convinced that the voters that would be most likely to be prevented from voting would be democrat. Sure, more minority and poor people vote democrat, but those people are more likely to be in urban centers where liberal and nonpartisan vote drives can access them. Rural poor are more dispersed, making vote drives more physically difficult to accomplish. Therefore, I think it would be even in the long run, and in any case, I do not buy that it is hard to get a photo ID. I have arrested many, many people who did not have a driver's license, and many were poor, but every single one has had a government photo ID of some sort. I think the difficulty of getting one has been wildly exaggerated by the left.
Quote:
Now, if the Republicans were saying, "Let's implement a Voter ID law that gets phased in after the current election is over and we've spent a couple of years educating the public about the new requirements," I'd be all for it.
I wouldn't be against this, but again, I do not think there's much actual need for education. People that actually lack ID are extremely rare. People that
refuse to get an ID I have no sympathy for.
Diamondeye wrote:
Yeah, that's the kind of fraud that I think actually is more of a problem. Low-level bureaucrats messing with voters and/or tampering with results definitely makes more sense as the kind of thing that could be both difficult to detect/prove and effective at influencing the outcome of elections. Anecdotally, my brother ran into a lot of it when he was poll watching in Arkansas for a local mayoral campaign. People who he knew lived in the town and were on the voter rolls but were voting for the challenger (a black woman) got hassled and turned away (often with a warning about "voter fraud" being illegal, by the way), while people who weren't on the rolls but were obviously voting for the incumbent (a white guy who'd been in office forever) were allowed to vote because "Oh, everyone knows so-and-so. Must be a mistake in the paperwork." There were some other shenanigans too that I can't recall right now - something about town vehicles being used for the incumbent's GOTV efforts and some of the challenger's absentee ballots being lost or wrongly disqualified or something. Anyway, in the end, the incumbent won by a small enough margin that the result likely would have flipped if not for the manipulation.
Small towns have that sort of problem. Note the Massachusetts thread.