RangerDave wrote:
Vindicarre wrote:
RD, the chances of nearly anything happening are "comparatively high" in to "a nutjob with an AR-15 showing up to kill as many as possible". Do you have any information on how often the scenarios you highlight occur?
Not off hand, but I'm sure we could dig up relevant stats on accidental and opportunistic shootings, and as you seem to agree, they're pretty much guaranteed to be high by comparison to premeditated mass shootings.
Sure, they'd be comparatively high, as would nearly anything else.
Yet, this is new legislation, presumably in relation to the recent mass shooting, correct?
Yet, this is a drill in response to a premeditated attack, correct?
Ipso facto, I don't believe they are passing the laws for the reasons you purport.
It would be interesting to see the relationship between "gun free zone" schools and "regular gun laws" schools regarding accidental/opportunistic shootings. I bet they are lower at the "regular laws schools"...
RangerDave wrote:
Quote:
I'm a little unclear on which risks you characterize as "low-frequency/high-consequence risks" and which are "high-frequency/low-consequence risks". It seems to me that any time a firearm is discharged, that's "high-consequence". Which scenarios in your statement do you see as "low-frequency/high-consequence risks" and "high-frequency/low-consequence risks"?
Sorry for the confusion. I'm saying that accidental and opportunistic shootings are more likely than premeditated mass shootings, but their body count would be significantly lower, so:
accidental/opportunistic shootings = (comparatively) high-frequency/low-consequence
premeditated mass shootings = (comparatively) low-frequency/high-consequence
I still see accidental/opportunistic shootings as "high consequence", but I grok you now.
RangerDave wrote:
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Why would the risks be different at a school than at a shopping center or other public spot?
Basically because there's a higher concentration of kids in a school, and kids tend to be curious and risk-prone and to get into frequent fights at school.
I don't believe that there are more "kids" over 18 at a school than elsewhere. As being 18 is the legal requirement for possessing a handgun in Oregon (I believe your above statements are in relation to handguns versus long guns), further, being 18 is the general designation for "adulthood", any "kid" with a gun at school is not very likely to get into a fight while holding his rifle/shotgun, as handgun possession by "kids" is already taken care of by existing laws. If the above is taken as true, your premise regarding kids and fights with guns is even less likely to occur than a premeditated mass shooting.
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"Dress cops up as soldiers, give them military equipment, train them in military tactics, tell them they’re fighting a ‘war,’ and the consequences are predictable." —Radley Balko