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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 1:29 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
Note that Coro never said the Pearl Harbor attacks in 1941 would have been replaced by an atomic bomb. All things being equal, they may have attacked it again in 1945. That's the fun of hypothetical situations.

I don't need to note that. He didn't specify. In a hypothetical, any change from history not specified is not part of the hypothetical. Furthermore, if the war had not started in 1941, it is unlikely the bomb would be ready in 1945. You can stop fishing for an argument now.

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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 1:54 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
Note that Coro never said the Pearl Harbor attacks in 1941 would have been replaced by an atomic bomb. All things being equal, they may have attacked it again in 1945. That's the fun of hypothetical situations.



Heheh, all things being equal, there would be no winning a war.
The equal armies would meet equidistant from their homelands and proceed to take equal casualties and losses of materiel. They would proceed to equally destroy each other until there was nothing left, or they quit after seeing the futility of it all. Any true "all things being equal" scenario ends with the same two possibilities. A pointless argument if ever I saw one.

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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 2:01 pm 
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Vindicarre wrote:
Heheh, all things being equal, there would be no winning a war.
The equal armies would meet equidistant from their homelands and proceed to take equal casualties and losses of materiel. They would proceed to equally destroy each other until there was nothing left, or they quit after seeing the futility of it all. Any true "all things being equal" scenario ends with the same two possibilities. A pointless argument if ever I saw one.



A strange game. The only winning move is not to play. How about a nice game of chess?


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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 2:04 pm 
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TheRiov wrote:
Vindicarre wrote:
Heheh, all things being equal, there would be no winning a war.
The equal armies would meet equidistant from their homelands and proceed to take equal casualties and losses of materiel. They would proceed to equally destroy each other until there was nothing left, or they quit after seeing the futility of it all. Any true "all things being equal" scenario ends with the same two possibilities. A pointless argument if ever I saw one.



A strange game. The only winning move is not to play. How about a nice game of chess?

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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 2:50 pm 
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Vindicarre wrote:
Lenas wrote:
Note that Coro never said the Pearl Harbor attacks in 1941 would have been replaced by an atomic bomb. All things being equal, they may have attacked it again in 1945. That's the fun of hypothetical situations.



Heheh, all things being equal, there would be no winning a war.
The equal armies would meet equidistant from their homelands and proceed to take equal casualties and losses of materiel. They would proceed to equally destroy each other until there was nothing left, or they quit after seeing the futility of it all. Any true "all things being equal" scenario ends with the same two possibilities. A pointless argument if ever I saw one.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Taste_of_Armageddon

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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 3:46 pm 
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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 4:47 pm 
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That condition is documented at least as far back as the Roman Legions, BC.

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PostPosted: Wed May 01, 2013 10:03 pm 
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Since there still appears to be some confusion, I will provide assistance.

Corolinth wrote:
It could, because you are able to force the enemy to pay a cost of human life it deems unacceptably high with a lower cost in your own troops. Riov's statement assumes all things are equal, which they most certainly are not. If all things were equal, Pearl Harbor would have gotten nuked.


Really, it's my fault. I had a momentary lapse of judgement, and forgot I was dealing with people who don't like to read posts.

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PostPosted: Thu May 02, 2013 2:57 am 
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No, no, no that statement couldn't possibly be true if all things were equal. The US and Japan would have had equal knowledge of the plans for the nuclear attacks and would have prevented each one, equally. It's almost as if you are purposefully ignoring what "all things being equal" really means.

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PostPosted: Thu May 02, 2013 4:05 pm 
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...

I can assure you that two people in this thread are purposefully ignoring what the only ablative absolute in English does, particularly since it's a specific and deliberate idiom: ceteris paribus. TheRiov's argument assumes that changing the body armor variable doesn't change the outcome on total lives lost. Corolinth's observation -- that TheRiov is basing his argument on a singular variable change with no material change in outcome -- is, not unsurprisingly, both linguistically and procedurally correct.

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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 9:56 am 
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It was never my intention to imply that casualties would have remained unchanged. (though I can see how that would be read out of what I typed) I was drawing issue with the headline of the article based on a single variable (the presence of body armor on infantry), that 'millions' could have been saved) I threw one argument at it (that body armor would have reduced deaths from things like artillery, but that in the end in order to win the battle you still have to kill or incapacitate the enemy; or stalemate, which would draw out the battle, possibly resulting in more deaths from other causes) Particularly in amphibious landings, armor wouldn't really have been possible (or would have resulted in vast numbers of more dead from drowning during some operations)

It was never my intention to fully extrapolate the various variables but simply to draw issue with the articles assumption that "Oh, well this or that shell wouldn't have been fatal with this armor! This person would have survived the war!"


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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 10:22 am 
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TheRiov wrote:
I threw one argument at it (that body armor would have reduced deaths from things like artillery, but that in the end in order to win the battle you still have to kill or incapacitate the enemy; or stalemate, which would draw out the battle, possibly resulting in more deaths from other causes) Particularly in amphibious landings, armor wouldn't really have been possible (or would have resulted in vast numbers of more dead from drowning during some operations).
I'm beginning to see the problem with this thread. The argument/observation/position currently being challenged is the position in this quote. That's the thread-specific point of contention. I don't have a dog in that race.

The derail, amusingly, is about a peculiar idiomatic expression -- "All things being equal." I do have a horse hitched to that cart, though.

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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 10:29 am 
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a phrase I never used, though somehow it got attached to my name....


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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 10:36 am 
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TheRiov wrote:
a phrase I never used, though somehow it got attached to my name....
It got attached the argument I quoted in my previous post. The people using said phrase incorrectly, mind you, are DE and Vindi. The phrase, in point of fact, accurately describes the statement you made. Corolinth pointed this out, not so much as to dispute your position, but to explain the fallacy in the source material and that particular point of challenge by you.

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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 10:43 am 
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Care to expound on why you believe I'm using the phrase incorrectly, Khross? I'm quite familiar with caeteris paribus. Corolinth introduced new variables in addition to the introduction of body armor thereby breaking the single independent variable quality needed for a scientific use of caeteris paribus. This lowered the standard of usage to colloquial, rather than formal. My posts were highlighting that fact.

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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 2:20 pm 
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Vindicarre:
Corolinth wrote:
Riov's statement assumes all things are equal, which they most certainly are not.
Seems to me, Corolinth knows exactly what he's talking about ... You're simply hung up on a bit of snark that you can't process relative to the rest of his statement. "All things being equal" is indicates we should engage in situational comparison. What happened, all things being equal, would happen in an identical circumstance. Consequently, TheRiov makes an argument that focuses on "what happened" and "what would have happened if we had body armor." Corolinth's nuke comment indicates that TheRiov is assuming "all things being equal" through multiple comparative axes instead of one.

So, yes, you're misapplying it. You're too hung up on a hanging chad to read the rest of the post.

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PostPosted: Fri May 03, 2013 3:23 pm 
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You see, Khross, using the parameters that caeteris paribus establishes, the statement:
Corolinth wrote:
Since clearly we have a few people in the thread who don't understand what "all things being equal" means.

If all things were equal, Japan would have had nuclear weapons to deploy on U.S. cities. Since the only actual states Japan managed to attack were Hawaii and Alaska, and their Alaskan forays were in mostly limited to vast stretches of frozen wasteland, that leaves Pearl Harbor as the target for the theoretical nuclear weapon.

is an incorrect attempt at using caeteris paribus. The correct usage of "all things being equal" demands that all other things besides the variable in question are held constant. Corolinth is obviously misapplying the phrase, as he is allowing for variables other than the one posed by the OP.

Your fiat declarations are nice and all Khross, you've still not stated why you believe I was misapplying the phrase. In light of the explanation I've given (twice) as to why I am confident Corolinth is incorrect by attempting to change variables other than the one in question, therefor de facto improperly attempting to apply caeteris paribus, I would think you'd have something other than "because I said so".

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