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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:10 pm 
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It's funny, the biggest problem I have with the map is something no one else seems to have noticed. And now that I've thought about it a bit more, I think it explains the east/west divide perfectly.

All their data is aggregated to the county level. When you zoom in on the map, you'll see dots on the map that appear to be little pockets of racism. As you zoom in more, these pockets get smaller. They're really just the geographic center of a county. The size of the blue/red blob has nothing to do with the size of the county. When you start to zoom out, you see a bunch of little blue blobs in the eastern US, all of similar size. Counties in the east are smaller and more densely packed together than in the west, so you see more of these blobs there and it makes the east look really bad. It's really an issue with the way they are displaying their map on Google Maps, not the data itself.

If you look at this map of the counties in the US, you'll see it lines up almost perfectly with this east/west divide.

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They really need to have a map of all the counties like the one above, with each county shaded according to their data. Then it would give a much clearer picture of the data and I suspect this east/west divide would vanish.


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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:16 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
I'm sure you guys are right and this data doesn't actually correlate to anything. It's just a statistical illusion and the nation is actually more homogenous than it seems.
That's truer than you think ...

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:17 pm 
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What, did that come off as sarcastic?


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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:20 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
What, did that come off as sarcastic?
It came off quite sarcastic, actually. And I'm not belittling the notion that the US is full of small-minded people with irrational fears and social flaws, in the slightest. The US is a lot more homogeneous than people think.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:26 pm 
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Amanar wrote:
I'm sorry if my tone was a little harsh DFK, I'm just in a weird mood right now. I really didn't mean to be so grating, but rereading my post I can see how it turned out that way. I shouldn't have called your reasoning retarded.




Fair enough. I'll remove my response.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:29 pm 
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Khross wrote:
It came off quite sarcastic, actually.


Interesting.


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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:36 pm 
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Lenas:

If you're curious, it comes across as sarcastic because of the diction and idiomatic choices in your statement. As for the substantives, I'd point out that ethnic qualifiers are by-and-large irrelevant in discussions of diversity, ability, and various behavior-set analysis that our media and politicians like to discuss. African Americans, as a racial group for instance, may not suffer from institutional racism in the way Monte used to argue, for instance. The situation might be far less transparent and tangible. It could be, for instance, that income and generational spending habits have more to do with the situation than race. It is true, however, that people tend to group far more rigidly along income lines than they do along ethnic or gender or sexuality lines. In fact, that's largely why Boulder County, Colorado is the poster child for both sides of the diversity debate.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:39 pm 
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Just goes to show, that the further East you go, the more uptight and assholish the residents get. Go far enough West, and people tend to get more laid back and relaxed. Just look at the differences between Hawaii and New York City.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:41 pm 
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On this seaboard, we like to point out that the first step (of 12) in getting out of California lies with remembering you don't have to keep up with the Jones.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:51 pm 
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Amanar wrote:
It's funny, the biggest problem I have with the map is something no one else seems to have noticed. And now that I've thought about it a bit more, I think it explains the east/west divide perfectly.

All their data is aggregated to the county level. When you zoom in on the map, you'll see dots on the map that appear to be little pockets of racism. As you zoom in more, these pockets get smaller. They're really just the geographic center of a county. The size of the blue/red blob has nothing to do with the size of the county. When you start to zoom out, you see a bunch of little blue blobs in the eastern US, all of similar size. Counties in the east are smaller and more densely packed together than in the west, so you see more of these blobs there and it makes the east look really bad. It's really an issue with the way they are displaying their map on Google Maps, not the data itself.

If you look at this map of the counties in the US, you'll see it lines up almost perfectly with this east/west divide.

Image

They really need to have a map of all the counties like the one above, with each county shaded according to their data. Then it would give a much clearer picture of the data and I suspect this east/west divide would vanish.


While I was marginally aware of this phenomena, It didn't occur to me that it might apply.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 2:03 pm 
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Amanar wrote:
I'm sorry if my tone was a little harsh DFK, I'm just in a weird mood right now. I really didn't mean to be so grating, but rereading my post I can see how it turned out that way. I shouldn't have called your reasoning retarded.


So here's the key for me, basically (ordered sequentially, not by order importance):

1) There are a TON of biases and confounding variables in this map.
2) According to the authors, (some of) these are known biases
3) They chose to publish the findings anyway, despite the known biases

Therefore:

4) The findings are not valid due to intentional disregard for known biases.



Now, if you'd like me to go into greater depth as to why this is (and rightly should be) the case, I can.

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PostPosted: Tue May 14, 2013 3:10 pm 
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Lenas wrote:
I'm sure you guys are right and this data doesn't actually correlate to anything. It's just a statistical illusion and the nation is actually more homogenous than it seems.

This isn't even data. It's a mountain of useless information.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 9:17 am 
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DFK! wrote:
Now, if you'd like me to go into greater depth as to why this is (and rightly should be) the case, I can.



All collected social information is biased in one way or another.

That doesn't make it entirely useless. It just increases the possible causes for the data to show what it shows. Rather than allow a conclusion, it simply shows interesting possibilities.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 9:23 am 
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Talya wrote:
DFK! wrote:
Now, if you'd like me to go into greater depth as to why this is (and rightly should be) the case, I can.



All collected social information is biased in one way or another.

That doesn't make it entirely useless. It just increases the possible causes for the data to show what it shows. Rather than allow a conclusion, it simply shows interesting possibilities.


In this case, it is entirely useless. The rest of your statement is entirely correct.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 9:38 am 
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DFK! wrote:
In this case, it is entirely useless. The rest of your statement is entirely correct.


And yet, biased social information polls are able to predict the results of an election with a reasonable level of accuracy. Biased social information is used to help companies choose product lines, predict customer volumes (and staff/stock accordingly), etc.

The information is useful. it just cannot, on its own, show causal relationships, just corellations.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 9:58 am 
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Talya wrote:
DFK! wrote:
In this case, it is entirely useless. The rest of your statement is entirely correct.


And yet, biased social information polls are able to predict the results of an election with a reasonable level of accuracy. Biased social information is used to help companies choose product lines, predict customer volumes (and staff/stock accordingly), etc.

The information is useful. it just cannot, on its own, show causal relationships, just corellations.


Again, like with Amanar, if that's what you want to believe, fine. But you're wrong. This data, and this map, show you effectively nothing.


The other items you mention are false analogies. Essentially, what your core point is correct: not all variables can be controlled. This does not mean that all information is valid, or even useful. Some data has so many variables, and so many biases, as to be wholly without worth.

This is (essentially) the case here.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 10:31 am 
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To give those of you who think this has valuable information an idea of how bad the results of the study are ...

Apparently the University of Georgia is so racist that it turns two states (Tennessee and Georgia) red. The most I look at this, the most I see a gross expression of some researcher's confirmation and selection biases, not valuable information or data. Also, apparently Vanderbilt and the University of Tennessee are just as bad ...

Actually, wait, I found a useful piece of information in this I already knew. College students send the most tweets and the activity centers are university towns.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 10:40 am 
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DFK! wrote:
The other items you mention are false analogies. Essentially, what your core point is correct: not all variables can be controlled. This does not mean that all information is valid, or even useful. Some data has so many variables, and so many biases, as to be wholly without worth.

This is (essentially) the case here.



So your argument is that there is too many unknown factors and biases in this data collection that it can't be used to infer anything at all.

That's possible.

I would argue that the study does show us rather reliably that, based on the percentage of tweets that can be verified as originating from either side of the USA , eastern tweets are more likely to contain the words "nigger" or "fag" (or whatever they're counting) than the percentage from the western half of the USA.

Beyond that, tells us nothing. I entirely disagree with the premise that a person can reliably tell how the word is being used. I entirely disagree with the premise that it shows a predeliction for racism in some way. It only tells us that among twitter-users who allow geolocation, eastern tweets are more likely to contain certain prejudicial terms.

I'm not sure I care about that information, as I believe we need a prejudicial epithet for rabid twitter users in general.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 10:41 am 
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Talya wrote:
I would argue

Of course you would. You're a woman.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 11:06 am 
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That's just off-topic hate. You need to hate according to the criteria.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 11:09 am 
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She's also Canadian. And gay.

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PostPosted: Wed May 15, 2013 11:32 am 
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Talya wrote:
I would argue that the study does show us rather reliably that, based on the percentage of tweets that can be verified [via internal Twitter metrics, not external resources] as originating from either side of the USA , eastern tweets are more likely to contain the words "nigger" or "fag" (or whatever they're counting) than the percentage from the western half of the USA.


With the addition of the more specific caveat in red, I agree. That is all that this map shows.


Now, the addition could, by some, be dismissed as "semantics." It should not. This is because whatever method Twitter uses to geotag the origination location could be falsified, erroneous, or incorrect for some other reason. Without data on the accuracy of the geotag, it's important to note that no external validation was done on that particular data point. This is important because it shows that even this minor conclusion we're drawing could itself be flawed (although admittedly not likely).


Edit: which goes to one of my original thread comments: what this thread (and the OP map) does, is show a great case example of why studies and statistics should be examined with great vigor when it comes to methodology. The map originally was claimed to show how much "more hateful" one portion of the US is than others, when in reality all it can show is unverified language patterns without causal ties to anything else.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 11:18 am 
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For shits and giggles, here's another map (spoilered for size), compiled by a different group using a different methodology:

Spoiler:
Image

WaPo wrote:
Among the dozens of questions that World Values asks, the Swedish economists found one that, they believe, could be a pretty good indicator of tolerance for other races. The survey asked respondents in more than 80 different countries to identify kinds of people they would not want as neighbors. Some respondents, picking from a list, chose “people of a different race.” The more frequently that people in a given country say they don’t want neighbors from other races, the economists reasoned, the less racially tolerant you could call that society. (The study concluded that economic freedom had no correlation with racial tolerance, but it does appear to correlate with tolerance toward homosexuals.)

Unfortunately, the Swedish economists did not include all of the World Values Survey data in their final research paper. So I went back to the source, compiled the original data and mapped it out on the infographic above. In the bluer countries, fewer people said they would not want neighbors of a different race; in red countries, more people did.


Last edited by RangerDave on Thu May 16, 2013 11:27 am, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 11:25 am 
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It makes you wonder what, for instance, the Chinese respondents meant when answering that query. Mostly, I would suspect they meant other Asian ethnicities, but from another perspective, that's just yellow on yellow hate, so does that really count?

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PostPosted: Thu May 16, 2013 11:26 am 
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RangerDave wrote:
For shits and giggles, here's another map (spoilered for size), compiled by a different group using a different methodology:

Spoiler:
Image

Quote:
Among the dozens of questions that World Values asks, the Swedish economists found one that, they believe, could be a pretty good indicator of tolerance for other races. The survey asked respondents in more than 80 different countries to identify kinds of people they would not want as neighbors. Some respondents, picking from a list, chose “people of a different race.” The more frequently that people in a given country say they don’t want neighbors from other races, the economists reasoned, the less racially tolerant you could call that society. (The study concluded that economic freedom had no correlation with racial tolerance, but it does appear to correlate with tolerance toward homosexuals.)

Unfortunately, the Swedish economists did not include all of the World Values Survey data in their final research paper. So I went back to the source, compiled the original data and mapped it out on the infographic above. In the bluer countries, fewer people said they would not want neighbors of a different race; in red countries, more people did.



Link?

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