The Glade 4.0

A bunch of indicators are pointing to it. Do you guys think it'll happen? Even if it doesn't in the next few weeks, there's a very high chance it'll happen in 2016.

It's been 7 years since the last big one. It's due.

Doesn't mean it will happen, though.

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Well Ali Baba had them forty thieves, Scheherezade had a thousand tales
But master you in luck 'cause up your sleeves you got a brand of magic never fails...
...Mister Aladdin, sir, What will your pleasure be?
Let me take your order, Jot it down -You ain't never had a friend like me
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The Federal funds rate has been effectively zero for, what, almost eight years, now? And in that 8 years, there's been very little real estate development because of all the distressed properties on the market in the wake of the housing bubble.

Yeah, there's a stock bubble now.

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"Aaaah! Emotions are weird!" - Amdee
"... Mirrorshades prevent the forces of normalcy from realizing that one is crazed and possibly dangerous. They are the symbol of the sun-staring visionary, the biker, the rocker, the policeman, and similar outlaws." - Bruce Sterling, preface to Mirrorshades

Well this is my favorite indicator. It shows the one year percentage change of the Wilshire 5000 Total Market index. If it dips below the 0% line, then it means we have a really high chance of a recession in the next few months.

In fact, I did an analysis of the S&P 500 and your total returns are much higher if you sell equities every time this indicator goes below -2%, and re-buy once it goes above 2%.

Well that's it, it's time to temporarily leave the stock market. The elves are leaving middle earth.

I don't get it. Is that because Grizzly Adams died today?

No, because we're entering a bear market it seems.

Yes

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"Hysterical children shrieking about right-wing anything need to go sit in the corner and be quiet while the adults are talking."

The historical average is that the S&P 500 will drop to about 1720 or so before market conditions improve. It's pretty interesting to me because I did a lot of analysis recently and then my predictions came true.