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 Post subject: "Nordic-Style Socialism"
PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 10:54 am 
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Interesting articleabout the difference between how Scandinavians perceive "Nordic-style socialism" and how Americans, including Bernie Sanders, perceive it. Long story short, Scandinavians, according to the author, support it out of self-interest, not altruism or "cultural kinship". Some excerpts I particularly liked:

Quote:
A Nordic person myself, I left my native Finland seven years ago and moved to the U.S. Although I’m now a U.S. citizen, I hear these kinds of comments from Americans all the time—at cocktail parties and at panel discussions, in town hall meetings and on the opinion pages. Nordic countries are the way they are, I’m told, because they are small, homogeneous “nanny states” where everyone looks alike, thinks alike, and belongs to a big extended family. This, in turn, makes Nordic citizens willing to sacrifice their own interests to help their neighbors....But this vision of homogenous, altruistic Nordic lands is mostly a fantasy. The choices Nordic countries have made have little to do with altruism or kinship. Rather, Nordic people have made their decisions out of self-interest. Nordic nations offer their citizens—all of their citizens, but especially the middle class—high-quality services that save people a lot of money, time, and trouble. This is what Americans fail to understand: My taxes in Finland were used to pay for top-notch services for me.

When I lived in Finland, as a middle-class citizen I paid income tax at a rate not much higher than what I now pay in New York City. True, Nordic countries have somewhat higher taxes on consumption than America, and overall they collect more tax revenue than the U.S. currently does—partly from the wealthy. But, as an example, here are some of the things I personally got in return for my taxes: nearly a full year of paid parental leave for each child (plus a smaller monthly payment for an additional two years, were I or the father of my child to choose to stay at home with our child longer), affordable high-quality day care for my kids, one of the world’s best public K-12 education systems, free college, free graduate school, nearly free world-class health care delivered through a pretty decent universal network, and a full year of partially paid disability leave. As far as I was concerned, it was a great deal.

...But wait, most Americans would say: Those policies work well because all Nordics share a sense of kinship and have fond feelings for each other. That might be nice if it were true, but it’s not, as anyone who has followed recent political debates about immigration or economic policy in Nordic countries understands. Nordics are not only just as selfish as everyone else on this earth but they can—and do—dislike many of their fellow citizens just as much as people with different political views dislike each other in other countries. As for homogeneity, Sweden already has a bigger share of foreign-born residents than the U.S. The reason Nordics stick with the system is because they can see that on the whole, they come out ahead—not just as a group, but as individuals.

...I understand why Sanders supporters believe in his vision, and I can assure them that they are not being the least bit naive. The problem is the way Sanders has talked about it. The way he’s embraced the term socialist has reinforced the American misunderstanding that universal social policies always require sacrifice for the good of others, and that such policies are anathema to the entrepreneurial, individualistic American spirit. It’s actually the other way around. For people to support a Nordic-style approach is not an act of altruism but of self-promotion.


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Even so, surely these Nordic “socialist nanny states” pay the price in squashing entrepreneurship and business innovation? This is another refrain I repeatedly hear: Nordic countries have produced no Steve Jobs, no General Motors, and no medical breakthroughs....In reality, however, Nordic nations have produced what is, by any metric, an impressive output of successful entrepreneurs, international businesses, and brands. Sweden has Ikea, H&M, Spotify, and Volvo, to name a few. From Denmark have come Lego, Carlsberg, and one of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies, Novo Nordisk. A Swede and a Dane co-founded the video calling service Skype. The core programming code of Linux—the leading operating system running on the world’s servers and supercomputers—was developed by a Finn. The Finnish company Nokia was the world’s largest mobile phone maker for more than a decade. And newer players like Finland’s Supercell and Rovio, creators of the ubiquitous video games Clash of Clans and Angry Birds, or Sweden’s Mojang, the publisher of the equally popular video game Minecraft, are changing the face of online gaming.

...Nordic economies go through cycles like all countries, and they make mistakes like everyone else—Finland is in the midst of a recession right now, whereas the Swedish economy is doing phenomenally well. As in any region, some Nordic companies eventually crash and burn, and others never get off the ground. Some continue to dominate their market for decades. This is all as it should be in free-market, capitalist economies—which is what Nordic countries are....Americans are not wrong to abhor the specters of socialism and big government. In fact, as a proud Finn, I often like to remind my American friends that my countrymen in Finland fought two brutal wars against the Soviet Union to preserve Finland’s freedom and independence against socialism. No one wants to live in a society that doesn’t support individual liberty, entrepreneurship, and open markets. But the truth is that free-market capitalism and universal social policies go well together—this isn’t about big government, it’s about smart government.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 11:42 am 
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Nordic countries have also had to heavily loosen regulations on business in the last 15 years, and in the case of Norway in particular, have been living off the largesse of oil income. Bernie conveniently ignores that in his fantasy of wrecking fossil fuel industry while somehow having free everything for everyone.

The Nordic countries have also heavily cannibalized their defenses to pay for this, having the European luxury of hiding behind America. This is less true of Finland (for obvious reasons) and Denmark (too small to have serious defense anyhow) than Norway or Sweden.

Sweden has, of late, been in something of a panic because it's realized it's not in NATO and it's lost its ability to defend itself meaningfully from Russia. In Norway, the USMC has been pre-positioning tanks again in facilities from back in the Cold War.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 12:31 pm 
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My whole family is from Germany, and I'm seriously skeptical when someone claims that the taxes over in Europe are "not much higher" than they are in the US. This guy lives in New York City, I'm willing to bet he's actually extremely wealthy relative to the rest of the country and is getting hit hard by the US's progressive tax system, and only counts as "middle class" because he lives in Manhattan where 250k/year barely counts as middle class if you're single and poverty if you have like a family of four.

I've posted it before, but for perspective this is Germany's tax structure (as of a couple years ago, these numbers are probably slightly off now after adjustments for inflation):

- The first 8,130 EUR is tax free.
- Income tax of 18.9% on the next Euro of income, which increases linearly to 42% income tax at 52,800 EUR and stays at 42% for all income thereafter. So, a German making a total of 60,930 EUR pays 26.4% of his gross income in income tax.
- Payroll tax of 19.5% on the first 52,800 EUR of taxable income. (the first 8,130 is also exempt here) Just like SS and Medicare in the US, the employer has to match this.
- If you live in West Germany, there's an additional 5.5% income tax to fund various handouts to poorer East Germany.
- Federal VAT of 19%, plus additional state sales tax of 3-5% depending on which state you live in.

If one considers the employer portion of the payroll tax to be a part of the employee's income, this means that a West German making a gross income of 60,930/year who saves 25% of his net income effectively is paying tax of 45,410 EUR on an income of 71,226 EUR, or a total effective tax rate of 63.8%. That number is before you consider the insane additional consumption taxes and fees that Germany charges, such as driver's licenses costing over 10,000 EUR, a 25% surtax on new vehicle purchases, the equivalent of $6-7/liter gasoline in a time where oil is cheap, etc etc. This is probably about triple the tax rate that an American with a similar income would pay, even after you consider state income and sales tax.

Germany is also not a country where the tax rate is simply theoretically very high but nobody actually pays the full amount like, say, Greece. Germany's tax compliance rate is one of the highest in the world, it's close to 95% which is higher than the US. Germany gets criticized for having an ineffective military but with their balanced budget amendment and current tax structure they literally cannot afford to have a decent one. For Germany to double military spending it would literally require a 15-20% reduction in the net income of every German to pay for.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:23 pm 
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That's an interesting take, RD. I have heard, and believe, that Nordic countries have low violent crime rates because of homogeneity, never have I heard that their "brand" of socialism works because of it.

I believe that their brand of socialism has worked thus far because they have low costs in other areas that they can spend on social programs, those other areas being Defense and Violent Crime Prevention/Adjudication. As well as tiny populations gifted with additional resources (oil that is, black gold...).

It's interesting reading the innovations/innovators and companies the author chose to highlight. It seems they come mainly from a couple of categories: They are "ancient" (Carlsberg, Volvo, Nokia, Lego), or they were instructed, guided, inspired...by other entrepreneurs elsewhere (Novo Nordisk, Linux, Mojang).

The idea that the style of governance is responsible for the "Nordic Success" is highly debatable in and of itself:
Economist
Quote:
In the period from 1870 to 1970 the Nordic countries were among the world’s fastest-growing countries, thanks to a series of pro-business reforms such as the establishment of banks and the privatisation of forests. But in the 1970s and 1980s the undisciplined growth of government caused the reforms to run into the sands. Free-marketers put the region’s impressive recent performance down to its determination to reduce government spending and set entrepreneurs free.

Government’s role in improving equality is also being questioned. Andreas Bergh, of Sweden’s Research Institute of Industrial Economics, argues that the compression of Swedish incomes took place before the arrival of the welfare state, which was a consequence rather than a cause of the region’s prosperity—and almost killed the goose that laid the golden eggs.


Finally, the claim:

Quote:
As for homogeneity, Sweden already has a bigger share of foreign-born residents than the U.S.

This is the present and future of Sweden due to it's "bigger share of foreign-born residents" :

"Youth gangs assaulted women in several Swedish cities on NYE
"Migrant crisis to blame for falling standards in Swedish schools, say officials
"EU migrant crisis: Sweden may reject 80,000 asylum claims"
"MAPPED: How sex attacks are spreading across Sweden as police struggle with migrant crime"

I believe the homogeneity, low crime and "one of the world’s best public K-12 education systems" may soon be at an end, then what of the future of those highly-touted social programs?.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:31 pm 
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I'm going to make a different argument - America's federal government is far too inefficient to manage an effective social safety net. I'm going to use health care as my example.

Canada and the USA have almost identical patient care outcome. Health Care (for those who can access it in the USA) is very similar in both countries, with some minor differences that occasionally favor the USA, and occasionally favor Canada.

Canada has provincially managed universal health insurance, while the USA does not -- or at least, did not, before "Obamacare." I'm not sure that actually counts anyway, but all the numbers I'm going to pull out were from prior to Obamacare, anyway.

Prior to Obamacare, the various levels of US government paid approximately 45% of all healthcare spending in the USA. Compare that to Canada, where the various levels of Canadian government paid between 70% of all healthcare spending in Canada. So you would think that would mean Canadians would pay more in taxes as a consequence, yes?

But that wasn't the case. In 2004, for example, (which was typical and representative of all other years prior to Obamacare), Canadian government spent $2120 USD per citizen on healthcare. That same year, the US government spent $2724 USD per citizen on healthcare.

Let me say that again, a little differently, to re-emphasize the point.

2004 - The Canadian government paid 70% of its citizens' health care costs, which amounted to $2120 per person. The US government paid 45% of its citizens' health care costs, which amounted to $2724 per person. The US government spent almost 30% more per citizen than Canada, despite Canada covering 56% more of its citizens health care bills than the USA.

In pure monetary terms in "Amount spent per citizen" - the USA was ALWAYS more socialist than Canada when it came to health care.

My conclusion is that health care costs in the USA are grossly inflated and inefficient, even before Obamacare came in.

If America can't get something like Universal Health Insurance right (Which most of the "western" world has now), how can they be expected to efficiently embrace the entirety of "Nordic Socialism" without completely bankrupting the economy? (I don't like the phrase. Scandinavia is highly capitalist - "Socialism" is improperly applied when referring only to a social safety net as opposed to a planned socialist economy.) I believe America has some serious economic cleanup to do across the board. Only once that is dealt with can serious debates about social policies be considered.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 1:36 pm 
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Xequecal wrote:
If one considers the employer portion of the payroll tax to be a part of the employee's income, this means that a West German making a gross income of 60,930/year who saves 25% of his net income effectively is paying tax of 45,410 EUR on an income of 71,226 EUR, or a total effective tax rate of 63.8%.

I'm not sure I understand this sentence. Are you assuming 25% savings in order to calculate consumption tax paid on the remaining 75%? Also, you start by assuming a gross income of 60,930 EUR but conclude by citing an income of 71,226 EUR. Which is it, and why so specific - are you pulling these numbers from a particular source?


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 16, 2016 2:53 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Xequecal wrote:
If one considers the employer portion of the payroll tax to be a part of the employee's income, this means that a West German making a gross income of 60,930/year who saves 25% of his net income effectively is paying tax of 45,410 EUR on an income of 71,226 EUR, or a total effective tax rate of 63.8%.

I'm not sure I understand this sentence. Are you assuming 25% savings in order to calculate consumption tax paid on the remaining 75%? Also, you start by assuming a gross income of 60,930 EUR but conclude by citing an income of 71,226 EUR. Which is it, and why so specific - are you pulling these numbers from a particular source?


71,226 is what you get when you add the employer's portion of the payroll tax to that person's gross income. The first 8,130 is tax free, so 60,930 - 8,130 = 52,800 * 0.195 = 10,296. You add that to their gross income to get 71,226.

25% savings is just a number I made up to come up with how much VAT the person has to pay, the total tax rate of 63.8% is probably slightly overstated because certain goods have a reduced VAT of 7%, but it's pretty close.

60,930 is the income point where both the payroll tax cuts out and the income tax stops increasing. Germans making this amount or higher basically all pay the same total tax rate, with the only difference being the amount of VAT they pay based on how much they spend. Germans making less than this pay a lower tax rate because the 8,130 freebie has a greater and greater influence as your income goes down.

The German tax system is designed so that you have to "pay back" the 8,130 EUR you got as a freebie at the start as your income increases. Until you hit 60,930, your income tax keeps going up while the payroll tax still applies so you have to pay higher and higher tax on every additional Euro you earn. This is a major contributor to the extremely low German birth rate, because it becomes very difficult for people to motivate themselves to earn enough to support several children due to the absolutely crippling tax burden imposed on raises you get until you reach the 60,930 cutoff. A German making 55,000 EUR a year that gets a 5,000 EUR raise would pocket literally less than 25% of that raise. Sure, after that he gets to keep 58% of all future raises but a lot of people just never motivate themselves to make it that far.


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PostPosted: Thu Mar 17, 2016 9:39 am 
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So, out of curiosity, I just did a similar back of the envelope calculation for someone living in NY State making $80,000 USD (the same as 71,226 EUR after exchange) and came up with an effective tax rate of 41.1%. That assumes a single filer with no dependents and the same 25% savings rate you assumed, and it includes the employer share of payroll taxes as in your example. So, if the effective tax rate on that income level in Germany is 63.8% and the effective rate in NY is 41.1%, that's a difference of 22.7% or $18,000. That's definitely a big difference, as you said, but how much of that $18k does that hypothetical New Yorker spend on health care/insurance and college loans, how much of it does he have to set aside to pay for his future kids' childcare and eventual college, to hedge against periods of unemployment and family leave, to make his own retirement more comfortable, etc.? That's the point of the article - Europeans aren't giving the extra $18k away to others, they're paying to have all those services provided for themselves. I'm not saying it's necessarily a good trade - I think some of it is and some of it isn't. I'm just saying that I find the argument that the extra taxes are about getting extra services not helping others is a persuasive one that's often missing from the American debate.


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2016 2:33 am 
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I might be moving to New Jersey soon. A 20% tax cut would be nice. I wonder how accurate your envelopes are ;p


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2016 11:13 am 
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RangerDave wrote:
So, out of curiosity, I just did a similar back of the envelope calculation for someone living in NY State making $80,000 USD (the same as 71,226 EUR after exchange) and came up with an effective tax rate of 41.1%. That assumes a single filer with no dependents and the same 25% savings rate you assumed, and it includes the employer share of payroll taxes as in your example. So, if the effective tax rate on that income level in Germany is 63.8% and the effective rate in NY is 41.1%, that's a difference of 22.7% or $18,000. That's definitely a big difference, as you said, but how much of that $18k does that hypothetical New Yorker spend on health care/insurance and college loans, how much of it does he have to set aside to pay for his future kids' childcare and eventual college, to hedge against periods of unemployment and family leave, to make his own retirement more comfortable, etc.? That's the point of the article - Europeans aren't giving the extra $18k away to others, they're paying to have all those services provided for themselves. I'm not saying it's necessarily a good trade - I think some of it is and some of it isn't. I'm just saying that I find the argument that the extra taxes are about getting extra services not helping others is a persuasive one that's often missing from the American debate.


This conversation doesn't happen because in America we'd never see that universal provision of services. We'd, at best, see proposals to "means test" it because "the rich" don't need it - except that means test would mean people making upper 5 figures wouldn't get anything for it while still paying massive increases in taxes.

In addition, it would come in the form of programs targeting the "disadvantaged" which, in more candid moments would be "minorities", "women" and whoever else the Democrats would want to appeal to. The Democrat's political strategy revolves entirely around appealing to those groups, and portraying anything not explicitly favoring those groups as somehow disadvantaging them. The Democrats would never go for universality in such services because it would be a tacit admission that everyone needs them and not just "underprivileged" identity groups.

This is a significant difference from the Europeans - when Europeans, left or right (to the degree there even IS a right in Europe) call for social services they genuinely do mean that everyone gets back the services they pay for. The American left doesn't, because it has built a castle on tying economic status to group identity based on statistical generalities.

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2016 11:52 am 
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You know, "their Left is better than our Left..." is a refreshing argument.

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2016 11:54 am 
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Sounds truthy. Universal healthcare / education are good
things when done well. Universality helps ensure both quality (used by the middle class) and popularity


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 18, 2016 12:04 pm 
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SuiNeko wrote:
Universal healthcare / education are good
things when done well.


I agree wholeheartedly.

There's something key to what you said, though.

I can only speak based on what I've read, obviously, but from that it would seem to me that the USA's public school system and what universal health care it has don't seem to be "done well." And this isn't for lack of spending.

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SuiNeko wrote:
I might be moving to New Jersey soon. A 20% tax cut would be nice. I wonder how accurate your envelopes are ;p


NJ is fairly high in taxes compared to its neighboring states (I work in NJ, but live in Pennsylvania). :)

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But what about when it doesn't benefit me?

I never used public schools, nor does my daughter.

I've never relied on the social safety net.

I have better health care than is available in Europe.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 22, 2016 8:41 am 
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Rynar wrote:
But what about when it doesn't benefit me?

I never used public schools, nor does my daughter.

I've never relied on the social safety net.

I have better health care than is available in Europe.


It's not all about you.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2016 12:32 am 
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LOL

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Rynar wrote:
But what about when it doesn't benefit me?

I never used public schools, nor does my daughter.

I've never relied on the social safety net.

I have better health care than is available in Europe.

And yet you drive on public roads, your neighborhoods are patrolled by public law enforcement, your food and drugs are protected by federally mandated quality standards, your freedom is protected by the US military, your recreational activities are the direct result of US gov't funded research projects.


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PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2016 9:29 am 
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TheRiov wrote:
Rynar wrote:
But what about when it doesn't benefit me?

I never used public schools, nor does my daughter.

I've never relied on the social safety net.

I have better health care than is available in Europe.

And yet you drive on public roads, your neighborhoods are patrolled by public law enforcement, your food and drugs are protected by federally mandated quality standards, your freedom is protected by the US military, your recreational activities are the direct result of US gov't funded research projects.


Keep in mind, you're talking to someone who seriously put forth the idea that FDR allowed the Pacific Fleet to be sunk at Pearl Harbor so that new battleships could be ordered - despite the fact that every battleship built during WWII was already on order at the time, and the physical capacity to build any more did not exist.

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Diamondeye wrote:
TheRiov wrote:
Rynar wrote:
But what about when it doesn't benefit me?

I never used public schools, nor does my daughter.

I've never relied on the social safety net.

I have better health care than is available in Europe.

And yet you drive on public roads, your neighborhoods are patrolled by public law enforcement, your food and drugs are protected by federally mandated quality standards, your freedom is protected by the US military, your recreational activities are the direct result of US gov't funded research projects.


Keep in mind, you're talking to someone who seriously put forth the idea that FDR allowed the Pacific Fleet to be sunk at Pearl Harbor so that new battleships could be ordered - despite the fact that every battleship built during WWII was already on order at the time, and the physical capacity to build any more did not exist.

He is?

Odd that I'm not aware that I hold or held that position. Perhaps you'd like to source it?

TheRiov:

Perhaps you'd care to address my specific objections rather than paper over them?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2016 11:52 am 
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Rynar wrote:
He is?

Odd that I'm not aware that I hold or held that position. Perhaps you'd like to source it?


Oh, I'd love to:

scroll down

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Americans at the time of WW2 had a much more isolationist mentality. They, overwhelmingly, showed little support for America's involvement in the War. It required a direct attack on American soil in order to begin the beat of the American War Drum. Additionally, with FDR's belief in the reliability of the broken window theory, sunken battleships simply created a need to build more battleships, which in his mind was good for the economy.


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Battleships sinking wouldn't have mattered to an early Keynesian. It would have been a boon to the economy in his eyes.


You put this forth despite the fact that the U.S. was unable to complete construction of the battleships and battlecruisers it already had on order as of 1939 before 1945. Granted, this was 4+ years ago, but the idea that FDR was so obsessed with his own viewpoint on economics that he would get 8 battleships sunk and thousands of sailors killed at the start of a war just to boost the economy is patently absurd.

I can only hope that your lack of recollection of this event either reflects that you've come around to more reasonable views, or that it was some sort of need to be contrarian about WWII just to be contrarian.

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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2016 12:29 pm 
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Rihannsu Commander

Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:31 am
Posts: 4709
Location: Cincinnati OH
Rynar wrote:
But what about when it doesn't benefit me?

I never used public schools, nor does my daughter.

I've never relied on the social safety net.

I have better health care than is available in Europe.

Rynar wrote:
TheRiov:
Perhaps you'd care to address my specific objections rather than paper over them?

Sure. You also benefit from having an educated populace which makes your location more attractive to potential employers moving into the area. (not to mention that people rarely move to an area with no public school so if you dont want your region to die..) on top of that, lack of a social safety net would cause all sorts of secondary impacts such as increased crime, decrease property values, etc.

You DO benefit even if its a little more abstract than you using the services directly.


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