Talya wrote:
He's out of his league in every possible way except popular opinion, where he's still neck and neck, because Hillary's a horrible candidate, too.
Keep in mind that the debate last night was about the significant population that is still trying to make up its mind which candidate is
less bad. Most of us already have; the debate was not for us except maybe as an insight into where the race will go from here.
This created an immense problem for Hillary Clinton. She spent a ton of time attacking Trump last night, and to be fair, she did a good job of baiting him. That, however, is not what she needed to do.
Many of you would agree Trump is a clown and a buffoon. The left has tried to paint him as one for 15-18 months now. So has a large portion of the Right; David French is still whining about it on the National Review. So has the mainstream press. No one took Trump seriously until it was far too late to stop him from winning the nomination. People have been jumping up and down screaming about all of Trump's sordid history - and there's a LOT of it - for over a year.
This is not news. It is not news that Trump had bankruptcies; people know that already. Undecideds are past that at this point or they wouldn't be undecided. That undecided voter also knows that it isn't Donald Trump's bankruptcies that had to be bailed out with TARP; its just that those bankruptcies are running against Hillary Clinton.
It is not news that Donald Trump has said mean things about women. The undecided voter is past that. Some of those women (like Rosie O'Donnell) did deserve it. That undecided voter also knows Hillary throws sexism at everything, or a surrogate does it for her. They know Hillary hasn't been so eager to stick up for women when its her husband.
If we're even more honest, we'll admit that undecided voter knows that lots of men say mean things about women, especially fat women. That undecided voter knows women say mean things about fat women. That undecided voter has probably done so as well - and lets not kid ourselves - we've all done it. I definitely call gigantic fatasses what they are. Hillary also knows this, no one really thinks that she's shocked that Trump called someone fat.
We could go on and on with this - the point is that
Hillary Clinton is tied with this guy.
She is tied with a guy that is allegedly a clown and a buffoon.That means one of three things:
A) He is not in fact a clown or buffoon
B) She is also a clown and a buffoon
C) She is something just as unsuited to the Presidency as a clown/buffoon
Take your pick, but it has to be one of these things. There's no other explanation.
Continuing to tear down an opponent with attacks everyone's already heard while you, yourself, are at the same vote total isn't going to win over those undecideds. They heard it all; you may stop them from voting, you may send them off to a third party, but in the aggregate total you won't make gains that aren't offset by gains your opponent makes when you insult everyone's intelligence.
If you portray your opponent as a ridiculous buffoon, all you've done is lower expectations for him or her. You are crippling your own efforts. All your opponent has to do is be less of a buffoon than you claim he is.
The fundamental problems Hillary faced last night with her attack strategy were that by attacking Trump as a scumbag businessman who knows nothing, has ridiculous plans, and is a dangerous loose cannon is that she sets a ridiculously low bar for him. All he has to do is be a technically-legit businessman who appears to be learning more about the issues, with at least semi-plausible plans, and
at least has some basic human reluctance to end the **** world. If he does that, he's over the bar, and doesn't lose even if she looks better. Everything he does above that is pure candy for him.
If you don't think he cleared that bar last night, you're fooling yourselves. Hillary needs to come up with something better than repeating the same stuff about Trump, telling people to go to her website, and repeating talking points from 1988. "Make the wealthy pay their fair share" is one of the most tired lines in politics and she actually sued it last night. If Hillary had not had Trump to attack last night she'd have had nothing to say. If she were against ANY other Republican she'd be getting annihilated. That's why she is struggling to maintain a lead against a candidate everyone scoffed at, who she should theoretically be beating by over 10 points.