Kaffis Mark V wrote:
I saw somebody on my Facebook feed comment that Hillary was killing Trump like Seal Team Six killed Bin Laden.
I wasn't watching, but couldn't help but think that the more apt comparison was to Hillary killing (via surrogates, sure) Gaddafi -- messy for everyone involved, and leaving an entire country divided, furious with each other, and in utter chaos for likely a generation to come while Hillary celebrated giddily (and rather inappropriately, regardless of your view of her) over how awesome her foreign policy chops are.
If there was one thing that wasn't happening, it was Hillary killing Trump. Trump showed some improvement from the previous 2- not the same marked improvement as his change from debate 1 to debate 2, but still a stronger performance. Hillary, by contrast, was visibly weaker than the first two. If Trump lost, it was because he committed two unforced errors at the end - one, failing to clarify (which he did today) that by not stating in advance he would accept the results of the election he was merely preserving his right to ask for recounts and such as in any other election and (I think worse, although it's getting less attention) his completely unnecessary "such a nasty woman" comment. If Trump lost it was by fumbling twice when he had the ball in the 4th quarter, not because Hillary beat him. Charles Krauthammer (no shill for either candidate, by any stretch) pointed this out - Trump was winning on technical debate points right up to those questions. That said, the media frenzy over the comment about accepting the results of the election is silly; Al Gore didn't either, and tried the "Recount until I win" strategy, and much of the left continued to deny reality even after the New York Times investigated and stated there was no fraud - and if Trump did mean he'd somehow go beyond legal recourse, it's irrelevant. His running mate and his daughter have already contradicted him in that regard, and no one would support him. The Republicans will drop any modicum of support for him the moment the first network announces Hillary over 270.
The debate reminded me very much of the first Obama-Romney debate. Hillary clearly figures (probably rightly) that she has this in the bag and that merely losing a debate won't change that. Trump clearly knew this was his last shot, and he took it. Unfortunately for him, Donald Trump isn't capable of the breakout performance he needed, and it was almost unfathomable that Hilalry would **** up badly enough to change things. This was also likely the least-viewed of the debates, so his improvements will be missed by the substantial number of people that didn't trouble themselves to watch.
I almost didn't myself, but I ended up watching it with a mind to largely ignore the interplay between the candidates, and try to pretend either one was debating someone utterly pedestrian from the other party.
It was hard to do this with Trump. He demonstrated significantly stronger command of the facts than in the past (admittedly, a mighty low bar to clear), and seemed to do a much better job of paying attention to what the question actually was, and managed to avoid being baited by Clinton (less so by Wallace). Still, it was very hard to evaluate what his performance would have been like if his opponent were say, O'Malley or Webb, or Tim Kaine because of Hillary's performance.
Hillary's performance ranged up and down from mediocre to jaw-droppingly bad - and not in the sense of her positions, but that her arguments for them were often outright dumb. By that I mean that there are commonly-made arguments for those same positions she could have simply repeated (she has done so in the past) , and done much better, at the risk of sounding boring. Some of her arguments were outright lazy; they clearly indicated not only contempt for Trump, but for the intelligence of the audience. This was not the case in either of the previous two debates.
She was clearly annoyed to even have to be there, probably a combination of regretting not just bowing out of the last one, anger that she had to stand there and respond to this guy, and thanking her lucky stars she wasn't running against any of the 16 other Republicans or Mike Pence. Her facial expressions, body language, and tone were that of the Hillary that people can't stand - the combination of bombastic lawyer and obnoxious suburbanite soccer mom, mixed with far less competence than she or her backers pretend she has and a willingness to take any position to get where she wants to be. It was Cersei Lannister in all her glory.
The two most prominent examples were on abortion and the no-fly zone.
On abortion, the question pertained specifically to late-term abortions. Hillary made the case that, essentially, late term abortions can't be regulated because reasonable regulation is allowed only where the mother's health is not at risk, and late-term abortions totally never happen when the mother's health
isn't at risk. One wonders how the current regulations have survived so long if that's really the case.
This would have counted merely as extreme and insulting the audience's intelligence, and not really been notable as a jaw-drop moment except for what came next. She actually then tried to make the case that because Romania and China have had laws at various points making childbirth and abortion (respectively)
mandatory that therefore any regulation at all is a bad idea. This was such an unbelievably stupid argument that I couldn't believe it actually came out of Hillary's mouth. "Oh yeah because dictatorial regimes have had terrible laws on this subject we totally can't have any." That's like arguing that because North Korea puts stifling restrictions on use of the internet, that therefore we can't have laws against stealing people's identity online.
The second "amazingly stupid" moment was in relation to what I posted earlier about the no-fly zone. Wallace pointed out that a general (I don't remember which one) had stated what I have said about a no-fly zone - it's either going to provoke a fight with the Russians, or its meaningless. I was shocked that someone actually had the temerity to point this elephant in the room out, since no one had bothered even back when 4 or 5 Republican candidates were espousing it (and it was a bad idea then too).
Clinton's answer started with "well it wouldn't happen on day 1..." or words to that effect and went from there, mainly with a lot of carrying on about how awful things are in Aleppo. However, it does not take a genius to see that Aleppo is getting bombed
now and inauguration is 90 days off; it may be irrelevant by that point. If it isn't, now you're going to let Aleppo sit there and get the **** bombed out of it while you **** around negotiating with the Russians - which in other words means you're going to let Putin drag it out till he's done, then you're going to pretend your no-fly zone had something to do with it, until of course the Russians violate it and then it's going to be back to negotiating pointlessly.
Again, anyone can figure this out - you hardly have to be a military expert to read the timeline and realize that Russian airplanes are involved.
This was a confession, essentially, that she literally has no plan at all other than trying to save face and not admit that Russia has already outmaneuvered us in Syria, and frankly, wants the place a lot worse than we do. A large portion of Americans are really ok with that - even if people deplore what's happening in Aleppo, not a lot of people are willing to go to war with Russia over it. The problem with her answer was that she, for all intents and purposes, said "Well I'm going to not do jack ****, but I'm going to talk about it a lot and then take credit later for putting an end to what the Russians and Assad were done with anyhow." It was much more obvious if you were actually watching her; she was visibly annoyed that Wallace had brought up the implications of a no-fly zone that actually might get enforced.
It revealed something else - Hillary had a policy weakness exposed, and a serious one. Her stated policy is either pointless or incredibly dangerous, and she was unprepared to address that - even though it was revealed that she said similar things about the no fly zone back in 2013. Hillary has skated along this entire time without her policies being seriously challenged by the press. The press is "not supposed to do that." They're only supposed to hit her on personal conduct, hers or Bill's. Then she can trot out the customary defenses. Her policies are supposed to be above criticism because so many of Trump's are
In this case she didn't even try to hide that her stated policy was retarded. Either that's unintentional, in which case she just admitted she's the raging incompetent Trump claims she is, or its intentional, in which case she admits her sole concern with Aleppo is how to get some political cred out of it at minimal cost.
Speaking of Aleppo, that also led to Wallace's sole weak moment of the night. He tried to call into question Trump's characterization of Aleppo as having "fallen", which it hasn't, but Trump artfully pivoted that into making it look like Wallace was merely nitpicking semantics, while Trump was truly concerned with the situation there and guilty only of using the wrong word to describe it. More to the point, that's exactly what Wallace was doing. Trump demonstrated clearly that he did know what was going on in Aleppo, making it a minor misuse of the word "fallen" and positively trivial in the litany of Things We Can Criticize About Trump.
Other than that, though, Chris Wallace was the clear winner last night. His moderator performance was superb; he maintained control as well as anyone could have, pushed the candidates, asked specific pointed questions and to the best of his ability demanded they behave themselves (aside from one 30-second trainwreck of all 3 of them shouting over each other.) He positively embarrassed every debate moderator before him for the last 3 election cycles at least. I expected Wallace to be tough, but he laid down the law there, even with the audience.
This debate won't change the outcome of the election, but it did set the standard for 2020 debates, and it highlighted Hillary's problems (Trump's were already do highlighted they could ahrdly have gotten worse baring him taking a swing at someone). Her underlying arrogance, and the overplay of her expertise and experience were in full bloom last night. Hillary looks good this election cycle because her opponents have been a crazy socialist and a sleazy, crass "entertainer"/businessman. The fact that it's taken this long for her to get a ~6 point lead over the likes of Trump itself is an outright condemnation of her fitness.