Monte wrote:
Amazing how people only see the cliff now, as opposed to over the last 8 years, when a combination of tax cuts (jammed down our throats through the reconcilliation process that republicans now demonize in regards to health care) and massive deficit spending turned a budget surplus and projected deficit reduction into a record budget deficit and massive increase in national debt.
But that guy had a cool cowboy accent. And a ranch. So it was all good.
Yeah, no one here ever criticized Bush's spending habits. There were never any threads here during Bush's administration detailing why bailing out banks and other major financial institutions was a disastrous policy. No one on this board was predicting a economic collapse until Obama was in office. None of that happened.
Selective memory much?
Diamondeye wrote:
There was no projected deficit reduction or budget surplus either. Those were fabrications. We've been over that before.
Nth-ing this. "Debt held by the public" did, in fact, decrease for several years at the end of the Clinton administration. However, other forms of governmental debt
increased during those years
by a greater amount, with the net result being that
total national debt increased every year during the Clinton administration.
Don't believe me? You can easily verify this yourself. Let's use the Treasury Department's own numbers:
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLogin?application=npThese figures are Total Public Debt Outstanding:
02/01/1993: $4,176,491,860,224.29
02/01/1994: $4,522,736,108,206.24
02/01/1995: $4,810,859,576,867.71
02/01/1996: $4,987,850,076,950.12
02/01/1997: $5,315,795,971,480.01
02/01/1998: $5,490,064,235,079.64
02/01/1999: $5,588,099,467,924.97
02/01/2000: $5,702,651,446,667.03
02/01/2001: $5,703,346,472,448.65
As you can see, the total total debt increased each year.
Secondly, starting in 1997, they began publishing figures for both d"ebt held by the public" and "intragovernmental holdings" (money borrowed from long-term government liabilities like Social Security and Medicare in order to pay current liabilities). Fortunately, this is the first year claimed as a "surplus" by the Clinton administration. These numbers can also be verified in the
Schedules of Federal Debt.
blue = Debt held by the publicgreen = Intragovernmental hodlingsred = total federal debt09/30/1997:
$3,789,667,546,849.60 +
$1,623,478,464,547.74 =
$5,413,146,011,397.3409/30/1998:
$3,733,864,472,163.53 +
$1,792,328,536,734.09 =
$5,526,193,008,897.6209/30/1999:
$3,636,104,594,501.81 +
$2,020,166,307,131.62 =
$5,656,270,901,633.4309/30/2000:
$3,405,303,490,221.20 +
$2,268,874,719,665.66 =
$5,674,178,209,886.8609/30/2001:
$3,339,310,176,094.74 +
$2,468,153,236,105.32 =
$5,807,463,412,200.06Now, let's break down what this really means:
1997 to 1998:
Debt held by the public decreased by $55.8B
Intragovernmental holdings increased by $168.9B
Total debt increased by $113.0B (= $168.9B - $55.8B)
1998 to to 1999:
Debt held by the public decreased by $97.8B
Intragovernmental holdings increased by $227.8B
Total debt increased by $130.0B (= $227.8 - $97.8B)
1999 to to 2000:
Debt held by the public decreased by $230.8B
Intragovernmental holdings increased by $248.7B
Total debt increased by $17.9B (= $248.7B - $230.8B)
2000 to to 2001:
Debt held by the public decreased by $66.0B
Intragovernmental holdings increased by $199.3B
Total debt increased by $133.3B (= $199.3B - $66.0B)
Can you see, now, where the fabled "$230B surplus" came from? There was no surplus in that year. In fact, there was a $17.9B shortfall. Government outlays still exceeded government receipts in 1997, 1998, 1999, and 2000. The federal government still had to borrow money -- increasing the federal debt -- in order to meet its obligations. The only thing that changed was the source of its borrowing. For a number of reasons, it was more convenient during the Clinton administration for the government to borrow more money out of the Social Security and Medicare funds (a several other miscellaneous sources) than to issue more "publicly held" debt in the form of openly traded government bonds and treasury bills. This is why you see total debt go up during these years, and why intragragovernmental holdings always went up by a larger amount than the decreases in publicly held debt.
Money borrowed out Social Security has to be paid back. Money owed is money owed. Debt is debt.