Coren wrote:
Rodahn wrote:
I think in the end we will see either a dead-even tie between PS3 and 360 for second, or possibly the PS3 slightly edging out the 360 (but only VERY slightly if at all).
Are you talking about sales there? In North America, I think the 360 has it locked down. Worldwide though, the PS3 is HUGELY catching up. If last year is any indication, the gap might be closed in 2011.
Talking overall sales. I will disagree on the NA lockdown (unless you are talking about just the present, in which case I will agree). Long term, tho, I stand by my prediction that it will at least break even with the 360.
That said, the PS3 is in a very precarious place right now, and Sony knows that. They cannot afford any stupid decisions/mistakes that they have made in the past if they want to stay strong. I'd say gap closed by 2011 is realistic, as long as either company does not do something incredibly stupid. Hopefully by next gen (which some say happens in 2012), Sony comes out swinging instead of sinking. One big thing on the PS3's side, is that it still has some room for growth from a programming perspective, as there are many developers out there that have yet to push its boundaries (sadly, I think we will not see this until the end of the current gen). Meanwhile, the 360 seems to have reached its zenith. Just how long the PS3 can keep improving, remains to be seen.
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As far as games though, PS3 had a mildly better year as far as exclusives go but this year is gonna be really competitive. (Some big hitters on both sides).
Yeah, Sony still needs that one huge breakout hit (a la Halo). God of War 3 and GT5 are gonna be big -- but just how big, again, remains to be seen. Exclusives are one of the two big reasons that make me prefer Sony over its competitors. Nothing on the Wii or 360 (with Mass Effect being the closest) has been able to match the experience I have had with PS3 exclusives.