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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 12:18 pm 
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Rorinthas wrote:
It's easy to point fingers at other people and say "they don't deserve their money." Isn't that one of the sins of the current regime? If this was the other way around wouldn't people be saying "well good for capitalism?

I don't really have a dog in this fight but if we are going to demonize or not demonize people for making too much money, let's at least be consistant here.

Or maybe we should just threaten to tax 90% of their income too.


This. I've never seen evidence that any advertised federal job gets an insane number of applicants (maybe that's the case right now, but is probably the case everywhere at the moment). If Fed jobs got more applicants than regular jobs, it would indicate that the salary is too high. I have not seen this.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 1:21 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
DFK! wrote:
Because USA can't compare column A to column B? Your logic wholly escapes me.
Of course it does- you've already indicated that you believe it to be anecdotal instead of authoritative.


Yes, one person making a statement about a fact is anecdotal. That is essentially the definition of an anecdote.

On the other hand, you have statistical analysis. In the hierarchy of evidence, anecdotes lose. Period. There is no debate about that.

Taskiss wrote:
Perhaps if you checked out the site you might feel differently about their relevance in this matter...

http://www.opm.gov/


Why would I feel differently? The BLS put forth the numbers USA Today based their story on, the paper didn't come up with their own data.

Therefore, we have:

Government entity 1 makes a statement.
Government entity 2 publishes statistical data.

The latter, by its own nature, is to be held as more valid than the former according to the traditional hierarchies of proof.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 1:38 pm 
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Micheal wrote:
they take the statistics that fit their point and leave anything that contradicts it out.



Welcome to "how to use statistics, 101."

That's the primary purpose of statistics, to support your already decided and inflexible view. You select those statistics that support your point, and discard and discredit those that do not.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 1:44 pm 
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DFK!, a "spokesperson" speaks for the group, by definition. It's not anecdotal in the least.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 2:07 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
DFK!, a "spokesperson" speaks for the group, by definition. It's not anecdotal in the least.


Did that spokesperson present evidence of their claims? No.

Allow me to ask you something: if I represent NOAA and state that it snowed in Ohio yesterday, would you believe me? I mean, I represent them. I'm the spokesperson.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 3:13 pm 
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If your claim is that USA Today didn't vet their source you should take it up with them, but they did identify the source as an official spokesperson.

If you want to discredit the legitimacy of the article the whole discussion is rather moot.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 3:15 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
If your claim is that USA Today didn't vet their source you should take it up with them, but they did identify the source as an official spokesperson.

If you want to discredit the legitimacy of the article the whole discussion is rather moot.


I want to do neither of those things. Am I speaking in tongues or something? I'm apparently not being clear.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 3:21 pm 
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Sure you are. You want evidence that supports your argument accepted at face value and you want to discredit any evidence presented in the article that weakens your position.

It's very clear.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 9:58 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
Sure you are. You want evidence that supports your argument accepted at face value and you want to discredit any evidence presented in the article that weakens your position.

It's very clear.


No, I want to follow the hierarchy of proof. I don't appreciate the insult.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 09, 2010 10:48 pm 
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Benefits - California State Service Style

http://www.dpa.ca.gov/benefits/index.htm

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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 6:27 am 
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DFK! wrote:
I don't appreciate the insult.

This isn't Hellfire, the rules here are stricter, so we should be able to find out if my statement was a factual characterization of your position or an insult.

I'd like a moderator to decide.

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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 8:23 am 
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Taskiss wrote:
DFK! wrote:
I don't appreciate the insult.

This isn't Hellfire, the rules here are stricter, so we should be able to find out if my statement was a factual characterization of your position or an insult.

I'd like a moderator to decide.


I'm not a moderator but I play one on TV, and I stayed at a Holiday Inn express last night. Ok technically I am a moderator but this is just my opinion:

I dont think that was a factual characterization, no. I think you imply he only discounts things against his argument for the sole reason that they are... well, against his argument :) I dont think that's the case.

For the general disagreement as I understand it, you both make good points. The article used Bureau of Labor Statistics to compare salaries. That to me is simply solid data, open to interpretation. Federal employees make more on average than private sector. The question is, why is that the case?

Quote:
"The data flip the conventional wisdom on its head," says Cato Institute budget analyst Chris Edwards, a critic of federal pay policy. "Federal workers make substantially more than private workers, not less, in addition to having a large advantage in benefits."

But National Treasury Employees Union President Colleen Kelley says the comparison is faulty because it "compares apples and oranges." Federal accountants, for example, perform work that has more complexity and requires more skill than accounting work in the private sector, she says.

"When you look at the actual duties, you see that very few federal jobs align with those in the private sector," she says. She says federal employees are paid an average of 26% less than non-federal workers doing comparable work.

Office of Personnel Management spokeswoman Sedelta Verble, says higher pay also reflects the longevity and older age of federal workers.


Now I'd say those are good arguments, and may in fact be true, but what I think people are saying here is: show your work. Complexity of work is pretty subjective, but age should be easy to show if you have the data. I think it's valid to want to see that before accepting it.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 11:04 am 
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Here's a site that seems to argue the same thing, based on Oregon numbers:

http://www.qualityinfo.org/olmisj/Artic ... d=00006781

Quote:
Why Do Government Employees Earn More?

One of the reasons average compensation tends to be higher for government employees is that the occupational mix for government employment is more concentrated in high-wage occupations. In Oregon in 2006, more than four in 10 government workers were in a professional or related occupation, compared to about one in 10 private-sector workers. The private sector also had a fairly diversified occupation mix, while public employees were more concentrated in a few occupation groups.

Some of the difference in compensation is also likely explained by differences in age. Older workers tend to have more work experience and are therefore able to command a higher wage from employers. In comparing the age distribution of private and public sector workers, we see that public employees tend to be somewhat older. In fact, more than half (55.2%) of Oregon's government employees were age 45 or older in 2008, compared to 40 percent of private-sector workers. On the other end of the wage spectrum, individuals age 14 to 24 accounted for only 5 percent of government workers, but nearly 16 percent of private-sector workers.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 11:42 am 
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So this begs the question, what happens to older private sector employees? They don't disappear.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 12:02 pm 
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We retire on our hard earned savings.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 12:17 pm 
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Khross wrote:
We retire on our hard earned savings.

Earlier than government employees?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 12:41 pm 
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Hopwin wrote:
Khross wrote:
We retire on our hard earned savings.

Earlier than government employees?

Probably. Compare early retirement options under a pension to success with private investing. I'm guessing more guys hit it big with their investments and retire early than opt to take a hit on their pension by not working their full term.

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 Post subject: Re: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 1:41 pm 
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Dash wrote:
Now I'd say those are good arguments, and may in fact be true, but what I think people are saying here is: show your work. Complexity of work is pretty subjective, but age should be easy to show if you have the data. I think it's valid to want to see that before accepting it.
The "work" was performed by USA Today. They made assertions and provided supporting evidence. The article doesn't detail any particular methodology, it presents various facts and sources.

US Today vetted the article and and by doing so became responsible as the source of authority for it 'in toto'. If there are inaccuracies in the article, USA Today is responsible for any correction or retraction and "Retractions always negate the author's previous public support for the original statement."

Right or wrong, the article is a complete package. To assume that some particular fact presented in the article is accurate and another inaccurate is cherry picking. It creates a totally separate assertion at odds with the article and the burden of proof is then on the one making that assertion.

It's fine and dandy, but if you make a new assertion then you have to show your work. If you then insist on shifting the burden instead of supporting your new assertion "You want evidence that supports your argument accepted at face value and you want to discredit any evidence presented in the article that weakens your position".

And then to suggest it's an insult when people identify your behavior, well, it's just faux-indignation. If you don't want to be seen there, don't go there.

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Last edited by Taskiss on Wed Mar 10, 2010 1:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 1:46 pm 
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Khross wrote:
We retire on our hard earned savings.


Or your banked sick days for huge pay outs ;)

Now the argument that state employees are at their jobs longer opens up another can of worms, that being that you cant be fired regardless of your performance.

Dr Ray Stantz elaborates: "Personally, I liked the university. They gave us money and facilities, we didn't have to produce anything! You've never been out of college! You don't know what it's like out there! I've *worked* in the private sector. They expect *results*. "

:mrgreen:

Image

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:06 pm 
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Dash, what makes you think state employees can't be fired?

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:10 pm 
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Kaffis Mark V wrote:
Hopwin wrote:
Khross wrote:
We retire on our hard earned savings.

Earlier than government employees?

Probably. Compare early retirement options under a pension to success with private investing. I'm guessing more guys hit it big with their investments and retire early than opt to take a hit on their pension by not working their full term.

Last I saw, less than 40% of the work force had over $10k saved up for retirement. So this seems more than a little unlikely versus a pension fund which is taken from you automatically.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:19 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
Dash, what makes you think state employees can't be fired?


Well I'm mostly speaking tongue in cheek, sorry for that. That's the stereotype, that state employees cant, or have a much higher threshold if you want to get fired. I have a cousin that works in the VA affairs dept and he jokes about it. To be fair though, I see plenty of cases of how hard it is to fire someone in the private sector too in a large company.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:23 pm 
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Hopwin wrote:
Last I saw, less than 40% of the work force had over $10k saved up for retirement. So this seems more than a little unlikely versus a pension fund which is taken from you automatically.

Here's that article -

http://money.cnn.com/2010/03/09/pf/reti ... onfidence/

They don't break that number out by age though, just identified interviewing "1,153 U.S. workers and retirees, age 25 and older". I know that for myself, saving for retirement before my kids were independent was almost impossible. I contributed to a 401k as much as I could under the circumstances, but the bulk of my retirement was built in the last 5 years or so. I'm lucky that my pay also increased significantly in that time too, but compound interest will never help me the way it could have if I had saved more earlier.

You can have kids or money. Pick one.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:35 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
Right or wrong, the article is a complete package. To assume that some particular fact presented in the article is accurate and another inaccurate is cherry picking.


No, and no. Facts stand on their own, and indicating that one doesn't carry the weight of the other isn't "cherry picking," it's applying proper scrutiny. There is a hierarchy of proof that exists, and you're not following it.

Taskiss wrote:
It's fine and dandy, but if you make a new assertion then you have to show your work. If you then insist on shifting the burden instead of supporting your new assertion "You want evidence that supports your argument accepted at face value and you want to discredit any evidence presented in the article that weakens your position".


That really isn't the case at all. Anecdotal statements simply do not carry the weight that a retrospective statistical analysis does, unless that analysis is demonstrably invalidated by bias, chance, or confounding. That isn't my opinion, I'm not cherry-picking, I'm telling you the facts of how studies work.

Taskiss wrote:
And then to suggest it's an insult when people identify your behavior, well, it's just faux-indignation. If you don't want to be seen there, don't go there.


Yes, it's an insult to indicate I'm being dishonest. The moderator, who you requested, has said he thinks you're incorrect in having made that statement; and yet you're sticking with the insult of calling me dishonest through implication.

Prove dishonesty. Prove that anecdotal evidence carries as much or more weight than statistical analysis. Otherwise, retract your statement about my ethics.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 10, 2010 2:53 pm 
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Taskiss wrote:
Hopwin wrote:
Last I saw, less than 40% of the work force had over $10k saved up for retirement. So this seems more than a little unlikely versus a pension fund which is taken from you automatically.

Here's that article -

http://money.cnn.com/2010/03/09/pf/reti ... onfidence/

They don't break that number out by age though, just identified interviewing "1,153 U.S. workers and retirees, age 25 and older". I know that for myself, saving for retirement before my kids were independent was almost impossible. I contributed to a 401k as much as I could under the circumstances, but the bulk of my retirement was built in the last 5 years or so. I'm lucky that my pay also increased significantly in that time too, but compound interest will never help me the way it could have if I had saved more earlier.

You can have kids or money. Pick one.

That would indicate that people in the private sector are more likely to continue working as they age since there is no pension to fall back on.

This data is... interesting.

To recap:
Public employees make more on average
Public employees are older on average
Public employees have better benefits on average
Public employees have better retirement benefits via pension on average

Right?

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