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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 12:47 pm 
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I'm not sure I understand the argument you're making, Khross. Are you saying that Obama is actively working to undermine/prevent success in Afghanistan, or that he just thinks we're going to fail there no matter what, so he's looking to scapegoat McChrystal?


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 12:50 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
I'm not sure I understand the argument you're making, Khross. Are you saying that Obama is actively working to undermine/prevent success in Afghanistan, or that he just thinks we're going to fail there no matter what, so he's looking to scapegoat McChrystal?
Obama is actively working to undermine and scapegoat McChrystal. What part of that isn't clear? State Department memos with content headings higher than classified don't get "leaked" to the general public with no fallout unless someone wants it done.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 12:55 pm 
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Is the State Dept. leak the only evidence? Because on the other side of the scale is Obama's wholesale adoption of McChrystal's preferred COIN strategy and the addition of 30,000 troops and many billions of dollars, despite much wailing and gnashing of teeth by Obama's liberal base, not to mention the fact that Obama just replaced McChrystal with Petraeous, who favors the same COIN strategy that McChrystal did.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:00 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Is the State Dept. leak the only evidence? Because on the other side of the scale is Obama's wholesale adoption of McChrystal's preferred COIN strategy and the addition of 30,000 troops and many billions of dollars, despite much wailing and gnashing of teeth by Obama's liberal base.
Nah, there's all sort of evidence this was a setup from word go. Adopting COIN can be used to discredit Bush and any successes in Iraq, too; you know. I think you're not looking at how the internal politics are playing out on this issue.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:06 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Is the State Dept. leak the only evidence? Because on the other side of the scale is Obama's wholesale adoption of McChrystal's preferred COIN strategy and the addition of 30,000 troops and many billions of dollars, despite much wailing and gnashing of teeth by Obama's liberal base, not to mention the fact that Obama just replaced McChrystal with Petraeous, who favors the same COIN strategy that McChrystal did.



30,000 troops being the halfway point between "High risk of failure" and "Moderate risk of failure." Unconvincing. If you really want to support the guy, who give him at least the 40,000 of the Moderate assessment, and really more like the 60,000 requested for Low risk.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:17 pm 
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And those troops were going to come from where? Also, by the same logic, Bush was deliberately undermining his own war in Iraq by not going in with the several hundred thousand extra troops that commanders like Shinseki thought would be necessary. The fact is, generals always want more troops, and Presidents always have to decide how large a force is actually feasible and weigh the pros and cons of various force sizes.


Last edited by RangerDave on Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:19 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
And those troops were going to come from where?



...

Where did the 30k come from?

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:19 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
And those troops were going to come from where?


Irrelevant to what was outlined as required for success.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:22 pm 
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Rynar wrote:
RangerDave wrote:
And those troops were going to come from where?


Irrelevant to what was outlined as required for success.


Perhaps, but not irrelevant to the contention that Obama is deliberately undermining success. If the extra troops aren't available, or can't be reassigned without damaging other strategic goals, then Obama's not to blame.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:24 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
And those troops were going to come from where? Also, by the same logic, Bush was deliberately undermining his own war in Iraq by not going in with the several hundred thousand extra troops that commanders like Shinseki thought would be necessary. The fact is, generals always want more troops, and Presidents always have to decide how large a force is actually feasible and weigh the pros and cons of various force sizes.
See, now you're strawmanning my position. I'm not talking about success in either theatre. I'm speaking of Obama's intentional political use and assassination of McChrystal. I mean, honestly, he refused McChrystal's resignation but relieves him of command? Oh, right, that has nothing to do with politics. You don't want to discuss the real issue here, which isn't the actual logistics or strategery in Afghanistan.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:36 pm 
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The nomination of and acceptance by Gen Petraeus saved Obama here. McChrystal had to go and that would have been a shitty situation had anyone other than Petraeus stepped into the role. At the end of the day Obama still looks bad because of the comments in the article, which although they should not have been made public, are not necessarily untrue. The outcome of an overall upgrade is a good thing.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:39 pm 
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Dash wrote:
The nomination of and acceptance by Gen Petraeus saved Obama here. McChrystal had to go and that would have been a shitty situation had anyone other than Petraeus stepped into the role. At the end of the day Obama still looks bad because of the comments in the article, which although they should not have been made public, are not necessarily untrue. The outcome of an overall upgrade is a good thing.
Nothing saves Obama here. You guys aren't even looking at the real issues. Petraeus is another individual that uses COIN Strategies. So how is that an "upgrade" except in the sense of "media" acceptance?

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:40 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Rynar wrote:
RangerDave wrote:
And those troops were going to come from where?


Irrelevant to what was outlined as required for success.


Perhaps, but not irrelevant to the contention that Obama is deliberately undermining success. If the extra troops aren't available, or can't be reassigned without damaging other strategic goals, then Obama's not to blame.



Strawman.

You stated that Obama was wholly backing McChrystal. I'm stating that he did not do so, because he did not allocate necessary resources.

Perhaps, instead, you'd like to retract or requalify your statement regarding Obama wholly backing McChrystal?

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:48 pm 
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Khross wrote:
Nothing saves Obama here. You guys aren't even looking at the real issues. Petraeus is another individual that uses COIN Strategies. So how is that an "upgrade" except in the sense of "media" acceptance?


Obama took a hit for what McChrystal said, but there's no arguing that Petraeus will be rightly perceived as an upgrade. Petraeus was the face of the successful US surge in Iraq, obviously, which you know. I'm sure you'll present some convoluted argument that he deserves no credit so have at it.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:50 pm 
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Dashel:

Really? Are you even reading the same thread I am?

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:52 pm 
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What a strange argument, DFK. I said that Obama had "wholesale adopt[ed] McChrystal's preferred COIN strategy", which he did. Instead of the get-out-now strategy, or the bomb-the-f*ck-out-of-everything strategy, or the massive-occupation-force strategy, Obama bought into the COIN approach that McChrystal, Petraeus and others were pushing, and he gave them a significant number of additional troops that was well within range of the force sizes COIN supporters were asking for.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:55 pm 
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Khross wrote:
See, now you're strawmanning my position. I'm not talking about success in either theatre. I'm speaking of Obama's intentional political use and assassination of McChrystal. I mean, honestly, he refused McChrystal's resignation but relieves him of command? Oh, right, that has nothing to do with politics. You don't want to discuss the real issue here, which isn't the actual logistics or strategery in Afghanistan.


Ok, I guess I still don't know what it is you're claiming Obama is doing, then. Can you please just lay out how and why you think Obama undermined McChrystal, and whether or not you think his actions include undermining the war effort itself?


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:56 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
What a strange argument, DFK. I said that Obama had "wholesale adopt[ed] McChrystal's preferred COIN strategy", which he did. Instead of the get-out-now strategy, or the bomb-the-f*ck-out-of-everything strategy, or the massive-occupation-force strategy, Obama bought into the COIN approach that McChrystal, Petraeus and others were pushing, and he gave them a significant number of additional troops that was well within range of the force sizes COIN supporters were asking for.
Actually, he gave McChrystal the minimal possible number of troops for success. That, however, is neither here nor there. The military situation in Afghanistan is secondary to this discussion. McChrystal's successes or failures are likewise secondary to this discussion. This entire situation is about the President using his role as Commander in Chief to politically assassinate an active service member and scapegoat the failures of his political and possibly McChrystal's/the Pentagon's military strategies in Afghanistan. The President's behavior is despicable in a manner that should not be tolerated by ANYONE. And, if you cannot see that, then you are intentionally turning a blind eye to how the Whitehouse has handled Afghanistan, in the media, since last August.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:57 pm 
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Will be interesting to see how the Moveon goobs react to this. They certainly loved Petraeus the first time around.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 1:58 pm 
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Khross: I'm simply commenting on the issue not really following on what has been said in this particular thread. Maybe you're taking "upgrade" the wrong way, I cant tell. McChrystal, from what I have read, seems to be a stand up guy and certainly very brave. That said, Petraeus is probably the one person who can replace him and have it be less than a disaster.

Of course, his appointment does bring to mind the moveon.org hit:

Spoiler:
Image


I wonder if that will come up again.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 2:05 pm 
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Dashel:

From a policy position, Petraeus will likely change nothing. Petraeus used the same strategy already in place in Afghanistan during the Surge in Iraq. You are aware of this, right? That he comes from the same school of operation and that COIN will not change?

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 2:09 pm 
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Khross wrote:
The military situation in Afghanistan is secondary to this discussion. McChrystal's successes or failures are likewise secondary to this discussion. This entire situation is about the President using his role as Commander in Chief to politically assassinate an active service member and scapegoat the failures of his political and possibly McChrystal's/the Pentagon's military strategies in Afghanistan.


Ah, ok. If you're just saying that Obama is using McChrystal as a political scapegoat to avoid taking a hit himself for failing in Afghanistan, that's cool. It seemed like you were suggesting that Obama was actually trying to lose the war and that attacking McChrystal was a means of accomplishing that, which is obviously much further into conspiracy-theory land.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 2:14 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
Khross wrote:
The military situation in Afghanistan is secondary to this discussion. McChrystal's successes or failures are likewise secondary to this discussion. This entire situation is about the President using his role as Commander in Chief to politically assassinate an active service member and scapegoat the failures of his political and possibly McChrystal's/the Pentagon's military strategies in Afghanistan.
Ah, ok. If you're just saying that Obama is using McChrystal as a political scapegoat to avoid taking a hit himself for failing in Afghanistan, that's cool. It seemed like you were suggesting that Obama was actually trying to lose the war and that attacking McChrystal was a means of accomplishing that, which is obviously much further into conspiracy-theory land.
I'm fairly certain I've used the phrase political assassination more than once. I'm fairly certain I've even explained that Obama's intent, from at least last August, was to set McChrystal up as a scapegoat for the failures in Afghanistan. I'm not commenting on either military or political success in Afghanistan. That's its own thread. I'm talking about the deliberate and despicable behavior of the Commander in Chief.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 2:16 pm 
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Khross wrote:
Dashel:

From a policy position, Petraeus will likely change nothing. Petraeus used the same strategy already in place in Afghanistan during the Surge in Iraq. You are aware of this, right? That he comes from the same school of operation and that COIN will not change?


And he's still an upgrade even if only for the reason that McChrystal foolishly spoke like that on the record... to **** Rolling Stone of all publications.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 23, 2010 2:19 pm 
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RangerDave wrote:
What a strange argument, DFK. I said that Obama had "wholesale adopt[ed] McChrystal's preferred COIN strategy", which he did. Instead of the get-out-now strategy, or the bomb-the-f*ck-out-of-everything strategy, or the massive-occupation-force strategy, Obama bought into the COIN approach that McChrystal, Petraeus and others were pushing, and he gave them a significant number of additional troops that was well within range of the force sizes COIN supporters were asking for.



Wholesale adoption, to me, is not a mid-point between high- and medium-risk. Perhaps you have a different definition of "wholesale adoption."

I'm merely pointing out that wholesale adoption would indicate that you'd agree to the utmost in efforts to complete the task. Perhaps, instead, you mean to say that he has "partially supported," or "agreed as far as he felt logistics would allow," or "supported to the utmost of the political situation." Basically, any qualifier besides "wholesale" would be more correct, other than "complete."

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