Amanar wrote:
They regularly purge them of dead people. It isn't always effective at removing all of them in a timely manner maybe, but they still do it. Show me a single state that doesn't.
Show me a single state that does. You don't get to make assertions and then demand I disprove them. That's
regularly by the way, not just that it's been done.
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Kaffis already pointed out that the problems with this.
No, he didn't. I already addressed his concern.
No, you didn't. You made up some half-ass way to estimate fraud which you even admitted you don't know if it's statistically correct or not. You also completely failed to address what to do if the real voter shows up.
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But that's the thing. It's not detected. We should expect to see some cases of people being caught trying to impersonate other voters, but we just don't. Don't you think there are people at these polling places that are concerned about fraud enough to note these incidents?
We have, in fact, caught people engaging in vote fraud. Furthermore, we are not trying to only stop people from impersonating other voters. We are trying to stop noncitizens, especially illegal immigrants from registering and then voting. If they obtain a photo ID and then vote, that creates more of a paper trail that can then be used to apprehend them. As for what I think about people at polling places, your personal assumption that people working at polling places are necessarily skilled enough to detect this sort of person and are actively looking for them is just another example of you trying to pretend your own intuition is evidence.
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Great, they help detect it. So lets use data from some of the many states that have voter ID laws to show all those liberals how much voter fraud is occurring! Oh wait, there is no evidence of it in those states either? It must be because the law is so effective at preventing the fraud! You're the one with the catch-22 here.
I've got a better idea. How about you show some actual evidence of any voter intimidation by these laws or by the billboards, other than your guilt-by-association fallacies. By the way,
in upholding the Indiana Photo ID law, the court specifically stated that the motives of the legislature don't matter, what matters is the actual effects of the law.
In any case, part of the reason for photo ID laws is that impersonation would be difficult to detect.
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Who is against collecting data? All I see is the right trying to prevent voter fraud with voter ID laws and aggressively purging voter rolls, neither of which has anything to do with collecting data on voter fraud. There are already states that do those things and they haven't collected any meaningful data showing widespread voter fraud like you are suggesting.
You're splitting hairs. Purging rolls and IDing voters at the polls do not in and of themselves create or collect data on vote fraud, but some means of knowing if the votes actually being cast are fraudulent has to exist before data can be collected. The left has opposed these measures consistently.
Furthermore, the fact that these states haven't bothered to collect any data isn't really my problem, since it is not an argument against enforcing a law that serves a legitimate public interest to argue that it is rarely broken. We really don't need any data in the first place. If there's no fraud going on, the laws will sit there and do nothing. The burden of proof is on
you to show that they actually do suppress or intimidate voters, and the only thing we've seen so far is arguments that amount to "there was vote suppression in the past so this must be vote suppression" and red herrings about wildly improbable undetectable physical hacking of voting machines.
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There is simply no evidence of it. I've explained how you can currently collect evidence of it in multiple ways, yet we still have not seen any. You need to show me something. Show me where the left is against collecting data on voter fraud, not simply against preventative measures. We just want actual evidence that there is a problem before implementing solutions that impose a burden on voters. Is that too much to ask?
Yet, you haven't "explained" anything. The left has suggested no method of collecting data whatsoever. Your methods are one-line internet handwave methods. You can't just sit down with a bunch of death certificates and a voter roll and collect data in a timely fashion; there are 300 million people in this country, and that wouldn't begin to address the issue of illegal aliens registering.
The solutions, moreover, impose no actual "burden" whatsoever on voters. The "burden" is entirely an invention of the left; studies that purport to establish that they do either show absolutely trivial impacts that can be attributed to almost anything, or
contain information that renders the entire study absurd.Quote:
A paper in the Harvard Law and Policy Review, “ID at the Polls: Assessing the Impact of Recent State Voter ID Laws on Voter Turnout”(PDF), compares changes in voter turnout between 2002 and 2006 as related to three voting requirement categories – photo ID needed, non-photo ID needed and no identification needed. Key study findings include: 1). “Non-photo ID laws [are] associated with a 2.2% point decline in turnout, and photo ID laws are correlated with a 1.6% point decline.” In a related analysis, the author found a 1.1% decline in turnout in states with strengthened photo ID laws between 2002 and 2006. 2). In 2002, prior to the widespread adoption of photo ID poll requirements, more than 40% of eligible voters in states with no voting ID requirements and more than 35% of voters in states with minimal ID requirements turned out at the polls. By 2006, the percentage of voting-age citizens who turned out in states with no ID requirement or a non-photo ID requirement increased to 42% and 38%, respectively. States requiring a photo voter ID saw the lowest percentage of voter turnout, approximately 37%. 3). Counties with older populations saw an increase in turnout of 1.5%. However, counties with higher Hispanic and Asian-American populations saw a small negative effect on voter turnout as ID laws were tightened. Greater household income positively correlated with voter turnout. 4). Possible variables impacting overall voter turnout include Election Day registration (associated with increases), the presence of an incumbent (a small increase) or a controversial ballot initiative (a 4.6% point increase in voter turnout). Much of the increase in voter turnout can be attributed to news coverage and state-sponsored public outreach.[29]
The Heritage Foundation, a conservative thinktank, disputed the methodology of the study of 900 people. The credibility of the survey was contested by another question, where 14% of respondents said they had both a U.S. birth certificate and naturalization papers.{in other words, 14% of the people said something impossible - DE}[30] In 2010, the voting age population was an estimated 237.3 million, and the citizen voting age population was 217.5 million. Of those, 186.9 million were registered voters.[31] The Heritage Foundation has pointed to U.S. Department of Transportation records showing that there were 205.8 million valid drivers licenses in 2009, meaning there are 19 million more individuals with photo ID than there are registered voters, as evidence that photo ID is not hard to obtain.[32] Similarly, Kris Kobach, a Republican supporter of Voter ID laws, points to evidence in Kansas that more than 30,000 registered drivers in Kansas are not registered to vote.[33]
Furthermore, the opposition to voter ID
is opposition to collecting data. Without that, there is no way to know if the person showing up to vote is legitimate; we only know that
someone registered. Your complaint essentially is that because people in a position to collect data haven't done so, that somehow means there shouldn't be laws to prevent vote fraud.
In other words, yes, it's too much to ask. You are complaining about enforcing a law on the basis that you don't think its often broken, even though you have no more data than anyone else and it's been explained how it would be hard to detect. You have completely failed to establish any basis whatsoever to not enforce the law, except some suspicion that it has something to do with vote suppression on the basis of guilt-by-association and 30 year old "damning" cases.